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Old 09-19-2006, 08:41 PM
Adrenalinejunkie Adrenalinejunkie is offline
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Default What's Iran's Next Move? Just for fun...

Put yourself in Iran's position right now. What's your play? They have allied themselves with Venezuela, Russia, China, and of course Syria. They have, by some accounts already purchased some nukes from North Korea, and currently, they have manipulated world opinion against Israel.

But what's your play? If it is your goal to destroy Israel and the influence of the United States, what is your play?

Obviously, a terrorist strike with a nuke could be accomplished by proxy, thru Hamas or Hezbollah... Iran would claim they had nothing to do with it, but none of the principle players would believe them, and the United States and Israel would be allowed to dethrone Abudamenajadathehut.

Sectarians could use a WMD against American forces in Iraq or Afghanistan, but the response by the United States would be swift and vengeful.

No, you have to strike with the world on your side, at least in the mind of Iran. It's the only way to protect yourself.

So what are they doing? The big anti-US meeting in Cuba, the UN, and now with support from France swinging behind the support from Russia and China, they have to feel good about the direction they are headed.

Plus, it's an Islamic principle to give your enemy every chance to surrender before attacking. They are doing what we should try to do more often, and that is to give the impression that they have exhausted every avenue of diplomacy.

But I think they have to press the advantage. The United States is too good at diplomacy to wait 10 years. Another guy will be president. The US military in Iraq would eventually get free and consolidate its resources. We'll make nice with the UN and the US economy is needed by China and Russia more than they need Iran. They are opposing us because of what they see as American hegemony, not because they share Islamic values with Iran.

Right now, Russia and China might try to defend Iran from American aggression they see as over the top. 4 - 6 or 10 years from now? They might not care.

The Iranians aren't stupid. They play the world game pretty well. I think they have to press the advantage if they truly want a world ruled by Islamic law, and I do believe they do. It's their undoing in my opinion. There is no viable option for them that would succeed in Islam defeating the west, but I think they will make the mistake of trying.

They just need it to work out in such a way that they will be able to blame George W. Bush for the event. Whatever it is. Bush and Israel. Both of them need the blame and Israel has already shown it can be provoked into a conflict.

The first thing they will try is to publicly enrich uranium. The world has come to the conclusion, and Iran has won the argument that they are entitled to nuclear power. If Israel or the United States attacks, it will all be Bush and Israel's fault.

The second thing, if the first doesn't provoke us, will be to publicly test a nuclear weapon. This will be preceded by arguments about Israel and the United States nuclear power. (Abujadhoochiemama made the argument this week and at the UN as well) This will probably take another 6 months to a year to convince the world they are entitled to nuclear arms and thereby blame Israel and Bush for attacking.

Especially in the first scenario, the world will try to keep Israel and the US from bombing Iran, and will condemn us if we do. Conveniently, the "muslim world" ie... Hezbollah & Al Queda will unleash WMD in Israel and the US because the evil Zionists and George Bush are waging a war against Islam by attacking Iran.

Regardless, the attack is coming through Hezbollah from the south (they are in South America in large numbers... with support from Chavez lately) and Al Queda.

But I think they'll dare us to "start" it. Keeps them in the clear.

That would be my play.

If I was a murderous-pyschotic-freak-of-a-president-zealot-of-Iran kinda guy. Which I'm not, but.... I have played the part of Satan 75 times. (counting practices...)
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