market has closed for today : 6/25

-this tool is used to project the probability of the winner of each state in the election if it were to happen today. daily happenings and market movement help show a clear picture of the general election that is updated daily. this tool had a 100 percent success rate for the 2004 election which is why I hold it in high regard.

example: Alabama 92-6 McCain has a 92 percent chance of winning Alabama, Obama has a 6 percent chance.

illustrates change in market

McCain: 216
Alabama 92-6
Alaska 80.1-18 previous 80.1-15
Arizona 90-8
Arkansas 76-18
Florida 62-36
Georgia 70-22
Idaho 90-5
Indiana 61-33 previous 65-25
Kansas 80-10.5
Kentucky 90-9
Louisiana 84-13 previous 84-12
Mississippi 80-11
Montana 70-20
Nebraska 82-10
North Carolina 65-25 previous 65-32
North Dakota 81-15
Oklahoma 86-5
South Carolina 85-8
South Dakota 85-8
Tennessee 85-9
Texas 85-8
Utah 90-3.3
West Virginia 80-10
Wyoming 90-3.5

Obama: 322
California 87.1-11 previous 87.1-5
Colorado 65.5-25
Connecticut 85.1-13 previous 85.1-9
Delaware 86-6
DC 95-0
Hawaii 92-3
Illinois 95-3 previous 95-4
Iowa 80-16 previous 77-16
Maine 82.5-13 previous 82.5-10
Maryland 90-5.5
Massachusetts 85-6.5
Michigan 73-23.5 previous 71.2-22
Minnesota 77.5-20
Missouri 50-43
Nevada: 50-45
New Hampshire 62-30 previous 60-26
New Jersey 86-11 previous 86-7
New Mexico 67.5-25.1
New York 92-5
Ohio 65-28 previous 65-26.1
Oregon 80.1-10
Pennsylvania 75-22 previous 78-18
Rhode Island 92-5
Vermont 86.2-10 previous 86.2-6
Virginia 56-41
Washington 90-5.1
Wisconsin 77.5-15