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07-15-2008, 12:31 PM
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That's a good idea. I'll do it.
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Man up. |
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07-15-2008, 03:15 PM
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Quote:
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"This is a time for a national imperative not to fail in Iraq." Condoleeza Rice, January 11, 2007 |
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07-16-2008, 10:30 AM
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First update
Here's the first update, all site results in one thread. I'm mostly doing this to establish the template for future updates; most of the sites show no change in the numbers.
NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 216 EC votes Too close to call: 16 EC votes Update: NO CHANGE ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 320 McCain: 204 Too close: 14 Update: NO CHANGE CNN (not updated since mid-June, looks like) http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/...map/index.html Obama: 231 McCain: 194 Too close: 113 Update: NO CHANGE REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 255 McCain: 163 Too close: 120 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 303 McCain: 235 Too close: 0 Update: McCain gains 4 votes, Obama loses 4
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Man up. Last edited by raytri; 07-16-2008 at 10:32 AM. |
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07-21-2008, 07:18 PM
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7/21 update
Latest update. I'm dropping the CNN map because they're not updating it.
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 216 EC votes Too close to call: 16 EC votes Update: NO CHANGE ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 312 McCain: 199 Too close: 27 Update: Both Obama and McCain lose ground to the "Too close" category. But Obama lost 8 and McCain only lost 5, so McCain closes the gap a little. REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 255 McCain: 163 Too close: 120 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 292 McCain: 246 Too close: 0 Update: McCain gains 11 votes, Obama loses 11
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Man up. |
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07-24-2008, 11:35 AM
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Latest update. I've added the Pollster.com map to replace the useless CNN map.
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 216 EC votes Too close to call: 16 EC votes Update: NO CHANGE ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 292 McCain: 192 Too close: 54 Update: Both Obama and McCain lose more ground to the "Too close" category. But Obama lost 20 and McCain only lost 7, so again McCain closes the gap. REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 238 McCain: 163 Too close: 137 Update: Obama loses 17 votes to "too close." McCain unchanged. 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 292 McCain: 246 Too close: 0 Update: NO CHANGE POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 297 McCain: 172 Too close: 69 Comment: The most intriguing thing about this map is the "strong Democrat" number: 260. Meaning Obama would only need 10 "too close to call" electoral votes to win.
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Man up. |
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07-28-2008, 11:15 AM
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Latest update.
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 227 EC votes Too close to call: 5 EC votes Update: McCain picks up 11 from the "too close" category ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 292 McCain: 195 Too close: 51 Update: McCain picks up three from "too close." REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 238 McCain: 163 Too close: 137 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 298 McCain: 240 Too close: 0 Update: Obama gains six, McCain loses six POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 284 McCain: 147 Too close: 107 Comment: McCain loses 25 to "Too close." Obama loses 13.
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Man up. Last edited by raytri; 07-28-2008 at 11:15 AM. |
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08-04-2008, 11:04 AM
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8/4 update
Votes needed to win: 270
NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 227 EC votes Too close to call: 5 EC votes Update: NO CHANGE ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 316 McCain: 209 Too close: 13 Update: 38 votes leave "too close", with McCain getting 14 but Obama getting 24. REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 238 McCain: 163 Too close: 137 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 303 McCain: 235 Too close: 0 Update: Obama gains five, McCain loses five POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 284 McCain: 157 Too close: 97 Comment: McCain gains 10 from "too close."
__________________
Man up. |
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08-08-2008, 12:51 PM
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Latest update:
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 306 EC votes McCain: 227 EC votes Too close to call: 5 EC votes Update: NO CHANGE ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 289 McCain: 236 Too close: 13 Update: 27 votes shift from Obama to McCain REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 238 McCain: 163 Too close: 137 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 296 McCain: 242 Too close: 0 Update: Obama loses seven, McCain gains seven POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 284 McCain: 157 Too close: 97 Comment: NO CHANGE
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Man up. |
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08-13-2008, 07:33 AM
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Latest update:
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 293 EC votes McCain: 227 EC votes Too close to call: 18 EC votes Update: Obama loses 13 votes to "too close" ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 289 McCain: 249 Too close: 0 Update: 13 votes shift from "too close" to McCain REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 238 McCain: 163 Too close: 137 Update: NO CHANGE 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 299 McCain: 239 Too close: 0 Update: Obama gains 3, McCain loses 3 POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 284 McCain: 154 Too close: 100 Comment: McCain loses 3 votes to "too close"
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Man up. |
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08-24-2008, 05:07 PM
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Latest update:
Votes needed to win: 270 NTRADE (based on trading in candidate futures) http://electoralmap.net/index.php Obama: 264 EC votes McCain: 227 EC votes Too close to call: 47 EC votes Update: Obama loses 29 votes to "too close" ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM (a respected consolidator of poll results) http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Obama: 269 McCain: 256 Too close: 13 Update: Obama loses 13 votes to "too close" and 7 votes to McCain REAL CLEAR POLITICS http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama_vs_mccain Obama: 228 McCain: 174 Too close: 136 Update: McCain takes 10 votes from Obama and 1 from "too close" 538.COM http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Obama: 280 McCain: 258 Too close: 0 Update: Obama loses 19, McCain gains 19 POLLSTER.COM http://www.pollster.com/ Obama: 260 McCain: 176 Too close: 102 Comment: Obama loses 2 to "too close" and 22 to McCain
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Man up. |
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