The ties of import in this are with Italy Germany Greece Turkey Bulgaria Hungaria Spain some French guy the UK and a dozen others besides!

Its not minor.


Hungarians would like Vojvodina back if they can do it via a vote..well fine lets cut it off.....thats the main "international legal" problem this independence of kosovo is causing.
+
Albania want to annex Kosovo and Kosovo Albanians want to be annexed by them(like a Minature version of the Germany/Austria unification drive 1919-1938 going on with those two)



Ethnic breakup of the region.






Here is Serbia today if you accept kosovo being detached which they have declared nul.






IMO we're just chopping up the Balkans beyond the point of rectificaton without some really bad war there and that could easily go continental.

Russia has territorial ambitions in other parts of Europe that could be "solved" with a quick war. With its relationship pretty much on an acceptable Sphere of Influence with China and now China threatening Taiwan over recongizing Kosovo..etc etc etc etc etc

Its a mess that could go south really fast.
(I'll give it a 75% chance of a guerilla sized war in Kosovo by the end of the year.)

Its almost like Europe is posturing to fight again BUT nobody knows it atm..like a storm coming in suddenly.



Its only February..not even near August..plenty of time.