05-05-2008, 07:50 AM
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Sr. Correspondent
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: New Orleans/Seattle
Posts: 754
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Obama Hurting Big Time: Latest National Polls: Clinton +7, Tied in NC
National Democrat Poll:
Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...050500815.html
Quote:
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential contender Barack Obama's standing has been significantly damaged by the controversy over his former pastor, according to USA Today/Gallup poll published on Monday.
The poll showed Hillary Clinton leading Obama 51 percent to 44 percent nationally among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent voters, in contrast to a CBS News/New York Times survey released on Sunday that had Obama leading Clinton by 12 points.
Clinton and Obama face voting contests on Tuesday in North Carolina and Indiana, the next steps in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination to take on presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in the November election.
The USA Today/Gallup results were a sharp reversal from two weeks ago, before the latest controversy over the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, when Obama led Clinton by 10 percentage points. The Thursday-through-Saturday survey had a 5 percentage-point margin of error.
USA Today said the results showed the Wright controversy had raised questions for some voters about Obama's values, credibility and electability.
By contrast, the CBS News/New York Times poll released on Sunday showed the Illinois senator leading Clinton 50 percent to 38 percent among Democratic voters and said 60 percent approved of how Obama handled the furor over the Chicago minister's public comments.
That poll surveyed 671 adults, including 283 Democratic primary voters, last Thursday through Saturday.
Wright has angered many voters with repeated statements that the September 11 attacks were retribution for U.S. foreign policies and that the U.S. government had a hand in spreading AIDS to harm blacks. Obama has publicly severed ties with Wright.
Obama sought to put controversy behind him on Monday, the eve of Democratic Party showdowns against Clinton in Indiana and North Carolina.
"We've probably taken as many hits as anybody has in this presidential campaign. Senator Clinton has not. John McCain certainly has not, and yet I'm still here and competitive in both North Carolina and Indiana," Obama told CNN.
The USA Today poll said one-third of primary voters were less likely to vote for Obama because of his ties to Wright.
The results also showed the same portion less likely to vote for Clinton, a New York senator, because of her husband, former President Bill Clinton.
About 38 percent of likely voters said they were less likely to vote for McCain, an Arizona senator, because of his ties to President George W. Bush.
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Latest North Carolina Poll:
Source: http://www.southernpoliticalreport.c...nk_55_380.aspx
Quote:
May 5, 2008 — An InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Survey conducted for the Southern Political Report shows the Democratic Primary in North Carolina tightening. The results:
Obama: 48%
Clinton: 45%
Undecided: 7%
The telephone survey was conducted Sunday May 4 of 781 registered likely voters in the Tuesday Democratic primary. It was weighted for age, race, and gender, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Really interesting dynamics at play here. Clinton has increased her lead among white voters to 58% - very close to the 60% plus level needed to pull off a victory. She now leads among those who say they are Democrats but has started to trail among Unaffiliated voters, who are allowed to participate in Tuesday’s election. Additionally, African-American voters are not quite as solid with Obama as they have been, at least based on previous exit polls. Clinton has remained in the upper teens (17%) of African-American support in our recent surveys. African-American turnout will be the key to this race. Our poll is based on a turnout model of 35% African-American vote. Anything under that number could give Clinton a shocking upset. But Indiana has become a true horserace that should concern the Clinton camp.”
Towery adds “
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Everyone was saying it was a given that Obama would win there. Interesting.
Hillary continues to go sky high.
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