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Originally Posted by Fear-And-Loathing
The Saudi's are arguing for no involvement by Iran in Lebanon, how odd?!?!?!
Saudia Arabia is trying to maintain the balance of power in the Middle East and while the two camps are not established they are on their way there. Sunni and Shia will be the cause of war in the Middle East, or at least that'll be the reasoning. Where in fact it will be the the two superpowers of the region (Iran and Saudi Arabia) battling for dominance. We took out Iraq and have failed to fill the vacuum, causing a struggle for influence.
However if Saudi Arabia collapses then it will be even worse for us over there. Who's to say they won't attack Iran because of fear of encroachment or worse make an anti-American alliance? What a shame that would be.......
We need to distance ourselves from Saudi Arabia and begin fermenting the seeds of democratic revolution over there. When push comes to shove if we don't adamantly support a revolutionary Saudi Arabian government than there will be two huge oil producing states in the most oil rich region on the planet that are anti-American. Last time there was a challenge to the oil flow (that is the attack by fundamentalists on 9/11) we promptly invaded them. We can barely handle Iraq and Afghanistan (with tax and military levels not being adequate for such an imperial adventure) thus it is obvious under current circumstances we could not deal with Lebanon, let alone Saudi Arabia and/or Iran.
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Considering that Sunnis make up about 80% of the population (rough estimate)...I don't see how their could be a war. The Shi'ite would get their ass handed to them. The only majority Shi'ite countries that are very powerful are Iran and Iraq.