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Old 08-29-2004, 04:38 AM
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Why China will not fight with Taiwan if status quo remained at the moment? To my analysis, given the current military strength of China, winning the war is a matter of time but this is considered short-term plan.
China's military strength has been greatly exaggerated. They have no hope of defeating us in a conventional war (Source - www.FAS.org). China knows that the Taiwan Relations Act could very well be interpreted to mean that we would support Taiwan against China if they (Taiwan) were invaded.

Taiwan's military alone might be sufficient to thwart an attack...combined with ours, the PRC has zero chance of invading them. And they know it.

China does not have the trnasports necessary to leverage it's numerical superiority. And even if it did, it has no way to defend them. The PRC's technology is about 30 years behind ours, and 15 or 20 years behind Taiwan's.

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A peaceful reunification is utmost important to ASIAN countries particularly Singapore.
A peaceful re-unification will not be possible IMO until the PRC has been assimilated into a democracy. That will probably take several more decades at least (although I believe it will happen...for economic reasons if nothing else).

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Let's pray for a peaceful reunification.
If I was religious, I would rather pray that democracy comes to China, just like it has to Taiwan.
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