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Quote:
Originally Posted by JP5";p="
In RealClearPolitics.com........which is averages of all the polling, Bush is ahead in almost ALL the Battleground states:
Florida: Bush + 1.2
Ohio: Bush + 0.2
Pennsylvania: Kerry +4.2
Wisconsin: Bush + 1.0
Iowa: Bush + 3.4
Minnesota: Bush + 0.7
Michigan: Kerry +3.2
New Mexico: Bush + 2.6
New Hampshire: Kerry +2.4
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/
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Absolutely, that's exactly in line with the republican pollster's observations at the beginning of the thread who says it's a dead heat in battleground states... However ... when the data is weighted to reflect minority turnout based on the 2000 exit polls, Sen. Kerry leads by 3.5% and if minority turnout is weighted to census levels Sen. Kerrys lead expands to 5.2%
That does not take into account new voters among whom Kerry has a 20% margin and the fact that majority of undecides (65-80%) break for the challenger.
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The war on terror involves Saddam Hussein because of the nature of Saddam Hussein, the history of Saddam Hussein, and his willingness to terrorize himself. George W. Bush
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