Circumstances for the unification:


1. If investment contacts increase significantly, linking the two economically.

2. If reform, both economic and political, continues in the PRC to the point that it becomes in both respects like Taiwan, thus presenting obvious advantages for Taiwan in the future some kind of union.

3. If opposition forces in Taiwan in the future threaten the government and create such instability that leader in Taipei ask Beijing for help or negotiation to dampen the opposition, which then might gain its momentum.


in the past, it seemed impossible for China to meet the standard. However with China's rise nowadays, the gap between the two are decreasing .

From January till October, 2006, Taiwan's exports to China surges to 73.29 billion U.S. dollars, making Taiwan?s trade dependence export on China reach about 40%, released by the financial bureau of Taiwan. That reaffirms China is the NO. 1 market of Taiwan's exports, while Taiwan holding the prestige of the second largest exporter to China. Now it seems that Taiwan is losing the advantages. When Chiang Ching-kuo's administration claimed that "when the mainland catches up economically, there be a chance for the negotiation...? did he one day regret for making such a careless mistake?



In 2005, China's GDP boasts, making $8.883 trillion, $6,800 GDP - per capita (PPP); while Taiwan's $630 billion ranked 19th, with GDP - per capita (PPP) reaching $27,500, according to the data released from CIA. It is estimated that by the year of 2010, GDP of Guangdong province, a leading province in China will equal Taiwan's in total, according to the interview with the mayor of Guangdong province, in 2006. "The by-then political effect, is beyond words...? that?s what he reveals with confidence.

for now, the unification is impossilbe. A war across the straignt is more likely than the unification. US has done a lot of things on cross-straight issue. US is not willing to see that a peace between mainland and taiwan. The present tense situation is what they wanna see. They can benefit from it, for instance selling weapons to taiwan. The mainstream of Taiwan's politics is democracy which China mainland doesn't have. At present, it's hard to merge taiwan's democracy process to mainland china.