Yesterday, a poll went around showing
Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.
But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?
This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.
Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.
The problem is some internal poll that apparently shows that a high percentage of Democrats early voting are voting straight ticket Republican instead…they are Democrats voting against Democrats.
I am still registered Democrat here in Chicago and I voted straight ticket Republican except for Tom Dart for Sheriff because I know and like him. Other than that, it was all Republican. But, in terms of early voting stats, I was a Democrat early vote on paper.
The media is not factoring people like me into the equation.
On the other side of the aisle, I can’t imagine many, if any, Republicans voting Democrat.
So someone at the DNC came up with a formula that takes all of this into account…and when THAT formula is applied to the Delaware race, CoD is ahead.
And that terrified the DNC enough to send the SOS to the big money guys like my friend for a Hail Mary pass.
“They are terrified of her winning”, my friend said. “Scott Brown terrified”.
And I add: these people have all been at this so long they don’t get this freaked out over nothing.
******************************************
UPDATE & CLARIFICATION: This post got picked up at RedState and FreeRepublic and I noticed in the comments there that people seem to be confused when I talk about Democrats looking at early voting…because there is no early voting in Delaware. I’m not talking about early voting in Delaware, I’m talking about DNC internals that are looking at early voting NATIONALLY.
The DNC is picking up the trend that people registered as Democrats are indeed early voting — NATIONALLY — but they are not voting Democrat. They are voting Republican, the way that I did here in Chicago today. Straight ticket GOP, except for someone I know on a personal level. If I didn’t know him, I would have voted Republican in that race too.
I don’t know what Democrats are doing to determine what’s going on, but if I had to guess they are using focus groups and then extrapolating those nationally to see a trend that horrifies them. They see people in Democrat strongholds like Chicago saying “F-U” to the party and voting Republican. Maybe they are doing exit polling at early vote centers and finding they are being screamed at by lifelong Democrats.
However they are getting their data, they have used that information to create some sort of formula…this formula breaks down the trend they are watching and creates some sort o plug-and-chug algorithm that would be something like this:
Expected Democrat Early Voting Numbers – Democrats Who Actually Vote Against Party Instead = Number of Democrats That Can Actually Be Counted On
Across the board nationally, whatever number comes out of the above is FAR BELOW what the Democrats need it to be. My friend the fundraiser says they’ve worked out some kind of plug-and-chug mathematical box with what they are seeing in early voting states…when the current Delaware polling and focus group work is considered IN LIGHT OF THIS DOCUMENTED TREND, the DNC is horrified to see that Delaware is trending like the rest of the country…where registered Democrats who are going to vote intend to vote AGAINST the party…straight ticket, top to bottom, AGAINST Democrats.
THIS is what has them scared because from what I understand the Democrats hit DEFCON 1 because they know it is too late to stop the mass exodus of Democrats crossing the aisle to slap the party silly for letting Obama pull it too far Left.
Delaware might not be early voting…but from whatever the Democrats are seeing internally, if Delaware WAS early voting then Delaware’s numbers would be lining up with every other state.
That means Democrats aren’t safe ANYWHERE and there is nothing anyone can do to change that.
LinkBack URL
About LinkBacks
DNC internal polling shows Christine O’Donnell within striking distance
Reply With Quote
Fiorina wins CA too. 51 Repub seats, and maybe 52. Bank it. I'm never wrong on elections 
Originally Posted by Eighty Deuce
Bookmarks