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Old 12-04-2007, 01:05 PM
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Default Hello!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liberty";p=&quot View Post
I see nobody is willing to take the position that Iran is not a threat.
Me. I am. Iran. Not a threat. Sorry if what I'm saying often gets lost in what I'm saying.

Iran is not a threat. There. Bold-faced so everyone can see it.
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 12-04-2007, 01:12 PM
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Default Why Mr Ness, I wish I'd met you 10 years and 20 pounds ago

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ixtellor";p=&quot View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sadistic-Savior";p=&quot View Post
Bush is correct.

Its kinda funny how you people pick and choose which intelligence you want to believe. We shouldnt have believed the intelligence about Iraq's WMDs, but we SHOULD believe this intelligence?
I guess the big difference is that our side has been right about everything and your side has been wrong.

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War will pay for itself.
Will not take many troops.
There will be no insurgancy.
It will not take years to accomplish.
We are not nation building.
The Insurgancy is in its last throws.
The insurgancy is in its last throws.
The insurgancy is almost over.
The insurgancy will end any day now.

So I when it comes to picking and choosing intelligence, maybe you could give the side that has been CORRECT on everything the benefit of the doubt.


Ixtellor

P.S. What was that famous ole definition of Insanity?
On everything?
The insurgency will not work.
WMD's (since "your side" claimed their existance as well).
The Cold War.
NK negotiations should be bi-lateral.

Your side is correct revolves around one issue. Our side being correct revolves around several different ones.
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Old 12-04-2007, 01:15 PM
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Quote:
It seems to me that Iran isn't a threat. It would, however, be a tough nut to crack -- considerably tougher than Iraq.
If our goal was regime change, yeah. I agree.

Regime change would not be necessary however. We could bomb them with impunity, and they could not do a (*)(*)(*)(*) thing to stop us.
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Old 12-04-2007, 01:17 PM
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Default ?

In todays world any threat should be taken seriously so i would say yes
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Old 12-04-2007, 01:42 PM
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Default .

Quote:
Originally Posted by MannieD";p=&quot View Post
Iran is currently a threat to no one.
Do you not agree with the Dept. of State who lists them as a State Sponsor of Terrorism?
Do you not think they instigate radical behavior?
Do you not think they provide material support to the Iraqi insurgency?
Do you think the groups Iran supports, Hamas and Hezbollah, are similarly a threat to no one?
Do you think, since they're not a threat, we should immediately end all sanctions, and resume normal relations?
Do you think Democrats such as Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Biden and others should change their position on Iran? (All four have said Iran poses a threat to the US.)

Quote:
Originally Posted by MannieD";p=&quot View Post
Let me turn this around. With the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, with the Neocon mantra of "non democracies have no right to exist, with Bush labeling Iran as one of the axis of evil, with the close ties that US has to Israel, is the US a threat to Iran?
Insofar as Iran wishes to promote terrorism and radicalization of the Middle East, yes, I certainly hope we're viewed as a threat and an obstacle to achievement of that agenda.
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Old 12-04-2007, 01:51 PM
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Default Opinion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sadistic-Savior";p=&quot View Post
I dont see how you can use intelligence as evidence if you only accept it when it supports the conclusion you want.
Exactly!
(But we must remember it's a two way thing...)

How about this for evidence:
Bush (and his regime) have lied to us before, on several accounts.
Why should we believe him now? Hmm...

Is Iran a threat?
Maybe Yes & Maybe No

Is Iran a threat to the U.S.A?
Probably Not

My question is "What kind of threat?"

The most important issue, as far as I'm concerned, is to do things right.
If we get into another conflict without the general support of the world - NOT Right!
If we get into another conflict based on lies - NOT Right!

I honestly don't think that that is too much to ask from our government...

Fingers crossed for a diplomatic solution.
Peace.
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Old 12-04-2007, 02:19 PM
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Default By the way...

To those who are jumping up and down with excitement over the implications of this report, I'll point out that the NIE predictions haven't really changed since the last report was released in 2005.

The imprecision of these NIE reports is perhaps best illustrated by the two conflicting statements that were assessed with "high confidence":

2005:
Quote:
Assess with high confidence that Iran currently is determined to develop nuclear weapons despite its international obligations and international pressure
2007:
Quote:
Judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program. Judge with high confidence that the halt lasted at least
several years.
Oops.
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Old 12-04-2007, 03:01 PM
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Default ...

Quote:
Bush (and his regime) have lied to us before, on several accounts. Why should we believe him now?
That is the point. I am not basing MY belief on Bush. If Bush declared tomorrow that Iran was not a threat, it would not change my opinion.

You people really have to get over that assumption. We arent robots programmed by Bush. The fact that I agree with Bush on this issue doesnt mean that Bush defines my views for me.




Quote:
Is Iran a threat?
Maybe Yes & Maybe No
"Maybe yes" is sufficient reason to take the actions we are taking.



Quote:
Is Iran a threat to the U.S.A?
Probably Not
"Probably not" is your opinion. I dont agree with your opinion.



Quote:
The most important issue, as far as I'm concerned, is to do things right. If we get into another conflict without the general support of the world - NOT Right!
In effect then, you are subordinating our defense policy to "the world". We arent allowed to act in our defense unless "the world" aggress with us. That is unacceptable to me.


Quote:
If we get into another conflict based on lies - NOT Right!
To this day no liberal has ever shown me an example of where Bush lied about anything. Not even once.
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Old 12-04-2007, 11:24 PM
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Default .

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liberty";p=&quot View Post
To those who are jumping up and down with excitement over the implications of this report, I'll point out that the NIE predictions haven't really changed since the last report was released in 2005.

The imprecision of these NIE reports is perhaps best illustrated by the two conflicting statements that were assessed with "high confidence":

2005:
Quote:
Assess with high confidence that Iran currently is determined to develop nuclear weapons despite its international obligations and international pressure
2007:
Quote:
Judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program. Judge with high confidence that the halt lasted at least
several years.
Oops.
The statements aren't exactly a valid comparison. One deals with an assessment of future intent, the other with the existence of an active program. The 2007 assessment that compares with 2005 is "but we do not know whether it currently intends to develop nuclear weapons."

If these statements were from the same report, they would be conflicting indeed. Times change. I'm encouraged by what hints at a possible change in the final reports that emerge:

Quote:
This NIE does not assume that Iran intends to acquire nuclear weapons. Rather, it examines the intelligence to assess Iran’s capability and intent (or lack thereof) to acquire nuclear weapons, taking full account of Iran’s dual-use uranium fuel cycle and those nuclear activities that are at least partly civil in nature.
That was one major problem with the Iraq assessment and the Bush Administration - false and convenient assumptions. Does this signal a change to a more objective approach? Time will tell.
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 12-05-2007, 08:09 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gmb92";p=&quot View Post
The statements aren't exactly a valid comparison.
Of course they are. If you disagree, maybe you should submit a complaint to the Director of National Intelligence and ask him to change the 2007 NIE, the comparison is made explicitly in that report.
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