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Old 09-22-2008, 04:01 PM
J.Anderson J.Anderson is offline
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Neither party has the slightest shred of credibility at this point.
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Old 09-23-2008, 02:15 AM
intertemporal intertemporal is offline
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for those of you who follow close, you guys would know that there is absolutely no possibility that government is gonna exercise AIG warrant, because, 1st, government doesn't wanna do that unless it is totally the last option,,, who knows what will happen in 2 years? u know? 2nd, AIG only needs to sell 8.5% of its assets in order to pay back government 85 billion.

let's say this market is low, and the value is discounted by half,,, and there's interest too,, AIG will approximately sell 20% the most,, of its assets to pay bak government.

i could be wrong.
but hey,just F.Y.I, i emptied my cheque account, and dumped all my money on AIG stock.
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Old 09-23-2008, 02:27 AM
itraveltheworld itraveltheworld is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jhffmn View Post
I can't believe they let Chris Dodd anywhere near the bill.
So you would prefer to allow Mr. Paulson's section 8 to roll through unchanged ?? And I quote directly..."Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency."

So we go from not enough oversight to zero ???

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Old 09-23-2008, 02:29 AM
itraveltheworld itraveltheworld is offline
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Originally Posted by ocean_314 View Post
Well (*)(*)(*)(*) those Dems are so brilliant. So I should go out a run all my credit cards up to the max and then dump that debt onto the government. I could use a lower mortgage so I guess I just wont pay mine for a couple of months and let a judge tell WaMu that I don’t have to pay as much.

Geez what a wonderful life!!!!! Or did congress eat a few to many of the wrong mushrooms and go down Alice’s rabbit hole. Who was stupid and voted for these fools?

By the way the bail out... When it’s all done and AIG is sold off the government will make a profit. When all those mortgages are sold off in a few years the government will either break even or make a profit. The problem now is that no money is being let by the banks, so this bailout will start the lending again and then the housing prices will bottom out and slowly start to increase
Agreed, it lets people have something for less than they agreed to pay. It's distasteful, irresponsible, and pretty much the only option. Unless of course you want even less value for what we the taxpayer are about to buy.

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Old 09-23-2008, 02:48 AM
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Originally Posted by klipkap View Post
Ok ... who mentioned mushrooms and Alice in Wonderland? Why do I ask? Here are some key concepts that dont fit the glowing future for AIG: 'compound interest'; 'cost of capital'; 'lost opportunity'; 'public debt servicing'; 'foreign debt risk'.

And there are other issues at stake on a much closer horizon than a presumption that the bail-out will turn a profit some unspecified day, given those ugly financial realities listed in brackets above.

But there are even more worrying uncertainties. Let me provide you with a quote from Texas Republican Representative Jeb Hensarling to illustrate this:

"Congress is being asked to support an uncertain entity, costing an uncertain amount of dollars, for an uncertain duration," he said. "My fear is that taxpayers will be left with the mother of all debts, the federal government becomes the lender and guarantor of last resort, and our nation finds itself on the slippery slope to socialism."

Now THAT seems much less of a fairy story. And .... it fell from the lips of a Republican.

Oh, and guess who is picking up the tidbits from this finanacial debacle - this fiasco resulting from unregulated consequences of the Republican Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act - yep, Mitsubishi and top Japanese brokerage group Nomura Holdings.

Not only can competitor nations such as China, Russia and Japan cripple the greenback and our economy by demanding only 15% of our debtors paper that they hold (2006 conclusion - International Conference on Global Financial risks, Geneva, Switserland), but they are owning more and more of our financial machine.

People, we need to stop spending so much, and the two top extraordinary candidates are the bail-out and the military war chest. Our public debt is the huge catch-all for many collosal mismanagements of our country that has been swept under the carpet of voter ignorance.
I agree with you wholeheartedly klipkap. The problem is, what is the alternative ?? I would love nothing more than to watch each and every institution that over leveraged itself with this bad paper go down in flames. Taking with it all the CEO's, upper-management, mid-management, lower-management, office drones, security guards, and janitors. And there is the catch. They would all be out of work and act as a drag on the economy. Not to mention the resulting global financial chaos that would ensue if the financial pillars of our economy were allowed to crumble. We have no alternative but to inject liquidity into the market. As I'm fond of saying, its a big sh*t sandwich and we all get to take a bite.
So now our focus must be on how do we do this responsibly, with the greatest possibility of return to the taxpayer. While simultaneously punishing those responsible to the fullest extent possible. If I were Dodd I would have gone further and ordered the restitution of 5 years salary and bonuses of any CEO asking for a handout. On top of that I would have mandated that no debt would be bought at greater than twenty-five cents on the dollar. Time to send a message that those who are responsible for bad business will be punished.

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Old 09-23-2008, 06:14 AM
ocean_314 ocean_314 is offline
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Originally Posted by intertemporal View Post
for those of you who follow close, you guys would know that there is absolutely no possibility that government is gonna exercise AIG warrant, because, 1st, government doesn't wanna do that unless it is totally the last option,,, who knows what will happen in 2 years? u know? 2nd, AIG only needs to sell 8.5% of its assets in order to pay back government 85 billion.

let's say this market is low, and the value is discounted by half,,, and there's interest too,, AIG will approximately sell 20% the most,, of its assets to pay bak government.

i could be wrong.
but hey,just F.Y.I, i emptied my cheque account, and dumped all my money on AIG stock.

Wrong AIG is one of my wife's cleints. They are all in a panic there. They know that they are going to be sold division by division and they dont know who is going to buy them and if they will have a job tommorrow.
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Old 09-23-2008, 03:38 PM
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Originally Posted by ocean_314 View Post
Wrong AIG is one of my wife's cleints. They are all in a panic there. They know that they are going to be sold division by division and they dont know who is going to buy them and if they will have a job tommorrow.
if your wife knows so much,
why didn't she tell you to short AIG when it was 80.

if your wife knows so much,
why didn't she tell you to buy when it was $2, and it is $5 right now.
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Old 09-25-2008, 02:01 AM
klipkap klipkap is offline
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Originally Posted by itraveltheworld View Post
I agree with you wholeheartedly klipkap. The problem is, what is the alternative ?? I would love nothing more than to watch each and every institution that over leveraged itself with this bad paper go down in flames. Taking with it all the CEO's, upper-management, mid-management, lower-management, office drones, security guards, and janitors. And there is the catch. They would all be out of work and act as a drag on the economy. Not to mention the resulting global financial chaos that would ensue if the financial pillars of our economy were allowed to crumble. We have no alternative but to inject liquidity into the market. As I'm fond of saying, its a big sh*t sandwich and we all get to take a bite.
So now our focus must be on how do we do this responsibly, with the greatest possibility of return to the taxpayer. While simultaneously punishing those responsible to the fullest extent possible. If I were Dodd I would have gone further and ordered the restitution of 5 years salary and bonuses of any CEO asking for a handout. On top of that I would have mandated that no debt would be bought at greater than twenty-five cents on the dollar. Time to send a message that those who are responsible for bad business will be punished.

-traveler-
I return your compliment Traveler. I agree wholeheartedly with you in return.

But let us separate two issues here. One is how to fix the total debacle that we are faced with. It musn't be like Enron where one passing goat gets the slaughter. It must be FUNDAMENTAL. Who was meant to be watching Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Fire them. The entire top two layers. Take Freddie/Fanny execs to court. Get rid of anyone in the Government Audit office who looked the other way "'cause te Pres doesn't want any more bad news right now"; fire him and his managers and blacklist them. Fire the person responsible for the oversight of our country's financial well-being. His name is George.

Second is to stop it happening again; not just financial recklessness, but also political recklessness. Adopt a European style of internal controls. Make the US Public Debt the most sacred cow in our national barn. Anyone who screws with it is OUT!! He/she doesn't get a chance to cover his crimes by passing the monkey to Congress asking for approval, when the situation has already had all the options sucked out of it.

And DON'T support anyone who was tainted by being closely associated with the CAUSES of these debacles, as opposed to blaming Congress who became involved only when the main contributary choices had already been made.

Like band-aid John McCain.
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Old 09-25-2008, 02:13 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholas the 8,358,353rd View Post
What's incredible is how you are deluded into believing Democrats are responsible. Maybe you should take a political science class on Cause & Effect.

The Republicans on this site are not credible. Everything is the fault of the Democrats, even when it isn't their fault. It's like you have no actual grasp of what's going on, and you simply accept whatever your Republican deity tells you.
I daresay I have a grasp of what's going on .....

You had better wake up and realize that the people who caused this are those politicians who pushed lowering the loan criteria standards in order to buy votes. They threatened mortgage companies with civil rights violations in order to coerce them into giving loans to people who couldn't pay them back. Those people were Democrats (Dodd and Frank were the point men) ... live with it.

Once the bad paper was injected into the market, everything happened as a natural course of events. The system did exactly what you would expect the system to do ... and what it was predicted to do.

It's time to quit the partisan bull(*)(*)(*)(*) and work the problem.

Dodd's call for increased oversight defeats one of the key functions of the bailout. The idea for the bail out is for the government to hold over-valued assets until such a time as they can be put back into the mainstream, realize a profit, and not adversely effect the market. Philosophically, the resale of assets would generate enough positive income to pay for the bail out. (Not realistically, but it would help). Oversight costs money ... the potential profit will be more than consumed by the oversight. Calling for oversight on a market economy that worked exactly as predicted is nothing more than political grandstanding and pandering to the uneducated voter. It serves no purpose, but it looks good on paper.
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Old 09-25-2008, 12:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by intertemporal View Post
if your wife knows so much,
why didn't she tell you to short AIG when it was 80.

if your wife knows so much,
why didn't she tell you to buy when it was $2, and it is $5 right now.
My wife is working on a project as a contractor in one of the AIG divisions that is very profitable. No one in this division knew that this was going to happen but once it did all work came to a halt and the people that are the AIG employees are jumping ship as fast as they can find new jobs.

what is happening to AIG is very real.
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