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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 10:41 AM
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Originally Posted by Zoe
Well, I would like to know more! As I said before, Allan Meltzer (economist Carnegie Melon) doesn't buy the theory that the crisis is imminent.
Imminent is a nebulous term. So let me just toss it and say this: The failure to act will cause a crisis. When said crisis will occur does not matter to me. The fact it will occur is the salient point. The only out is a turn around in the real estate market. And that's going to happen. Doing nothing is not an out.

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His suggestion is that the treasury give the banks a big loan.
How big? And what does he plan on doing about the toxic loans on their books?

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Krugman, on the other hand, is of the opinion that the emergency is overstated (he has dubbed the Hank Paulson plan, the "hanky panky plan") and the U.S. taxpayer must be rewarded an equity stake in these banks.
Fine. Get warrants that are only redeemable if the government eventually does not get its money back from the paper it's buying. Great. Sign the (*)(*)(*)(*) bill.

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Where is your opinion on the scale of things?
On a scale of 1 to 10? 10. Which is what they are trying to get across to the "fine people" in Congress.
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 10:55 AM
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Originally Posted by stekim
Well la ti da. Consider this: The "ordinary person" on the street is grossly ignorant when it comes to economics in general and the financial markets in particular. So you will have to pardon me if I tell Joe Ordinary to sit this one out. He has no idea what is going on and needs to just admit he knows nothing about it and can't really form an opinion. Unless he can tell me off the top of his head what a CDS is, how Freddie and Fannie f-ed up and how the financial system in this country works in some detail I'm simply not interested in his thoughts on the matter. Does he have any thoughts on the Super Collider he can share?
A credit default swap (CDS) is an insurance policy for rich investors, but that’s not important right now. Interesting that you interject a particle accelerator (Super conductor) when talking about economic fraud and mismanagement! Was that intentional or subliminal?

The reason it has gotten "so out of control", is that very attitude. Joe Ordinary you can just go sit in the corner and let the grown ups do what needs to be done.

OK well we done that and this is what we have to show for it! It’s time to separate the criminals from the grown-ups here and hold the responsible parties accountable for their actions!
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 10:57 AM
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OK well we done that and this is what we have to show for it! It’s time to separate the criminals from the grown-ups here and hold the responsible parties accountable for their actions!
So do it. Fine. But sign the (*)(*)(*)(*) bill.
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Old 09-24-2008, 11:05 AM
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So do it. Fine. But sign the (*)(*)(*)(*) bill.
If it's not in the bill, it won't get done! They want the congress to pay them their allowance without having to take the trash out (clean house) or mow the grass (adjust/enforce appropriate regulatory actions)!
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Old 09-24-2008, 11:12 AM
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If it's not in the bill, it won't get done! They want the congress to pay them their allowance without having to take the trash out (clean house) or mow the grass (adjust/enforce appropriate regulatory actions)!
The government can pass regulation anytime it wants. The government cannot control who manages a company and who does not. The idiots who got loans they could not afford to pay back were not criminal. And the idiots who bought loans the borrower could not pay back were not criminal.
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Old 09-24-2008, 11:15 AM
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Originally Posted by stekim View Post
Only half wrong! The problem kept getting worse, so it went from "no meldown, just some minor pain" to "OK, no meltdown, but major pain", to "Oh crap, meltdown".
I don't know about you but I had no idea it was this bad. We buy and sell commercial mortgages every day when I was at GE. But <gasp> we used sound lending practices. Why was commercial different than consumer? Hmmm, well what is the one key difference between these two areas, commercial and residential? Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Gee, that must be a coincidence. And that those entities were pushing and buying bad paper has nothing to do with this right?

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I'll say that when it's passed, my friend.
I understand the skepticism, but if the market collapses the dems have to know they will be responsible for it because Bush is screaming for a bill to sign. On the other hand, we will be under Marshall Law after the resulting panic so parties won't matter.
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 11:24 AM
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Originally Posted by Reb
I don't know about you but I had no idea it was this bad. We buy and sell commercial mortgages every day when I was at GE. But <gasp> we used sound lending practices. Why was commercial different than consumer? Hmmm, well what is the one key difference between these two areas, commercial and residential? Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Gee, that must be a coincidence. And that those entities were pushing and buying bad paper has nothing to do with this right?
Fannie and Freddie contributed big time. But there is another difference. Commerical Real Estate loans are not approved by brokers who get a commission and then pass the risk along. In a way it was like 9/11. It only happened because so many people in so many places did so many things wrong. Commericial loans have a backstop. If you have insuffcient income and crappy credit you will be denied. Period. Not so with mortgages circa 2004. Then Freddie and Fannie decide that such mortgages now qualify for securitization, the ratings agencies bless them, and financial institutions buy them and borrow against them. I guess the fact people can't pay them back just escaped everyone's attention.
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 11:26 AM
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Originally Posted by progressive25 View Post
As President Bush tries once again to create a crisis atmosphere with the aid of Treasury Sec. Paulson, and convince the American people that a financial Armageddon is imminent if Congress doesn’t immediately pass a $700 billion bailout for Wall Street with no strings attached, the ordinary person in the street is wary and remains unconvinced.

Link to rest.
Well----but if we don't act and it DOES happen---then don't come crying around about it. You'll have to realize at that point, then it was YOUR own fault. (using "you" in the general sense)
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Old 09-24-2008, 11:32 AM
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The government can pass regulation anytime it wants.
True but in the mean time I see more mismanagement, pay raises, and bonuses going out to the usual suspects for the big save just in time for Christmas vacation.

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The government cannot control who manages a company and who does not.
What company is this of which you speak? This bankrupt/failed organized criminal pile of debt is a company? Get out of here!

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The idiots who got loans they could not afford to pay back were not criminal. And the idiots who bought loans the borrower could not pay back were not criminal.
Awww but the idiots who knowingly falsified documentation, deliberately categorized loans falsely, and sold (unloaded) loans into the market that they knew were fraudulent, are nothing but "criminals".
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2008, 11:36 AM
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Originally Posted by The Jovial One View Post
I posted these questions yesterday and got bupkis in response. Let's try again.

1. What did Paulson and Bernanke tell congressional leaders on Friday that scared them so badly. This is a free country, and if we are gonna be the ones paying to solve the problem, someone had darn well better tell us what the alternative is... in frank terms. What happens -- in detail -- worst case -- if we say "no bailout"?
I think the President is going to explain that to us tonight.

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Originally Posted by The Jovial One View Post
2. Why $700 billion? Why not $100 billion? Why not "some now, we'll see what you do with it, and then, perhaps, more later"?
Been listening to Chuck Schumer, I see. BECAUSE their point here is to restore confidence. Plus I'm sure they know the numbers of what needs to be bought up. Most Americans wouldn't understand all the financial stuff EVEN IF it was put out in front of them.

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Originally Posted by The Jovial One View Post
3. Who gets bailed out? Greedy CEO's? (*)(*)(*)(*) 'em! Banks? (*)(*)(*)(*) 'em! Let them live with the results of their greed and malfeasance. Are we worried about credit drying up? How about corporate America doing without corporate welfare for a little while and living within their means -- just like WE are required to do? Are we gonna buy up these properties and put people out on the street? (*)(*)(*)(*) THAT! I would rather see my money used to help people refigure their mortgage payments and KEEP them in their houses, instead of having to pay DOUBLE to bail out greedy predatory lenders, and then pay for the social services that will be needed to keep people from freezing this winter.
It's my understanding, Paulson has already compromised on the point of CEO pay. He's concern in NOT wanting to do that, is that he believes it will keep some from coming into the program. If they don't, the plan fails and the country suffers. Sometimes, it's a bad idea to cut off your nose to spite your face. It only hurts more in the long run. But if he's agreed, and it still works, then their demand wasn't a bad one.

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Originally Posted by The Jovial One View Post
Ah gots questions, folks. Do they gots answers?
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