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Old 02-22-2008, 12:01 AM
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Default Canada to withdraw from Afghanistan in 2011

In a new motion, the Conservative administration has set a firm date, in December 2011, to pull out of Afghanistan. On the recommendation of the Manly panel, the motion calls for NATO forces to come help in the dangerous southern region. This is motion that the Liberal party might accept as a compromise to their proposed 2009 date. Its a confidence motion so the Conservatives need the bipartisan support to keep governing. The two smaller opposition parties want immediate withdrawal. The Liberals really don't want the government to fall because they are still behind in the polls, so there is a good chance they would accept the motion. They could abstain from voting, but they have already done this too many times, which has given their leader Stephen Dion the perception of being weak.

But the budget vote comes before this vote, and its very possible the government could fall before this motion ever gets voted on. If thats the case, the Liberals could win the next election and with third and fourth party support, could pull out by the desired 2009 date anyways. However, not setting an exit date would have been a disaster for the Conservatives, given that 60% of Canadians are against the mission, and at the minimum want to know when we're leaving. Also, no party wants to be blamed for causing an election, if the Liberals don't accept the Conservative compromise, many would blame the Liberals for causing an unneeded election.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080222/...da_afghanistan
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Old 02-22-2008, 12:08 AM
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boo

I wonder how this affects NATO. I can't see the precedent of pulling out of a treaty obligated war unilaterally because the other players are being sissies to various degrees makes the alliance worth a (*)(*)(*)(*). BUT then the lack of combat troops from Germany etc is total BS as well.

Its 3 years so maybe it won't matter as much but still ....
al Qaeda.

Canda..yeah..whatever..

Last edited by DuH2; 02-22-2008 at 12:22 AM.
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Old 02-22-2008, 12:54 AM
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The government said it plans to have MPs vote on the Afghan motion next month before the Prime Minister heads to a summit of NATO leaders in Bucharest, April 2-4. The government wants NATO to commit another 1,000 troops to Kandahar and help it obtain helicopters and unmanned drones.

The Tory motion adopted almost all of the wording of a motion proposed by Mr. Dion on Feb. 12, but changed a few key points.

It deleted the Liberals' demands that the Canadian Forces refuse to transfer detainees to Afghan authorities. Instead, the government commits to "meeting the highest NATO and international standards" on respecting prisoners' rights.

Mr. Rae said the important point is that the government agreed to accept a firm end date, broadening the mission with more aid and diplomatic efforts, and adopting the Liberal wording on changing the focus of the mission to training Afghan forces and providing security for reconstruction efforts.

"That's what the mission will do. The issue will be if NATO says, 'We want other things to be done,' you say, 'Well, if you want those things to be done, you're going to have to find an additional partner to do that.' "

Also yesterday, Mr. Harper delivered a speech to a defence think tank that stressed the need to be willing to send soldiers to fight to enforce peace in dangerous areas, rather than sticking to classic blue-bereted peacekeeping.

"That is the reality and will be the reality of our world for the foreseeable future," he said. "That means we will need a strong, multifaceted military, backed by the political will to deploy."

He said the world will ignore well-meaning countries without military strength.

"Countries that cannot or will not make real contributions to global security are not regarded as serious players," he said.

"They may be liked by everybody. They may be pleasantly acknowledged by everybody. But when the hard decisions get made, they will be ignored by everybody."

Mr. Harper promised his government would hike the "automatic" increases in military spending in the federal budget starting in 2011, from 1.5 per cent a year to 2 per cent. He said accelerating the increase in defence spending would "thoroughly reverse the so-called rusting out of our Canadian Forces."
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servl...l_gam_mostview

I assume the MP's will vote yes?
Very contradictory things going on up there..
One side is saying out of Afghanistan and NATO will just have to find another member to do x if x still needs doing.....great plan btw zz

..while Harper (I assume representing the other side?) is saying buildup because we need a military to fight wars like that in Afghanistan...

Last edited by DuH2; 02-22-2008 at 12:57 AM.
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Old 02-22-2008, 01:05 AM
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Article 5
The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.

Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security .
http://www.nato.int/docu/basictxt/treaty.htm

Ok I suppose they can cop out by defending the "North Atlantic area... "

Because afaik the Security Council of NATO has not set a date for declaring the War in Afghanistan over...which is pretty hard to do unless the enemy just co-operates and gets beat by the date declared....

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Old 02-22-2008, 03:50 AM
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.
i think this are big mistake for Canada to go fro m Afghanistan. Stephane Dion he still think Afghanistan ar e Bush war. Canada must stay in NATO force in devoir to the free world.
.
.

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Old 02-22-2008, 06:23 AM
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Originally Posted by DuH2 View Post
http://www.nato.int/docu/basictxt/treaty.htm

Ok I suppose they can cop out by defending the "North Atlantic area... "

Because afaik the Security Council of NATO has not set a date for declaring the War in Afghanistan over...which is pretty hard to do unless the enemy just co-operates and gets beat by the date declared....
December 2011 is just under 4 years away. There are problems with withdrawal dates, but this one provides a huge amount of time, and its actually a better outcome than I thought the Conservatives could muster.

If the Taliban cooperate and get beat by the date declared, then great. If they don't, the Afghan soldiers that were trained over that 4 year span will finish them off.

Even after 4 years, Canada will probably leave a residual presence to support the Afghans, like Britain has done in Basra.
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Old 02-22-2008, 07:49 AM
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I believe this is a mistake. Set pre-conditions for withdraw but never a fixed date like this.

We should be encoraging other NATO members to contribute more, not sebding the message that a chunk of our forces will be quitting in a couple of years whether the job is done or not.

I'm saddened and dissappointed about this.
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Old 02-27-2008, 09:06 AM
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Originally Posted by lunecat View Post
I believe this is a mistake. Set pre-conditions for withdraw but never a fixed date like this.

We should be encoraging other NATO members to contribute more, not sebding the message that a chunk of our forces will be quitting in a couple of years whether the job is done or not.

I'm saddened and dissappointed about this.
The date was ALREADY fixed. It was fixed at Febuary 2009. In a minority government situation, with all 3 opposition parties demanding withdrawal at the Febuary 2009 date, to get a compromise with the official opposition Liberals of almost FOUR YEAR extension is amazing.

Its not a mistake when the only alternative is for the government to not compromise, fall on the issue of Afghanistan in which 60% of Canadians are against the mission, give the Liberals momentum and a chance to win the election, and have the Liberals win guaranteeing Canada will be out of Afghanistan by EARLY NEXT YEAR.

You are Scottish, you should know that in a minority Parliament, you can't just ram your ideals through and expect to be successful. If that was possible, the Conservatives would be going for pre-conditions over a fixed date.
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Old 02-27-2008, 10:16 AM
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Originally Posted by Wildbore View Post
The date was ALREADY fixed. It was fixed at Febuary 2009. In a minority government situation, with all 3 opposition parties demanding withdrawal at the Febuary 2009 date, to get a compromise with the official opposition Liberals of almost FOUR YEAR extension is amazing.

Its not a mistake when the only alternative is for the government to not compromise, fall on the issue of Afghanistan in which 60% of Canadians are against the mission, give the Liberals momentum and a chance to win the election, and have the Liberals win guaranteeing Canada will be out of Afghanistan by EARLY NEXT YEAR.

You are Scottish, you should know that in a minority Parliament, you can't just ram your ideals through and expect to be successful. If that was possible, the Conservatives would be going for pre-conditions over a fixed date.

I was unaware Canada had already set Feb 2009.

So now I do - I am still saddened and dissappointed with that illogical decision.

The Government should stand by the principle of overthrowing the Taliban and their Al-Queda cronnies and introducing a stable Democractic Afghan State free from terrorist. I doubt the Government would fall on that sole issue - I may be wrong on that.

In the UK - the Parliment that has soverign decision making powers whether to go to war and continue that war is in Westminster - there are only 2 parties Labour and Conservative with any chance of being in power and both are committed to the war in Afghanistan and both can still remember why we are fighting there!
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Old 02-27-2008, 05:36 PM
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Originally Posted by lunecat View Post
I was unaware Canada had already set Feb 2009.

So now I do - I am still saddened and dissappointed with that illogical decision.

The Government should stand by the principle of overthrowing the Taliban and their Al-Queda cronnies and introducing a stable Democractic Afghan State free from terrorist. I doubt the Government would fall on that sole issue - I may be wrong on that.

In the UK - the Parliment that has soverign decision making powers whether to go to war and continue that war is in Westminster - there are only 2 parties Labour and Conservative with any chance of being in power and both are committed to the war in Afghanistan and both can still remember why we are fighting there!
Parliament declares war and ends war here as well. The last motion to extend the mission, which occurred in 2007, passed by only 5 votes I think. It was a free vote, so each MP voted his own way. So it barely passed.

So if the Conservatives wanted to extend it again, they would definitely need support of another party. The two smaller parties are socialist, they will not extend no matter what, so the only choice is the official opposition Liberals. The Liberals really don't want an election, because they're not doing great in the polls, and the Conservatives don't really want to fall on the Afghan issue, because of how Canadians feel about it.

So they made a compromise,: the Conservatives extend the mission, and they get to govern longer, while the Liberals get a withdrawal date.

Obviously you have it great in Britain, you have a majority government that supports the mission. Even if they lose, your other party supports it as well. So lucky you, but not lucky us, we are in the worse position possible. I guess there is one worse position, being zero parties supporting.

Still, 3 and a half years more of combat fighting is way more than what France, Germany, and most countries are doing, or will ever do. I'd rather leave Afghanistan saying we've made a useful contribution, rather than sit there like Germany and France for 100 years sitting in the middle of Kabul doing absolutely nothing.
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Last edited by Wildbore; 02-27-2008 at 05:37 PM.
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