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Old 06-05-2007, 07:24 AM
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Default Clinton and Obama tied??

The latest USA Today/Gallup poll has Clinton and Obama running even, great news for Obama fans (or Clinton haters) -- if it's true.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washing...-results_N.htm

We do occasionally get "outlier" polls due to bad samples or what not, so it will be interesting to see what results from other polls over the next few days. Even if not truly tied, there seems to be some tightening in the race, which as far as I know is a bit unexpected. I didn't see the Democratic debate, but from what I heard, Clinton did well.
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Old 06-05-2007, 07:48 AM
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From the recaps I've heard, Obama has taken a much more aggressive stance in the debate and probably done away with a lot of the skepticism surrounding his vagueness and quietness on issues.
And as much as Clinton did well... I really don't see how trying to silence the arguing by saying all the Democrats were basically the same would impress anyone.

What saddens me is that despite giving another strong performance and sticking out, Biden hasn't had any real momentum.

I'll take Obama over Clinton, but in all honesty, Clinton is growing on me a bit... Not like she had anywhere to go but up.
She's probably tied for #5 with Dodd for my Democrat preference list.
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Old 06-05-2007, 08:05 AM
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BTW... who do you reckon will get the Al Gore votes?
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Old 06-05-2007, 09:21 AM
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Default .

Good question -- I thought much of his support was coming from environuts, but have heard more mainstream ppl come out for him, too. I would guess he might lose some support to a green candidate, but probably nothing too significant. I would guess that Obama would get a larger share of the remainder than Clinton, mostly since Gore has attracted less of the mainstream and Hillary is very mainstream.
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Old 06-05-2007, 10:24 PM
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Default .

The same poll gives 8 of 17 of Gore's percentage points to Clinton, 6 to Obama and 2 to Edwards.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08dem.htm

For a few reasons, I expected Obama to close the gap eventually but not this soon. Note that this particular poll has a small sample size (a little over 400) and a relatively large margin of error of +-5. The ABC poll a few days earlier still shows Clinton with a 12-point lead, although Obama has a net gain of 5 points since their last poll. The trend is moving in that direction overall.
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Old 06-06-2007, 07:09 AM
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Default .

Ah, there we go... sounds like Gore's support is almost split. Another relevant question:

"Suppose the choice for the Democratic presidential nomination narrows down to Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama. Which one would you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president: Hillary Rodham Clinton or Barack Obama?"

Clinton: 49, Obama: 46

Which is a significant improvement (for Obama) over last month:

Clinton: 54, Obama: 40

If this continues, I wonder if Clinton will be continue to be content with downplaying differences among Democrats.
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Old 06-06-2007, 07:18 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Liberty";p=&quot View Post
If this continues, I wonder if Clinton will be continue to be content with downplaying differences among Democrats.
She's stuck with it now. If she changes her approach to the debates, I'd imagine someone in the race will remind the people watching at home of what she said before.
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Old 06-06-2007, 06:20 PM
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Maybe the sheep have figured out what a raving socialist the Hildabeast is.
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Old 06-09-2007, 09:46 AM
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Maybe you should stop spending all your time coming up with silly nicknames for people and their parties and write something of substance.
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Old 06-11-2007, 03:36 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Liberty";p=&quot View Post
We do occasionally get "outlier" polls due to bad samples or what not, so it will be interesting to see what results from other polls over the next few days.
...indeed, too interesting to be true. The two most recent polls have Clinton up by 12/13 points -- a bit tighter than a month ago, but by no means tied. Obama still has a lot of ground to gain.
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