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Obama Wins Missippi; Over 100,000 more votes than John McCain Obama Wins Missippi; Over 100,000 more votes than John McCain
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:02 PM
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Default Obama Wins Missippi; Over 100,000 more votes than John McCain
http://politics.nytimes.com/election...states/MS.html

This is a continuing pattern for Obama, throughout the south.

If Obama wins the nomination, the Democrats may finally break Nixon's "southern strategy."
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:05 PM
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Originally Posted by f0ca1 View Post
http://politics.nytimes.com/election...states/MS.html

This is a continuing pattern for Obama, throughout the south.

If Obama wins the nomination, the Democrats may finally break Nixon's "southern strategy."
Hogwash - Mississipi is loaded with black dems who voted by skin color, that's the beginning and end of it.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:06 PM
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Hogwash - Mississipi is loaded with black dems who voted by skin color, that's the beginning and end of it.
Are black people the majority in Mississippi?

Because Obama got more votes than anybody else, by far.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:21 PM
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Are black people the majority in Mississippi?

Because Obama got more votes than anybody else, by far.
From the last census they were 37% of the state - undoubtedly the majority of democrats.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:25 PM
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id be excited about this if dying from old age wasnt the only thing mccain has to worry about at this point.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:28 PM
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I believe Obama got 90% of the black vote and 25% of the white vote.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:31 PM
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From the last census they were 37%
Obama recieved 48% of all votes cast.

McCain recieved 21% of all votes cast.

Even if you tack on all the smart people who voted for another Republican, and half of Hillary's votes, McCain would still have less votes than Obama by double digits.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:32 PM
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Besides the obvious part that McCain is already the nominee.....

This is like saying more people voted for the dog then the cat in the dog show.

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Roughly 62.2% of all primary votes have been cast in the Democratic primary. This is an impressive statistic. However, by itself it does count as evidence of a Democratic advantage. The reason is that Democrats typically out-perform Republicans in the primaries. The following chart compares the Democrats' share of primary turnout against their share of the two-party vote in the general election.



As you can see - 62.2% is far from extraordinary. Even when we exempt the years in which the Republican Party had non-competitive contests (1972, 1984 and 2004), the Democrats typically out-perform the GOP. Pulling in 62.2% of the primary vote is no unique feat for the Democrats. 1996 is telling. Bill Clinton had no serious challenge while Bob Dole faced a protracted battle against multiple opponents. And yet the GOP still only pulled in 55% of the primary vote.

Another key year is 1988. This is the best apples-to-apples comparison of 2008 that there is. That year, both parties had open nomination battles. The Democrats out-performed the GOP by a margin larger than what they have done this year, pulling in a little more than 65% of the total primary vote. Did it do them any good in the general? No. George H.W. Bush beat Michael Dukakis, 54% to 46%.

So, there is apparently no connection between Democratic primary turnout and the Democratic vote in the general. Why not? I would suggest two reasons. First, higher turnout is in many respects a consequence of drama rather than enthusiasm. In years past, the Democrats have had more dramatic primary battles that have intrigued and engaged voters. This year is no exception. Dramatic races might have a negative effect on the party because it drains time and money from the eventual nominee.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/hor...y_resul_1.html







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Old 03-11-2008, 09:34 PM
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Originally Posted by f0ca1 View Post
If Obama wins the nomination, the Democrats may finally break Nixon's "southern strategy."
One thing's for sure, Bill Clinton's "southern strategy" in SC has put Hillary in a real bind.
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Old 03-11-2008, 09:36 PM
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Besides the obvious part that McCain is already the nominee.....
The pattern is consistent throughout the south.

Obama will, at the very least, put John McCain on defense in dixie.
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