McCain ahead against either/McCain please answer phone/Obama sinking

DuH2 · #1 (**permalink**) 03-18-2008, 11:25 PM

Quote:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday again shows John McCain with a six-percentage point lead over both potential Democratic opponents. McCain currently leads Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton by an identical 48% to 42% margin (see recent daily results). Among White voters, McCain leads Clinton by fifteen percentage points and Obama by nineteen points. Both Democrats lead McCain by large margins among minority voters.

Barack Obama delivered a major speech in Philadelphia today in an effort to move beyond the controversy swirling around his former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright (see Obama’s speech).The Illinois Senator is viewed favorably today by just 48% of voters nationwide (see recent daily results). The number with an unfavorable view of Obama has grown to 49%. Obama’s overall favorable ratings peaked at 56% on February 21 and have declined modestly since that time. While Obama tries to move beyond discussions of race, he is viewed favorably by 83% of African-Americans and by 42% among White voters.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 53%, unfavorably by 42%. Clinton is viewed favorably by 46%, unfavorably by 53%. (see recent daily results). McCain earns favorable reviews from 59% of White voters and 31% of African-Americans. As for Clinton, she earns favorable reviews from 43% of White voters and 61% of African-Americans.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._tracking_poll

Quote:

Date 03/18/2008
Fav
Unfav

McCain
53%
42%

Clinton
46%
53%

Obama
48%
49%

Obama lost 4% over 3 weeks..BUT another 4% over this weekend alone.

Quote:

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters say that Wright’s comments are racially divisive. That opinion is held by 77% of White voters and 58% of African-American voters. In addressing the issue, Obama warned against injecting race into the campaign .

Most voters, 56%, said Wright’s comments made them less likely to vote for Obama. That figure includes 44% of Democrats. Just 11% of voters say they are more likely to vote for Obama because of Wright’s comments.

However, among African-Americans, 29% said Wright’s comments made them more likely to support Obama. Just 18% said the opposite while 50% said Wright’s comments would have no impact.

Overall, voters are evenly divided as to whether Obama should resign his membership in the Church—42% say that he should while 40% disagree. White voters, by a 46% to 33% margin, say that Obama should leave the Church. African-American voters, by a 68% to 16% margin, say he should not. Wright retired last month as Pastor of the Church.

The story became big news in the past several days and has had at least a temporary impact on public perceptions of Obama. Last Thursday, 52% of voters nationwide had a favorable opinion of Obama. That figure has fallen to 47% on Monday (see recent daily results). In recent days, Obama has also lost ground to John McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_c...eremiah_wright

//

3am phone call?..McCain overall. Obama in the dust...

Quote:

Given the choice between Clinton and McCain, 55% preferred McCain while 37% would want Clinton to answer the phone, while 9% said they were unsure

Quote:

Between McCain and Obama, 56% favored McCain while 35% preferred Obama, with 10% saying they couldn’t make up their mind on the question.

Quote:

McCain, who calls himself a conservative, makes big inroads across ideological lines on the question, the survey shows, as 25% of the very liberal and 32% of mainline liberals prefer he answer the phone instead of Clinton, and 23% of the very liberal and 35% of mainline liberals prefer him over Obama. Just 15% of conservatives prefer Clinton take the call, and 16% of conservatives would rather have Obama taking a crisis phone call instead of McCain.

Quote:

The survey shows that among all voters – Democrats, Republicans, and independents – there is a near-equal preference for Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama to answer a crisis phone call as President. When given the choice between them, 37% preferred Clinton, while 36% preferred Obama. Another 27% of all voters said they were unsure.

But among just Democrats, Clinton is preferred by 48%, compared to 38% of Democrats who said they would rather have Obama answer the phone. Among just Democrats, 14% said they were unsure.

Among all voters regardless of partisan affiliation, in the race between Obama and Clinton, Obama is favored by a wide 49% to 32% margin among the very liberal, while mainline liberals favored Clinton by a 50% to 38% edge. Among moderates, Clinton’s edge is 44% to 34%, while conservatives preferred Obama, 39% to 36% for Clinton, with the rest of conservatives declining to make a choice.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1468

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105088/Ga...-Obama-44.aspx

NJV · #2 (**permalink**) 03-19-2008, 06:27 AM

you should all go to www.pollingreport.com/wh08genhtm, I'd put it up as a link but don't know how.

catzmeow · #3 (**permalink**) 03-19-2008, 06:41 AM

Yep. As Obama and Hilary tangle, the only winner is McCain.

DuH2 · #4 (**permalink**) 03-19-2008, 02:06 PM

Quote:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

The poll showed Obama had only a statistically insignificant lead of 47 percent to 44 percent over Clinton, down sharply from a 14 point edge he held over her in February when he was riding the tide of 10 straight victories.

Illinois Sen. Obama, who would be America's first black president, has been buffeted by attacks in recent weeks from New York Sen. Clinton over his fitness to serve as commander-in-chief and by a tempest over racially charged sermons given by his Chicago preacher.

The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.

McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.

That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 percent to 40 percent.

"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.

Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 percent to 40 percent, narrower than his 50 to 38 percent advantage over her in February.

"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side," Zogby said

Obama gave a speech on Tuesday rebuking his pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, for sermons sometimes laced with inflammatory tirades but said he could not disown him and it was time for Americans to bind the country's racial wounds.

The poll showed Obama continues to have strong support from the African-American community but that he is experiencing some slippage among moderates and independents.

Among independents, McCain led for the first time in the poll, 46 percent to 36 percent over Obama.

He was behind McCain by 21 percent among white voters.

http://www.reuters.com/article/polit...rpc=22&sp=true

f0ca1 · #5 (**permalink**) 03-19-2008, 02:31 PM

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_c...olling_history

Obama Clinton
March 19: 47 42
March 18: 45 44 -- Obama's speech
March 17: 46 44
March 16: 47 44
March 15: 46 45
March 14: 50 42
March 13: 48 41 -- Wright hits news
March 12: 47 42
March 11: 48 41 -- Mississippi
March 10: 46 44
March 9: 45 47
March 8: 45 46 --Wyoming
March 7: 43 49
March 6: 43 48
March 5: 43 48
March 4: 44 46 -- OH, TX, VT, RI

DuH2 · #6 (**permalink**) 03-19-2008, 10:30 PM

Quote:

It's starting to look like Barack Obama is paying a political price for the hate-filled rhetoric of his longtime pastor and spiritual mentor (Obama's description), the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Realclearpolitics.com's latest polls show John McCain leading Obama 46 to 45 percent, even though Obama was ahead in 14 of 16 polls taken between February 1 and March 2. Currently, Scott Rasmussen's poll has McCain leading Obama 48 to 42 percent; a week ago, he had McCain insignificantly ahead, 45 to 44 percent. Rasmussen has Obama's favorability declining from 52 percent on March 13 to 47 percent on March 17. He also shows Wright viewed favorably by just 8 percent of voters, while 73 percent consider his comments racially divisive. Note the varying responses of blacks and whites to Wright's remarks.

Rasmussen's figures no longer support the argument that Obama is a stronger general-election candidate than Hillary Clinton, at least right now. And he seems headed for a weaker showing in Pennsylvania than his 54-to-44 percent loss in Ohio.The RCP average in Pennsylvania is 52 to 36 percent. This just may be, as RCP's John McIntyre writes, "time to buy Hillary Clinton." And, he might have added, John McCain.

http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/

justabubba · #7 (**permalink**) 03-20-2008, 12:30 AM

appears duh is maintaining the scoreboard these days
so, will we need an audit after the election?

apologies to those who did not know our previous scorekeeper, barney fife; this was an oblique reference

Tedminator · #8 (**permalink**) 03-20-2008, 12:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuH2

awww thats cute.

PatriotNews · #9 (**permalink**) 03-20-2008, 08:56 AM

Quote:

WASHINGTON -- Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. ...

McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.

There may be some HOPE for the November election after all.

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