Obama Will Put the South In Play

f0ca1 · #1 (**permalink**) 05-15-2008, 11:54 PM

The "MSM" has caught up to this point, which I've been making for some time...

Quote:

NEW ORLEANS — The sharp surge in black turnout that Senator Barack Obama has helped to generate in recent primaries and Congressional races could signal a threat this fall to the longtime Republican dominance of the South, according to politicians and voting experts.

Should Mr. Obama become the Democratic nominee, he would still have to struggle for white swing voters in the South and in border states like West Virginia, where he lost decisively to Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in Tuesday’s presidential primary. In West Virginia, where more than three-fourths of white voters chose Mrs. Clinton, 20 percent of the white voters said the race of the candidate mattered in their choice.

But in Southern states with large black populations, like Alabama, Mississippi and Virginia, an energized black electorate could create a countervailing force, particularly if conservative white voters choose not to flock to Senator John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee. Merle Black, a political scientist at Emory University in Atlanta, predicts “the largest black turnout in the history of the United States” this fall if Mr. Obama is the nominee.

To hold these states, Republicans may have to work harder than ever. Already, turnout in Democratic primaries this year has substantially exceeded Republican turnout in states like Arkansas, Louisiana, South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia.

Some analysts suggest that North Carolina and Virginia may even be within reach for the Democratic nominee, and they point to the surprising result in a Congressional special election in Mississippi this week as an indicator of things to come.

With the strong support of black voters, a conservative white Democrat, Travis W. Childers, scored an upset victory in that race, in a district held by Republicans since 1995. Kelvin Buck, a black state representative who helped the Childers campaign, said he saw a “level of enthusiasm and energy” that he had not seen before from black voters — significantly motivated, he said, by a recent Republican anti-Obama campaign.

The numbers appear to bear that out. In one black precinct in the town of Amory, Miss., the number of voters nearly doubled, to 413, from the Congressional election in 2006, and this for a special election with nothing else on the ballot. Meanwhile, in a nearby white precinct, the number of voters dropped by nearly half.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/16/us...6south.html?hp

Black people count.

superdude17* · #2 (**permalink**) 05-15-2008, 11:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f0ca1

The "MSM" has caught up to this point, which I've been making for some time...

Black people count.

lol. they hold a majority in no state...

they will play no factor.

but, keep thinking that.

f0ca1 · #3 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by superdude17*

lol. they hold a majority in no state...

One thing is for sure, the white people who didn't show up, didn't count.

I wonder if they'll show up to vote for a flipflopper like McCain?

superdude17* · #4 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f0ca1

One thing is for sure, the white people who didn't show up, didn't count.

I wonder if they'll show up to vote for a flipflopper like McCain?

trust me, we will en mass. organization is beginning right now. democrats are sitting high right now, but they aren't aware of the local organization that has been occurring.

my parents have told me they have gotten 3 or 4 calls just this last week from the local republican organizer.

democrats are going to be very surprised...as are the liberal media.

operation chaos obama has begun.

f0ca1 · #5 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by superdude17*

trust me, we will en mass.

Trust you? Wow, since I take your predictions and assurances so seriously, I'm quaking with fear. Really. You seem confident.

Quote:

organization is beginning right now.

Funny, I didn't know you guys stopped. That was a lazy mistake, because we haven't.

Quote:

democrats are sitting high right now, but they aren't aware of the local organization that has been occurring.

I think it is you that is unaware of our organization. We're pushing in all 50 states.

Worked in 06. It will work again.

Whatever ground game you guys have, you haven't brought it to this state. We've certainly brought it to yours; re: miss.

Quote:

my parents have told me they have gotten 3 or 4 calls just this last week from the local republican organizer.

Oh? Well then the party's problem's are solved.

Quote:

democrats are going to be very surprised...as are the liberal media.

Yeah, we're going to do even better than we expect. Why? Because people are sick of the GOP's BS.

Proof? Check the results in missippi.

We drink your milkshake. We drink it up.

Quote:

operation chaos obama has begun.

Coincidentally, the primary version of "operation dumbass" has just ended in failure, despite your many assured predictions of Clinton resurgence. Fail.

If there is a God, he sends the gift of "operation chaos" and the failure of the fat drug-addict's listeners, for the amusement of people who think for themselves.

superdude17* · #6 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f0ca1

Trust you? Wow, since I take your predictions and assurances so seriously, I'm quaking with fear. Really. You seem confident.

Funny, I didn't know you guys stopped. That was a lazy mistake, because we haven't.

I think it is you that is unaware of our organization. We're pushing in all 50 states.

Worked in 06. It will work again.

Whatever ground game you guys have, you haven't brought it to this state. We've certainly brought it to yours; re: miss.

Oh? Well then the party's problem's are solved.

Yeah, we're going to do even better than we expect. Why? Because people are sick of the GOP's BS.

Proof? Check the results in missippi.

We drink your milkshake. We drink it up.

Coincidentally, the primary version of "operation dumbass" has just ended in failure, despite your many assured predictions of Clinton resurgence. Fail.

If there is a God, he sends the gift of "operation chaos" and the failure of the fat drug-addict's listeners, for the amusement of people who think for themselves.

oh please....mississippi....that state means so much come the election in electoral votes....

Ronin-Talgar · #7 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:27 AM

Hi there superdude, care to back up your quotes from Obama's books? I'm sure it got lost in the sea of threads you're involved in, but I'd prefer a response. Its your thread afterall. The 'Unelectable' one?

f0ca1 · #8 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 12:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by superdude17*

oh please....mississippi....

It's a seat that should have been a shuin for you guys.

You even tried to use Obama against the Democrat.

That backfired because votes count, even if they're made by black people.

At the very least, McCain will have to spend his puny coffers on states that, traditionally, he shouldn't have to.

Democrats are energized and eager to vote for our candidates. That will spread.

The best you guys can come up with is "don't vote for the other guy, his wife said something, something..."

You have nothing to run on.

And, conservatives who aren't radio-listening wingnuts are indicating that they just aren't excited about Bush-lite.

So, make your baseless predictions, and milk those truncated sound bytes.

It's done SOOO well for you so far.

We'll be busy winning.

BillyBob · #9 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 04:44 AM

Blacks always vote democrat, this election will be no different whether it's Obama or Hillary.

White Fox · #10 (**permalink**) 05-16-2008, 04:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f0ca1

One thing is for sure, the white people who didn't show up, didn't count.

I wonder if they'll show up to vote for a flipflopper like McCain?

Do you think they'll show up to vote against Obama. You have obviously never been to the South.

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