He has a very good shot and New Jersey and even New York based on his middle of the road politics, his exprience and merit plus having Rudy campaign for you helps as well.

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"True Freedom is the Freedom to oppress others"

Ideology: Self Preservation.

You libbies just better get ready for the landslide in november

Don't worry. We are. Although I don't really think it will be Nixonian or even LBJ-like in nature. But Obama will win comfortably enough.

Thanks for worrying.

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Putting the partisan signature on hiatus until I get back. Then... WATCH OUT!!!

Every poll and EV site out there says otherwise. Until you can provide me with proof that McCain is going to win in a landslide, shut up and stop regurgitating "libbie" in everything you post.

This race, if anything, is shaping up to be close.

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"I hope we shall crush in its birth the aristocracy of our monied corporations which dare already to challenge our government to a trial by strength, and bid defiance to the laws of our country."
- Thomas Jefferson

I agree with you here no way McCain plays in NYC even with Rudy's help.

The demographics just aren't there for him.

Now, if he does REAL well upstate, NY state MIGHT be closer than it would appear to be now... but most prognosticators are indicating NY as a win in the Obama column.

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Putting the partisan signature on hiatus until I get back. Then... WATCH OUT!!!

the election sadly will have to do with whether people view obama as ready and presidential. i don't agree with the popularity but the nation does want change even if they dont understand the change obama is offering. but if mccain can prove obama is too big of a risk he will win. I'd say in likelyhood to win I'd go: Obama 52% McCain 48% that doesn't mean I think Obama wins by four just that I think he is a slight favorite. I think however a landslide either way is possible.

this election could be unpredicatble b/c the south which is usually red could turn witha large black turnout and yet McCain could win Indys at an alarming rate for the Dems.

I believe it's simpler than that.

I think people will stand in the voting booths and ask themselves if they want four more years of Bush policies. If the answer is "yes", then they will vote for McCain.

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Putting the partisan signature on hiatus until I get back. Then... WATCH OUT!!!

see me and tjo take our political bias out when we do election analysis, you can't judge an election based on who your candidate is. thats why msnbc losses all credibility with matthews and olbermann hosting election coverage.