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and how useful is speculation? We can sit here and say "McCain will lose this"... "Obama will lose that". lol if a poll is useless at this point (where pretty much everything is up in the air"... "Obama will lose the electoral college" is just loose talk ...or wishful thinking.
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That depends entirely on how they got their sample. Since it's an online poll, theres pretty much no chance of a random sample.
So no, it's not accurate. At all. Thats obvious by just looking at the map. |
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id say maybe half the voters will actually sit down and look at the policies. thats split vote 50/50. some like obama, some like mccain.
40 percent will vote on image and overall appeal. this is heavy obama. 30-10 is generous here. 10 percent might vote on race although key numbers ive seen lead me to believe that factor is overblown. ill say 10 though just to be on the big side. out of that 10 percent, say 8-2 mccain. i think itll end up being something like 57 43 obama. intrade obama 61.2 mccain 34.3 |
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I disagree on the image factor, McCain has a very positive image and possiblity better than Obama considerign the whole rev. wright factor. |
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