market has closed for today : 6/23

-this tool is used to project the probability of the winner of each state in the election if it were to happen today. daily happenings and market movement help show a clear picture of the general election that is updated daily. this tool had a 100 percent success rate for the 2004 election which is why I hold it in high regard.

example: Alabama 92-6 McCain has a 92 percent chance of winning Alabama, Obama has a 6 percent chance.

illustrates change in market

McCain: 216
Alabama 92-6
Alaska 80.1-15 previous 80-15
Arizona 90-8
Arkansas 76-18
Florida 62.5-36 previous 61.5-36
Georgia 70-25
Idaho 90-5
Indiana 65-25
Kansas 80-10.5
Kentucky 90-9
Louisiana 84-10.5
Mississippi 80-11
Montana 70-20 previous 75-16
Nebraska 82-10
North Carolina 65-30
North Dakota 81-15 previous 80-15
Oklahoma 86-5
South Carolina 85-8
South Dakota 85-8
Tennessee 85-9
Texas 85-5
Utah 90-3.3
West Virginia 80-10
Wyoming 90-3.5

Obama: 322
California 87.1-5
Colorado 66-28 previous 65.5-25
Connecticut 85.1-9 previous 85-11
Delaware 86-6
DC 95-0
Hawaii 92-3
Illinois 95-4
Iowa 77-16
Maine 82.5-10
Maryland 90-5.5
Massachusetts 85-6.5
Michigan 71.2-22
Minnesota 77.5-19
Missouri 50-42 previous 50-40
Nevada: 50-45
New Hampshire 62-32 previous 63-32
New Jersey 86-7 previous 85-7
New Mexico 67-25.1 previous 65-26
New York 92-5
Ohio 65-26 previous 66.4-26
Oregon 80.1-10 previous 85-10
Pennsylvania 78-18
Rhode Island 92-5
Vermont 86.2-6
Virginia 56-41 previous 56-40
Washington 90-5.1
Wisconsin 77.5-15