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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 08:58 AM
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Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
3 weeks ago JLB said rasmussen was not a legit poll, now it is the only poll that matters.

dont ever change JLB, need my comic relief.

Today it is in agreement.
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 09:26 AM
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Originally Posted by JLB View Post
Wrong.

The undecideds always break at the end for the known quantity over the unknown.
You're the one who's wrong. I remember seeing this compiled on both Fox and CNN, but I can't find a link right now. Keep dreaming.
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  #13 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 09:42 AM
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Originally Posted by Birdzeye View Post
I've heard that one before. How do you define "smart people?"
People unlike you.

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Originally Posted by Birdzeye View Post
Who conducted the poll of people with, say, an IQ over 130, for you to come to this conclusion?
Year Race 1 Month Out Next To Last Poll Result Verdict

1936 Incumbent FDR vs. Landon FDR 51, Landon 44 FDR 54, Landon 43 FDR 61, Landon 37 Broke towards incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1940 Incumbent FDR vs. Willkie FDR 51, Willkie 42 FDR 51, Willkie 42 FDR 55, Willkie 45 Broke evenly.

1944 Incumbent FDR vs. Dewey FDR 47, Dewey 45 FDR 47, Dewey 45 FDR 53, Dewey 46 Broke towards incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1948 Incumbent Truman vs. Dewey Dewey 46, Truman 40 Dewey 50, Truman 45 Truman 50, Dewey 45 Broke towards the incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1952 No incumbents. Democrats the incumbent party. Ike vs. Stevenson Ike 51, Stevenson 38 Ike 48, Stevenson 39 Ike 55, Stevenson 44 Broke evenly.

1956 Incumbent Ike vs. Stevenson Ike 51, Stevenson 41 Ike 51, Stevenson 41 Ike 57, Stevenson 42 Broke towards incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1960 No incumbent President. Incumbent VP Nixon vs. Kennedy Kennedy 49, Nixon 45 Kennedy 49, Nixon 45 Kennedy 50, Nixon 50 Broke for incumbent VP.
AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1964 Incumbent LBJ vs. Goldwater LBJ 64, Goldwater 29 LBJ 64, Goldwater 29 LBJ 61, Goldwater 38 Broke towards challenger. (The Conservative)

1968 No incumbents. Democrats the incumbent party. Humphrey vs. Nixon Nixon 43, Humphrey 31 Nixon 44, Humphrey 36 Nixon 43, Humphrey 43 Broke towards incumbent party. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY

1972 Incumbent Nixon vs. McGovern Nixon 60, McGovern 34 Nixon 59, McGovern 36 Nixon 61, McGovern 38 Broke evenly.

1976 Incumbent Ford vs. Carter Carter 47, Ford 41 Carter 48, Ford 44 Carter 50, Ford 48 Slight break towards incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1980 Incumbent Carter vs. Reagan Carter 47, Reagan 39 Carter 47, Reagan 39 Reagan 51, Carter 41 Broke strongly towards challenger. So did some of the decideds. (Landslide)

1984 Incumbent Reagan vs. Mondale Reagan 58, Mondale 38 Reagan 56, Mondale 39 Reagan 59, Mondale 41 Broke evenly. (Landslide)

1988 No incumbent President. Incumbent VP Bush vs. Dukakis Bush 49, Dukakis 43 Bush 53, Dukakis 39 Bush 53, Dukakis 46 Broke evenly from a month out. Broke slightly towards challenger from the 2nd to last poll. (Landslide Dukakis blew a 17 point lead)

1992 Incumbent Bush vs. Clinton Clinton 47, Bush 29 Clinton 43, Bush 36 Clinton 43, Bush 38 Broke towards incumbent. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY


1996 Incumbent Clinton vs. Dole Clinton 48, Dole 39 Clinton 52, Dole 41 Clinton 49, Dole 41 Broke evenly. (Third Party candidate involved)

2000 No incumbent President. Incumbent VP Gore vs. Bush Bush 48, Gore 43 Bush 47, Gore 45 Gore 48, Bush 48 Broke towards incumbent VP. AKA; THE KNOWN QUANTITY
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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 09:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
3 weeks ago JLB said rasmussen was not a legit poll, now it is the only poll that matters.

dont ever change JLB, need my comic relief.
Please supply that quote.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JLB View Post
Oooops!


Rasmussen Research Named Most Accurate in Primary Polling
Business Wire, March 14, 2000 E-mail Print Link Business Editors

WAXHAW, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 14, 2000
McCain takes 10 point lead in Ohio
As usual, you won't be able to back up your talk....
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 09:50 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Truth-Bringer View Post
You're the one who's wrong. I remember seeing this compiled on both Fox and CNN, but I can't find a link right now. Keep dreaming.
I've posted how they break, so wake up rom your nap and face the awful truth.
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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 09:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by katiegrrl0 View Post
This Thread could be titled: Obama still in the lead!!!!
Followed with the question: How does that make you feel?
Great, considering he can't close the deal, and will actually have to talk without his tele-prompter soon.
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 10:06 AM
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Originally Posted by JLB View Post
I've posted how they break, so wake up rom your nap and face the awful truth.
You owe Michael Moore .25 cents for using his copyrighted phrase.

http://www.theawfultruth.com/



...and don't even think about using "an inconvenient truth", unless you want to use up all your carbon credits.
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 07-28-2008, 05:12 PM
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Originally Posted by Joe1991 View Post
You owe Michael Moore .25 cents for using his copyrighted phrase.

http://www.theawfultruth.com/



...and don't even think about using "an inconvenient truth", unless you want to use up all your carbon credits.

The fat man plagerized me?
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