As Obama meltdown continues....

Obama was up three in the last poll.



Election 2008: North Dakota Presidential Election

McCain Takes Lead in North Dakota

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Like neighboring Montana, North Dakota has become a lot friendlier to John McCain in the first polling conducted since Sarah Palin was nominated to be the Republican Vice Presidential nominee.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of North Dakota voters shows McCain with a 14-percentage point lead over Barack Obama, 55% to 41%. In early July, the candidates were tied in the state and Obama was looking to the Dakotas and Montana as a way to expand the electoral map for Democrats. Now, the Democratic nominee appears to be more focused on traditional battleground states.

McCain now leads by 22 percentage points among independent voters. In July, Obama had a ten-point advantage among those voters.

In North Dakota, continues to enjoy a double digit lead among men and has gained a lot of ground among the state’s women voters. The Republican ticket now leads by eleven among North Dakota women after trailing by nine in July (crosstabs available for Premium Members).

A similar phenomenon took place in Montana which went from a toss-up in July to a double-digit McCain lead this month. Nationally, the candidates are essentially even in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.


In North Dakota, McCain is now viewed favorably by 67% of voters and Palin earns positive reviews from 64%.

Obama gets a favorable response from 52% while 47% say the same of his running mate, Joe Biden.

North Dakota voters are evenly divided as to whether or not Obama’s selection of a running mate was the right choice—35% say the Democratic nominee was right to select Biden while another 35% disagreed.

As for McCain’s choice of Palin, 58% say it was the right decision while 27% disagree.

Like voters across the country, the economy tops the issues list in North Dakota. Forty percent (40%) say it’s the most important issue while 25% view national security as the highest priority.

North Dakota historically is as safe a Republican state as any in Presidential elections. George W. Bush carried the state by twenty-seven points in Election 2004 and twenty-eight points four years earlier. The state has voted for a Democratic Presidential candidate just once since 1936.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is currently given a 84.0% chance of winning in North Dakota this November. With release of this poll, North Dakota shifts from “Leans Republican” to “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
Even though George W. Bush won 63% of the vote in North Dakota four years ago, just 41% of the state’s voters now say he is doing a good or an excellent job.

Rasmussen Reports has just released results from the latest Presidential polls in Alaska and New Mexico. Earlier this week, Rasmussen Reports released new presidential polling data for Colorado, Florida, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Additional state Presidential poll results will be released each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...ntial_election

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On vacation.....

North Dakota is a more Republican state than Democratic. Obama was up 3 (in a single poll) after the convention, but McCain was consistently ahead there before that.

The 14 points (in a single poll) is probably an outlier, though. Even in North Dakota, it'd be surprising if opinion swung 17 points in a week.

To illustrate (once again) your hackery and the stupidity of relying on single polls, you (as expected) ignore the polls showing Obama posting statistically significant leads in Michigan and New Hampshire. You also ignored the North Carolina poll showing McCain losing 24 points in ONE DAY.

Keep up the partisan hackery.

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Man up.

There seem to be quite a few "outliers", all after the convention...

Quite a coincidence, eh?

McCain is about one state away from wrapping this up.

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On vacation.....

Actually, I count only two thus far: this one and the one you cited on North Carolina, which (surprise!!) did, in fact, turn out to be an outlier. Shocking!

Not to mention your deliberate ignoring of the fact that McCain is still benefiting from the post-convention bounce.

And your deliberate ignoring of polls showing Obama gaining ground.

Partisan hackery at its best.

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Man up.

Let me help you grasp the situation....

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On vacation.....

poooo yayyy....

IT's TIME TO TURN THAT MAP "LIPSTICK" RED.

TIME TO WIN FOR A "CHANGE"

FIGHT SEXISM.

McCain | Palin in 2008

+++

How nice. You create your own map at RealClearPolitics and pretend it's significant. Oh, and you don't tell anyone you just made it up. How... what's the word?... dishonest.

RCP's own maps show this:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._mccain/?map=5

WITH TOSS UP STATES:
Obama: 217
McCain: 189
Tossup: 132

NO TOSS UPS:
Obama: 273
McCain: 265

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Man up.

My map is up to date with the latest poll numbers, and is more accurate.

You are welcome to use it.

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On vacation.....