O.K. guys, I spent the time going through the individual states to show were it is close, & where it's not. Bush=264 Kerry=266 I gave Kerry Iowa, Ohio, & Michigan, as the poll shows him a little ahead in those states. I did not count New Mexico for anyone as it is a virtual tie.

State Bush Kerry EC votes
AL 62 34 9
AK 57 30 3
AR 52 43 6
AZ 52 43 6
CA 43 51 55
CO 50.3 44.7 9
CT 44 50 7
DE 38 45 3
FL 49.3 45.8 27
GE 58 39 15
HA 41 51 4
ID 59 30 4
IL 39 55 21
IN 58 39 11
IO 46.8 47.5 7--"very close"
KS 57 38 6
KY 50 42 9
LA 50 42 9
MA 36 50 12
ME 44.5 47.0 4
MI 46 48 17 "very close"
MN 43 46.5 10
MS 51 42 6
MO 50 46 11
MT 54 36 3
NE 61 30 5
NV 49.3 44.5 5
MD 41 56 10
NH 46.3 47 4
NJ 43.5 49.5 15
NM 46.5 46.5 5 TIED
NY 35 58 31
NC 52 45 15
ND 62 33 3
OH 46.7 48.7 20 "very close"
OK 50 38 7
OR 50 38 7
PA 45.2 49.0 21
RI 36 56 4
SC 55 37 8
SD 50 37 3
TN 58 39 11
TX 60 37 34
VT 64 27 5
VA 50 44 13
VT 40 50 3
WA 41.5 51.8 11
WV 48.0 44.8 5
WI 47.3 44.3 10
WY 65 29 3


Source comprised polling data from average of Zogby & others. Before 3rd debate.