I can't remember which polster is currently in vogue but today Zogby has Bush by 4 and Rasmussen has Bush by 3.

But the national polls mean nothing. It's those swing states that will decide.

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"What exactly is this foreign policy experience?" Obama said mockingly of the New York senator. "Was she negotiating treaties? Was she handling crises? The answer is no."

They are both inaccurate because <insert flavor of the minute reason here> and because both within margin of error <insert whining about polls>
<insert insult>.

<insert some other poll that shows my canidate is favored>

Wala! my work here is done.

(sorry just wanted to get all that crap outta the way before some screamin liberal did)

Indeed. electoral-vote.com shows Bush 284, Kerry 228. It's gotta pizz of the guy running that site.

Thanks C-F...

You just saved KenLay almost an entire minute of cutting and pasting!!

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I was banned from godlike productions(over 400 times)... and loved it.

"I haven't made you angry, have I?" -Malcolm Reynolds

Everytime someone mentions the word "Rasmussen" KenLay thinks he is going to get a purple heart!!

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I was banned from godlike productions(over 400 times)... and loved it.

"I haven't made you angry, have I?" -Malcolm Reynolds

yeah thanks man, I think I'm on a roll this evenin(morning) whatever it is to ya'll in the states

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"What exactly is this foreign policy experience?" Obama said mockingly of the New York senator. "Was she negotiating treaties? Was she handling crises? The answer is no."

Bump. Update.

Rasmussen, Bush by two. Zogby, Bush by four. Newsweek, Bush by six. Time, Bush by one. Electoral-vote, Bush 257, Kerry 243.

Zogby's measurement system and data collection plan seems to be the most well thought out, so I've been following that one. It's a rolling sample, which I believe will run through Nov. 1. I'm going to do my best to follow that one through til the end date. I think it'll be really interesting to see how close their population assumptions will be to reality.

Is there a lag in the electoral vote estimates? It seems like as Bush pulled ahead (outside of the margin of error) in the popular vote sample, he lost electoral votes. Did he pick up popular support in states where he already had the electoral votes, yet lose electoral support in states where he had been winning? Just seems odd. Do you know how that's tabulated?

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"Tweeter was a Boyscout before she went to Vietnam and found out the hard way... nobody gives a d@mn."