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Old 05-11-2008, 10:41 AM
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Real World Example:

CO2 makes up approximately 3/100ths of the Earth's atmosphere. Numbers like that are sort of nebulous for most folks unless they are put into something they can relate to.

1 gallon of water = 128 oz's or 256 tablespoons. 1 tablespoon = .5 oz's. If the Earth's atmosphere were a gallon of water CO2 would make up 3.84 oz's or 7.68 table spoons. But, this is for total CO2 levels, man made CO2 accounts for approximately 3.225% of the 7.68 table spoons or .24 (1/4) of a tablespoon in a gallon of water.

So what's the answer for modern day transportation? Hydrogen fuel cell cars? The exhaust they produce is water vapor which is responsible for 95% of the green house effect. Wouldn't this then increase global warming?
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  #702 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 10:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
I just couldn't resist! Here are just a few:

Signers of the Oregon Petition with Peer-Review Papers Skeptical of "Man-Made" Global Warming.
Firstly - let me congratulate you!!! Some 68 pages into this thread, and countless requests for somebody to show any actual scientific papers published which argue that AGW is not occurring - and someone has finallly had a crack at it!!

Well done you!


...now, lets see what we have here shall we,

Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Arthur B Robinson, PhD,

Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide(Energy & Environment, Volume 10, Number 5, pp. 439-468, 1 September 1999)- Arthur B. Robinson, Noah E. Robinson, Willie Soon
Oh dear. Not a good start.

This paper was originally sent out with the infamous Oregon Petition. It was printed in the same typeface and format as the official Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The National Academy of the Sciences responded with:
"The NAS Council would like to make it clear that this petition has nothing to do with the National Academy of Sciences and that the manuscript was not published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences or in any other peer-reviewed journal"
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php...e_and_Medicine

Your link shows that the paper was eventually puplished in Energy & Environment - a social science journal not carried in the ISI listing of peer-reviewed journals. Its peer review process has been widely criticised for allowing the publication of substandard papers.
http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/journa..._skeptics.html

The "paper" is authored by a biochemist, his 22 year old son and an astrophysisist. Not really climate science experts.




Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Sallie L. Baliunas

Global warming(Progress in Physical Geography, 27, 448-455, 2003)- W. Soon, S. L. Baliunas


Sherwood B. Idso

Modeling climatic effects of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions: unknowns and uncertainties. Reply to Risbey (2002)(Climate Research, Vol. 22: 187–188, 2002)- Willie Soon, Sallie Baliunas, Sherwood B. Idso, Kirill Ya. Kondratyev, Eric S. Posmentier
More from our friend Willie Soon, and his astropysisist mate Sallie Baliunas.
These guys generally like to take something they do know about - solar variability - and apply it to something they don't know about - CO2 forcing.

Yes - these are 2 rare examples of peer-reviewed anti-AGW papers.
I can't find an abstract for the Progress in Physical Geography paper, but the Climate Research one was widely criticised:
"...13 of the authors of papers cited by Baliunas and Soon refuted her interpretation of their work. There were three main objections: Soon and Baliunas used data reflective of changes in moisture, rather than temperature; they failed to distinguish between regional and hemispheric temperature anomalies; and they reconstructed past temperatures from proxy evidence not capable of resolving decadal trends. More recently, Osborn and Briffa repeated the Baliunas and Soon study but restricted themselves to records that were validated as temperature proxies, and came to a different result"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sallie_...s#cite_note-12


Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
S Fred Singer, PhD,

Human Contribution to Climate Change Remains Questionable(American Geophysical Society, Vol 80, page 183-187, April 20, 1999)- S. Fred Singer

A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions(International Journal of Climatology, 5 Dec 2007)- David H. Douglass, John R. Christy, Benjamin D. Pearson, S. Fred Singer

Altitude dependence of atmospheric temperature trends: Climate models versus observation(Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 31, L13208, 2004)- David H. Douglass, Benjamin D. Pearson, S. Fred Singer
and onto old Freddie Singer, who claims not only to be an expert on climate change, but also atomic energy and tobacco smoke!

The first of those papers was published in EOS - which is not a peer-reviewed journal, it is the AGU's newsletter.

The second is definitley an example of a scientific paper that argues against AGW. It is the one I have been expecting to be quoted now for some 68 pages! At last someone found it! Well done!

It has been widely criticised for it's very selective use of data - but we can address that another time.

Your third reference is a letter related to the same issue as the 2nd paper


Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Sherwood B. Idso


CO2-induced global warming: a skeptic’s view of potential climate change(Climate Research, Vol. 10: 69–82, 199- Sherwood B. Idso
This paper concludes:

There is no controversy surrounding the claim that atmospheric CO2 concentrations are on the rise; direct measurements demonstrate that fact. The basic con- cept of the greenhouse effect is also not in question; rising carbon dioxide concentrations, in and of themselves, clearly enhance the thermal blanketing properties of the atmosphere. What is debatable, however, is the magnitude of any warming that might result from a
rise in the air’s CO2 concentration.


Fair enough. That is not arguing that AGW is not occurring.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post

George V. Chilingar

On global forces of nature driving the Earth's climate. Are humans involved?(Environmental Geology, Volume 50, Number 6, August, 2006)- L. F. Khilyuk and G. V. Chilingar
Yet another paper that accepts the occurance of AGW - but questions the magnetude of impact. Fine - there is plenty of room for debate there. It is not arguing that AGW is not occurring.




Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Richard S. Lindzen

Can increasing carbon dioxide cause climate change?(Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, Vol. 94, pp. 8335-8342, August 1997)- Richard S. Lindzen
...in which Mr Lindzen tells us:

...increasing CO2 is likely to cause some climate change, and that the resulting change will involve average warming of the earth
Yes Mr Lindzen - I agree with you

Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Sorry, your outta gas on this one. I could keep going.....but why?
[/quote]

Why indeed.
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  #703 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 10:45 PM
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Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Real World Example:

CO2 makes up approximately 3/100ths of the Earth's atmosphere. Numbers like that are sort of nebulous for most folks unless they are put into something they can relate to.

1 gallon of water = 128 oz's or 256 tablespoons. 1 tablespoon = .5 oz's. If the Earth's atmosphere were a gallon of water CO2 would make up 3.84 oz's or 7.68 table spoons. But, this is for total CO2 levels, man made CO2 accounts for approximately 3.225% of the 7.68 table spoons or .24 (1/4) of a tablespoon in a gallon of water.
We can argue scientists till were blue in the face, but facts are facts. If the atmosphere were a gallon of water, man made CO2 would represent 1/4 of a table spoons worth. Who in their right mind would believe such a minuscule amount can make the difference you propose?

Anyone reading this thread who even remotely believes this horse hockey must watch this video. It interviews many lead IPCC authors who simply don't believe CO2 is driving any warming and why. You owe it to yourselves to watch it and then make up your own minds!

http://www.brightcove.tv/title.jsp?title=881376822
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Old 05-11-2008, 10:52 PM
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Still using the liberal group SourceWatch to debunk your detractors? Shame on you. I've already discredited them.

If it is so important to you that these opinions on AGW come exclusively from "scientifically peer reviewed" whatever you call it magazines/journals, why do you not provide us with a list of acceptable magazines/journals first, so that we can meet you standards of what is valid science?
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Old 05-11-2008, 10:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post

Below are the references used to make the statement that you claim is incorrect, which one or ones are you claiming are incorrect and please show the basis for your claim?


4) References to 95% contribution of water vapor:

a. S.M. Freidenreich and V. Ramaswamy, “Solar Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide, Overlap with Water, and a Parameterization for General Circulation Models,” Journal of Geophysical Research 98 (1993):7255-7264

b. Global Deception: The Exaggeration of the Global Warming Threat
by Dr. Patrick J. Michaels, June 1998
Virginia State Climatologist and Professor of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia

c. Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Appendix D, Greenhouse Gas Spectral Overlaps and Their Significance
Energy Information Administration; Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government

d. Personal Communication-- Dr. Richard S. Lindzen
Alfred P. Slone Professor of Meteorology, MIT

e. The Geologic Record and Climate Change
by Dr. Tim Patterson, January 2005
Professor of Geology-- Carleton University
Ottawa, Canada
Listed as Peer Reviewed @ http://petesplace-peter.blogspot.com...te-change.html

f. EPA Seeks To Have Water Vapor Classified As A Pollutant
by the ecoEnquirer, 2006

g. Air and Water Issues
by Freedom 21.org, 2005
Citation: Bjorn Lomborg, p. 259. Also: Patrick Michaels and Robert Balling, Jr. The Satanic Gases, Clearing the Air About Global Warming (Washington, DC: CATO Institute, 2000), p. 25.

h. Does CO2 Really Drive Global Warming?
by Dr. Robert Essenhigh, May 2001

i. Solar Cycles, Not CO2, Determine Climate
by Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D., Ph.D., D.Sc., 21st Century Science and Technology, Winter 2003-2004, pp. 52-65
You still never answered this question, so I will ask again.

The references used to make the statement about water vapor that you claim is incorrect, which one or ones are you claiming are incorrect and please show the basis for your claim?
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Old 05-11-2008, 11:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
We can argue scientists till were blue in the face, but facts are facts. If the atmosphere were a gallon of water, man made CO2 would represent 1/4 of a table spoons worth. Who in their right mind would believe such a minuscule amount can make the difference you propose?

Anyone reading this thread who even remotely believes this horse hockey must watch this video. It interviews many lead IPCC authors who simply don't believe CO2 is driving any warming and why. You owe it to yourselves to watch it and then make up your own minds!

http://www.brightcove.tv/title.jsp?title=881376822
Do you have a link for the above example of the gallon of water? I think your calculations are off. By my calculations, CO2 would be about 1.38 tablespoons and mans contribution to that would be about .04 of one tablespoon.
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  #707 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2008, 01:53 AM
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Originally Posted by PatriotNews View Post
Still using the liberal group SourceWatch to debunk your detractors? Shame on you. I've already discredited them.
No - you provided a link to a right-wing blog. That is not what you would call "discrediting" something. It is about as convincing as quoting Andrew Bolt's opinion on Benny Peiser - which you have also done.

Your point may be valid if I were quoting opinion from Sourcewatch - but as I told you back in post #230 (when I used Sourcewatch as a reference to a direct quote from your mate Benny Peiser) - I was not quoting the opinion of the authors of that site - I cited it as reference for a direct quote from the National Academy of the Sciences. My apologies for not providing the quote from it's original source - but most people can tell the difference between opinion and a direct quote.

Just for your benefit - here is the original source:
http://www8.nationalacademies.org/on...rdID=s04201998

Do you have a right wing blog to discredit that? What does Andrew Bolt have to say about it? Benny Peiser?

Quote:
Originally Posted by PatriotNews View Post
If it is so important to you that these opinions on AGW come exclusively from "scientifically peer reviewed" whatever you call it magazines/journals, why do you not provide us with a list of acceptable magazines/journals first, so that we can meet you standards of what is valid science?

"scientifically peer reviewed" whatever you call it magazines/journals,
!?!?!?!

This is truly unbelievable! You have absolutely no idea, do you!

Let Wikipedia help you:

In academic publishing, a scientific journal is a periodical publication intended to further the progress of science, usually by reporting new research. Most journals are highly specialized, although some of the oldest journals such as Nature publish articles and scientific papers across a wide range of scientific fields. Scientific journals contain articles that have been peer reviewed, in an attempt to ensure that articles meet the journal's standards of quality, and scientific validity.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_journal

So take note:
www.activistcash.com - is not a peer-reviewed scientific journal
An opinion column by Andrew Bolt is not a peer-reviewed scientific journal
The SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY PROJECT website is not a peer-reviewed scientific journal
and neither are most of the other things you like to link to.
Of course, sourcewatch.com and wikipedia are also not peer-reviewed scientific journals - but they are often convenient places to find references to papers from peer-reviewed scientific journals - just check the references in the footnotes.

That fact that you want to try to discuss a scientific matter when you don't even have the faintest idea how scientific publishing works is quite hilarious.
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Old 05-12-2008, 02:07 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Real World Example:

CO2 makes up approximately 3/100ths of the Earth's atmosphere. Numbers like that are sort of nebulous for most folks unless they are put into something they can relate to.
No. CO2 makes up about 3/10,000ths of the earths atmosphere by volume.

If you are going to try to make some sort of pointless, infantile argument - at least get the numbers right. People may think you have no idea what you are talking about
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  #709 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2008, 04:35 AM
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Originally Posted by NoSocialism.com View Post
7 Articles??? Are you freakin kidding me!! I remember between the ages of 13 through 16 we were fed this horse poop, I remember it because I was scared to death, we moved to Florida when I was 15 and I remember thinking to myself that all of this would be underwater. We used to do School projects on this stuff, they used to talk about it in the news all the time. Just keep in mind, back then we didn't have the 24 hour news, we didn't have the internet, we didn't have as many ways as we do today that the enviro-wacko's could spread their lies, so it wasn't quite as widespread back then, but it was still an ever-present reminder. I remember Especially during the Blizzard of '77, how they went ape over this whole Ice Age thing.
You can read your little documents about it, I was there, I remember it all.
Thanks, nosocialism. I'm finally beginning to understand why the deniers see AGW as they do. You seem to be the victim of a poor science education. My sister is about the same age as you and she, and some of her other friends of the same age, does not remember being taught any thing about global cooling in her science classes. You cannot extrapolate what you were taught in science to all the other schools in the US. I'm older than you and I certainly don't remember anyone going "ape $hit" over the blizzard of '77.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NoSocialism.com View Post
Oh, and by the way, if you take the time to get informed, you'll find that the number one supporting piece that you have about CO2 driving Climate, it's ALREADY BEEN PROVEN, that it's the other way around, in a little documentary called the Great Global Warming Swindle. You want to talk about science? THAT is real science, and to top it off, most of the information came from ... Wait for it .... Wait for it .... Lead Author of the IPCC report, John Christy!
You might want to check the wiki article on the Great Global Warming Swindle.
Quote:
Although the documentary was welcomed by global warming sceptics, it was criticised heavily by many scientific organisations and individual scientists (including two of the film's contributors
.
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  #710 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2008, 05:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
On my previous postings I already gave you a list of only a portion of signers of the petition that had peer review publications, I am sorry you can't accept that, but you may feel free to go through all 19,000 if you like.



Below are the references used to make the statement that you claim is incorrect, which one or ones are you claiming are incorrect and please show the basis for your claim?


4) References to 95% contribution of water vapor:

a. S.M. Freidenreich and V. Ramaswamy, “Solar Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide, Overlap with Water, and a Parameterization for General Circulation Models,” Journal of Geophysical Research 98 (1993):7255-7264
Can't find the study on line.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
b. Global Deception: The Exaggeration of the Global Warming Threat
by Dr. Patrick J. Michaels, June 1998
Virginia State Climatologist and Professor of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia
From a booklet from Center for the Study of American Business
Quote:
This booklet is one in a series designed to enhance the understanding of the private enterprise system and the key forces affecting it. The series provides a forum for considering vital current
issues in public policy and for communicating these views to a wide audience in the business, government, and academic communities. The Center for the Study of American Business is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization funded entirely by grants from foundations, business firms, and private citizens. Funding is unrestricted, enabling researchers to maintain academic freedom and ensuring unbiased and independent research. The Center is an integral part of Washington University, which has been granted tax-exempt
status under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post

c. Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Appendix D, Greenhouse Gas Spectral Overlaps and Their Significance
Energy Information Administration; Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government
Now we see where the deniers misinformation comes from.
From your original link:
Quote:
Water vapor constitutes Earth's most significant greenhouse gas, accounting for about 95% of Earth's greenhouse effect
[/url=http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alternate/page/environment/appd_d.html]from your link's link, the doe[/url]
Quote:
Given the present composition of the atmosphere, the contribution to the total heating rate in the troposphere is around 5 percent from carbon dioxide and around 95 percent from water vapor. In the stratosphere, the contribution is about 80 percent from carbon dioxide and about 20 percent from water vapor
The word "troposphere" seems to be missing from your original link.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
d. Personal Communication-- Dr. Richard S. Lindzen
Alfred P. Slone Professor of Meteorology, MIT
I can't comment on something I can't find the source for.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
e. The Geologic Record and Climate Change
by Dr. Tim Patterson, January 2005
Professor of Geology-- Carleton University
Ottawa, Canada
Please point it out to me, because I can't find it.

Listed as Peer Reviewed @ http://petesplace-peter.blogspot.com...te-change.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
f. EPA Seeks To Have Water Vapor Classified As A Pollutant
by the ecoEnquirer, 2006
Peer review?? It's a friggin' blog.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
g. Air and Water Issues
by Freedom 21.org, 2005
Citation: Bjorn Lomborg, p. 259. Also: Patrick Michaels and Robert Balling, Jr. The Satanic Gases, Clearing the Air About Global Warming (Washington, DC: CATO Institute, 2000), p. 25.
Link does not work
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
h. Does CO2 Really Drive Global Warming?
by Dr. Robert Essenhigh, May 2001
Quote:
This overall position can be summarized by saying that water accounts, on average, for >95% of the radiative absorption.
Contradicts current evidence. See your link to the DOE above.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
i. Solar Cycles, Not CO2, Determine Climate
by Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D., Ph.D., D.Sc., 21st Century Science and Technology, Winter 2003-2004, pp. 52-65
Ah yes. Another Heartland "scientist" that's got it wrong.

The only link you provided that has it right disagrees with you. Care to try again.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor Peabody View Post
Here is what a peer reviewer has to say about the process:
I don't have the time or experience to debate with you on peer-review. All I'm going to post is that the system may not be perfect, but the alternative, no peer review, would be devastating to the advancement of science.

All I have time for right now. Maybe more tonight.
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