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Old 11-21-2007, 12:54 PM
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Originally Posted by JP5";p=&quot View Post
I'm not claiming global warming doesn't exist. I'm saying there's no proof that man is the cause of it. True---we could be contributing to some of it, but not hardly all of it.
I've posted this before, but:
http://politicalforum.com/viewtopic....+change#390438

Direct link to the in-depth discussion:
http://midtopia.blogspot.com/2007/07...te-change.html

It lays out the evidence that the planet is warming, and why scientists think humans are playing a significant role.

Quote:
In the 70's the scientists were claiming there was an ice age coming...
This canard again. "The scientists" never claimed any such thing. A handful of researchers did -- and even their suppositions were blown way out of proportion by a single Newsweek article. It was never accepted as mainstream theory.

Quote:
Leading an objective person to believe that much, if not all, of the climate changes are natural.
The difference is that this particular change is progressing far faster than previous ones. A truly objective person tries to ascertain the actual cause of the current warming, not assume it's simply the same as superficially similar warmings in the past.
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:18 PM
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This is for all you "man-made climate change aint happening" brigade.

As somebody previously commented - 95 percent of climate change scientists insist that we are closely at the tipping point of an irreversible change to the planets climate.

In Britain the government's scientific adviser Sir David King, hardly your typical left-winger, agrees that we are at the point of irreversible catastrophe unless we reduce global carbon emissions by 90 percent by 2020.

The UN's recent report confirms that climate change is a reality. The IPCC report by the world's leading climate change scientists also say it is happening, as did the Stern report here in the UK.

Yet we have ill-informed people, who have never had a peer-reviewed scientific paper published on the subject, claiming the contrary. I refer to this as "the Gallileo syndrome."
Can someone explain something that has bothered me. Algore writes a book with a claim, and then thousands of scientists crawl out of the woodwork saying "Duh, yeah, he's like right!". Where were all these guys before algore came along? Sleeping on the job??
They were saying that before, actually.

You just hadn't heard, I guess?
Yeah sure they were. And they were issuing UN reports, too? Care to cite one?
How about the 1990 First IPCC Assessment Report, or the Second Assessment Report in 1995, or the Third Assesment Report in 2001.
You're wrong.

From the 1990 assessment:

Quote:
There are many uncertainties in our predictions particularly with regard to the timing, magnitude and regional patterns of climate change, due to our incomplete understanding of: sources and sinks of GHGs; clouds; oceans; polar ice sheets.
Our judgement is that: global mean surface air temperature has increased by 0.3 to 0.6 oC over the last 100 years...; The size of this warming is broadly consistent with predictions of climate models, but it is also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability. Thus the observed increase could be largely due to this natural variability; alternatively this variability and other human factors could have offset a still larger human-induced greenhouse warming. The unequivocal detection of the enhanced greenhouse effect is not likely for a decade or more.
Give me a break and admit you are wrong. The 1991 assessment was very conservative. The 95 and 2001 assessments all say that global warming is highly likely to have been caused by humans.


If you think that scientists just came out of the woodwork when Gore wrote his book you just haven't been paying attention.
The issue wasn't did scientists come out of the woodwork - don't try to escape your false statement by flipping the issue - I said why are the scientists NOW saying he's right, you cited the other reports as if they had already been saying it, and they DON'T agree with Gore's claims - just as I said.
Except the 1995 assessment mostly does and the 2001 almost unequivocally does.
I didn't read to 2001, but the 1995 certainly does not.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:29 PM
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Yeah....Chicken Little is hard at work.

There's NO PROOF that man is doing it.....or much of it anyway. So, EVEN IF it's happening, it's rather egotistical of humans to think they can do much...IF ANYTHING....about it.

And if we are really SCARED and SERIOUS here's the answer for now: NUCLEAR ENERGY. It's what they've got in countries like France. And it's clean and affordable.

So....question for the libs on here: WHY AREN'T WE DOING NUCLEAR ENERGY?? Why isn't Gore---the know-it-all ---pushing this option?
Humans can't reverse a trend caused by Humans. Great statement there.

Get with the program, Bush has already admitted human's are responsible for GW..
Really? Then give me the quote of Bush's where he admitted that "humans are responsible for GW." I'll wait.....
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:50 PM
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Originally Posted by JP5";p=&quot View Post
I'm not claiming global warming doesn't exist. I'm saying there's no proof that man is the cause of it. True---we could be contributing to some of it, but not hardly all of it.
I've posted this before, but:
http://politicalforum.com/viewtopic....+change#390438

Direct link to the in-depth discussion:
http://midtopia.blogspot.com/2007/07...te-change.html

It lays out the evidence that the planet is warming, and why scientists think humans are playing a significant role.
Again.....I'm not claiming we don't have some global warming taking place. I'm saying you cannot leave out thousands of years and just start in the last 10 years or so and claim that it's man-made now.

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Originally Posted by raytri";p=&quot View Post
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In the 70's the scientists were claiming there was an ice age coming...
This canard again. "The scientists" never claimed any such thing. A handful of researchers did -- and even their suppositions were blown way out of proportion by a single Newsweek article. It was never accepted as mainstream theory.
Just like today's claim of global warming isn't mainstream theory. Does the name James E. Hansen ring a bell? He's a NASA scientist who back some 36 years ago helped foster the opinion that there would be an "ice age" within the next 50 years. He's the same guy that I believe it was you who defended a few months ago....after he blasted the Bush administration---claiming they had muzzled him on the issue of global warming. But now....instead of an ice age caused by fossil fuels, he's claiming a global warming catastrophe caused by fossil fuels. Coult it be this Soros-funded scientist agrees with the 'left' and just doesn't like fossil fuels????

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Originally Posted by raytri";p=&quot View Post
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Leading an objective person to believe that much, if not all, of the climate changes are natural.
The difference is that this particular change is progressing far faster than previous ones. A truly objective person tries to ascertain the actual cause of the current warming, not assume it's simply the same as superficially similar warmings in the past.
And a truly objective person doesn't just assume that humans are responsible for it. OR that we could change the course anyway. You're right----the cause hasn't been assertained yet.

I personally think what's behind it is the liberals and anti-corporate types who just don't like fossil fuels. And they look for any way they can to pin all the world's problem on it. And yet....these are the same nuts who also don't care for wind energy---because it might hurt a bird.....and who fight nuclear energy tooth and nail....and who refuse to look at any reasonable plan to remedy our reliance on fossil fuels.
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 11-21-2007, 05:18 PM
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Just like today's claim of global warming isn't mainstream theory.
Um.... yes it is. By a wide margin.

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Does the name James E. Hansen ring a bell?
And if he was the only guy making the claim -- instead of being part of a wide majority of climate scientists -- you'd have a point.

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And a truly objective person doesn't just assume that humans are responsible for it.
Agreed. Which is why I lay out the science behind the conclusion in the links above -- which indicate a significant human role in the warming.

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I personally think what's behind it is the liberals and anti-corporate types who just don't like fossil fuels.
Is that an excuse for not actually examining the evidence objectively?
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 11-21-2007, 05:43 PM
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Then there is this noted scientist and expert on weather and climate:

"I am of the opinion that this is one of the greatest hoaxes ever perpetrated on the American people, " says Bill Gray.

"BILL GRAY, professor emeritus. He is often called the World's Most Famous Hurricane Expert. He's the guy who, every year, predicts the number of hurricanes that will form during the coming tropical storm season. He works on a country road leading into the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains, in the atmospheric science department of Colorado State University. He's mentored dozens of scientists"

"Gray believes in the obs. The observations. Direct measurements. Numerical models can't be trusted. Equation pushers with fancy computers aren't the equals of scientists who fly into hurricanes.

"Few people know what I know. I've been in the tropics, I've flown in airplanes into storms. I've done studies of convection, cloud clusters and how the moist process works. I don't think anybody in the world understands how the atmosphere functions better than me."

In just three, five, maybe eight years, he says, the world will begin to cool again."


"Bill Gray has a favorite diagram, taken from a 1985 climate model, showing little nodules in the center with such labels as "thermal inertia" and "net energy balance" and "latent heat flux" and "subsurface heat storage" and "absorbed heat radiation" and so on, and they are emitting arrows that curve and loop in all directions, bumping into yet more jargon, like "soil moisture" and "surface roughness" and "vertical wind" and "mel(*)(*)(*)(*)er" and "volcanoes."

"It's a big can of worms!" Gray says. It's his favorite line.

The models can't even predict the weather in two weeks, much less 100 years, he says.

"They sit in this ivory tower, playing around, and they don't tell us if this is going to be a hot summer coming up. Why not? Because the models are no (*)(*)(*)(*) good!"

Gray says the recent rash of strong hurricanes is just part of a cycle. This is part of the broader skeptical message: Climate change is normal and natural. There was a Medieval Warm Period, for example, long before Exxon Mobil existed."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...301305_pf.html

Still lots of controvery and conflict among scientists. So, yes Raytri. I read all the pros and cons opinions on global warming. I've yet to see any hard and fast proven conclusions that what we're seeing now is NOT more a part of the natural phenomonon of climate.

And as far as consensus of scientists....look at where the funding is going for your answer. The funding is going to those who are trying hard to prove that global warming IS caused by man.
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 11-22-2007, 07:47 PM
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Default Gray's logic doesn't make sense.

What does an inability to predict specific weather have to do with global warming trends?
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Old 11-25-2007, 04:04 AM
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Default there is no scientific controversy

The overwhelming consensus among climate scientists is that man-made climate change is happening. The evidence is irrefutible. This flat-earth, the sun revolves around the earth mentality expressed by some within this site is so astounding as to be not worthy of further comment.
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Old 11-25-2007, 06:18 AM
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Originally Posted by hairymarx";p=&quot View Post
This is for all you "man-made climate change aint happening" brigade.

As somebody previously commented - 95 percent of climate change scientists insist that we are closely at the tipping point of an irreversible change to the planets climate.

In Britain the government's scientific adviser Sir David King, hardly your typical left-winger, agrees that we are at the point of irreversible catastrophe unless we reduce global carbon emissions by 90 percent by 2020.

The UN's recent report confirms that climate change is a reality. The IPCC report by the world's leading climate change scientists also say it is happening, as did the Stern report here in the UK.

Yet we have ill-informed people, who have never had a peer-reviewed scientific paper published on the subject, claiming the contrary. I refer to this as "the Gallileo syndrome."
Sorry that we’re on to you guys, but titling those who don’t give into these claims is a bit transparent if not getting old.
Lets try and keep the racism down a bit also, adverse and untrue references to Galileo and the catholic church is the same to regular people as saying something about M. L. King and black profiling. Galileo was not imprisoned to keep his findings secrete, he was a church elder and advisor that went against a grid command to wait for completion of abroad church communiqué. He went against a kings command which was not tolerated back then. Just be thankful we discovered the earth was round so you could call the movement global warming instead of pancake or box warming.
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Old 11-25-2007, 10:31 AM
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Originally Posted by JP5";p=&quot View Post
Then there is this noted scientist and expert on weather and climate:

"I am of the opinion that this is one of the greatest hoaxes ever perpetrated on the American people, " says Bill Gray.

"BILL GRAY, professor emeritus. He is often called the World's Most Famous Hurricane Expert. He's the guy who, every year, predicts the number of hurricanes that will form during the coming tropical storm season. He works on a country road leading into the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains, in the atmospheric science department of Colorado State University. He's mentored dozens of scientists"

"Gray believes in the obs. The observations. Direct measurements. Numerical models can't be trusted. Equation pushers with fancy computers aren't the equals of scientists who fly into hurricanes.

"Few people know what I know. I've been in the tropics, I've flown in airplanes into storms. I've done studies of convection, cloud clusters and how the moist process works. I don't think anybody in the world understands how the atmosphere functions better than me."

In just three, five, maybe eight years, he says, the world will begin to cool again."


"Bill Gray has a favorite diagram, taken from a 1985 climate model, showing little nodules in the center with such labels as "thermal inertia" and "net energy balance" and "latent heat flux" and "subsurface heat storage" and "absorbed heat radiation" and so on, and they are emitting arrows that curve and loop in all directions, bumping into yet more jargon, like "soil moisture" and "surface roughness" and "vertical wind" and "mel(*)(*)(*)(*)er" and "volcanoes."

"It's a big can of worms!" Gray says. It's his favorite line.

The models can't even predict the weather in two weeks, much less 100 years, he says.

"They sit in this ivory tower, playing around, and they don't tell us if this is going to be a hot summer coming up. Why not? Because the models are no (*)(*)(*)(*) good!"

Gray says the recent rash of strong hurricanes is just part of a cycle. This is part of the broader skeptical message: Climate change is normal and natural. There was a Medieval Warm Period, for example, long before Exxon Mobil existed."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...301305_pf.html
My emphasis
For starters: his opinion. Show me the evidence he bases his opinions on.

Dr. Gray "believes" in observations. Anyone here want to guess how the paths of hurricanes are predicted? I'll give you a clue, meteorologists don't use crystal balls. So Dr. Gray's lack of trust in numerical models appears to be a bit misguided.

His misuse of the term weather also discredits him. No one is attempting to predict the weather in 100 years; climatologists are attempting to predict the climate in 100 years. Look up the difference.
Your story on Dr. Gray is an appeal to authority. His opinions are not backed by evidence.


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Originally Posted by JP5";p=&quot View Post
Still lots of controvery and conflict among scientists. So, yes Raytri. I read all the pros and cons opinions on global warming. I've yet to see any hard and fast proven conclusions that what we're seeing now is NOT more a part of the natural phenomonon of climate.
But have you studied the evidence. Have you, JP, read the "Working Group I: The Science of Climate Change". No, I didn't think so.
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Originally Posted by JP5";p=&quot View Post
And as far as consensus of scientists....look at where the funding is going for your answer. The funding is going to those who are trying hard to prove that global warming IS caused by man.
Sure it is. And Bush was the one that planned 9/11. Oh wait! We don't have any evidence of that either?
The funding is going to scientists who are studying our climate. End of story! Unless you have evidence that their agenda is other than the advancement of science, your allegation is nothing more than another conspiracy theory.

So you JP post one scientist who disagrees with the consensus based on opinion. I give you Hansen (NASA) and Kevin Trenberth, (National Center for Atmospheric Research), who base their conclusions on data.
JP, which doctors' conclusions would you accept: a doctor that looked at you and, without gathering any data concluded that you were healthy or 2 doctors who've done blood tests, ie gathered data, and told you you had diabetes?

For every scientist who is of the opinion that humans are not the part of the reason for GW, I'll match you 2 scientists who conclude from the data and evidence that humans are partly responsible.
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