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  #101 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 10:43 AM
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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Can you please cite the source?
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/01/us/01immig.html?hp

But while the number of immigrant senders declined, the total amount of remittances actually rose slightly between 2006 and this year, the study reported. It estimated total remittances to Latin America at $45.9 billion in 2008, an increase of $500 million over 2006. The amount did not decrease more sharply because Latino immigrants who continued to send funds home sent more money more frequently, the survey found.

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With the same logic, I guess every year hundreds of billion dollars earned in America spent abroad through traveling by Americans are destroying America too?
Yes. But we also have tourists that come here to. The falling value of the dollar is also causing this to increase, because foreign money is now worth more here. It would be the patriotic thing to vacation here, just like it would be the patriotic thing to buy an American made car.

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These assumptions are built on the incomplete understanding of the economy. It is not how much the money going to or created in America that should be the measurement of living standards in America or what makes this country's economy vibrant and resilient, it is the ability of producing goods and services and the fundamental resource to that is human capital, which everyone possess given good education.
This is the fundamental argument between those who want GDP and those who want GNP and it is really hard to decide which one is a "better" measurement of how the economy is functioning. Illegal immigrants quite often lack a good education.

Quote:
Did this study take into account the benefits created by the immigrants? Lower input cost, specialization in industries, creation of new industries, new demands for goods and services? I don't think there is any free lunch in this.
We could simply ignore the fact that they are illegal and continue to extort them for their cheap labor, but the fact is that they are illegal and that illegal immigration is bad just because the people doing it are doing it illegally. We could lighten up the restrictions, but we have to know who's here.

Quote:
One fundamental fact agreed by an overwhelming consensus of economists is that immigration constitute a highly positive impact on American economy.
I agree. They do have a positive impact on the functioning of the American economy. However, the fact that they are illegal also hurts us significantly, and we should throw out all the illegals, build a wall, and then ease up restrictions on legal immigration.
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  #102 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 11:05 AM
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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Can you please cite the source?
Soitenly!

Latino immigrants sending $45 billion home in 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Did this study take into account the benefits created by the immigrants? Lower input cost, specialization in industries, creation of new industries, new demands for goods and services? I don't think there is any free lunch in this.
It would have to create one heck of a lot!
Illegal Immigrants' Cost to Government Studied
That's a 2004 report, guess they're to embarrassed to tell us what it's costing us now.

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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
One fundamental fact agreed by an overwhelming consensus of economists is that immigration constitute a highly positive impact on American economy.
Can you please cite the source?
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  #103 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 07:23 PM
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Can you please cite the source?
William Boyes and Michael Melvin, Microeconomics (Boston & New York: Houghton Mifflin Company, 2008 ), p. 353

"Labor is a resource - it is used to produce goods and services, and the ages and salaries provided to workers are part of the costs of doing business. So, when the cost of labor declines, the costs of doing business also decline. A typical firm will produce more and earn greater profits. As firms increase their output and new firms enter the business, the market supply of products being produced by the unskilled labor will rise, and the market price of the good or service will decline. This is what happens with illegal immigration. Illegal immigration has reduced costs in certain businesses. The lower costs lead to lower prices."

More

"The net effect of these costs and benefits (about illegal immigration) varies according to the study, but most studies conclude that the first generation of illegal immigrants imposes costs that exceed the benefits they create, but every generation thereafter creates more benefits than it costs."

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But while the number of immigrant senders declined, the total amount of remittances actually rose slightly between 2006 and this year, the study reported. It estimated total remittances to Latin America at $45.9 billion in 2008, an increase of $500 million over 2006. The amount did not decrease more sharply because Latino immigrants who continued to send funds home sent more money more frequently, the survey found.
They are "immigrants," not illegal immigrants. Please recognize the distinction.

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it would be the patriotic thing to buy an American made car.
It'd be an uneconomic thing to do so because your statement is built on the premise that consumers should only buy products that are American-made instead of rational calculation based on lowest price and highest equality. In another word, the fact that buyers purchase products based on calculation of price and quality creates competition among firms; and competition fosters innovation, a driving force that made American economy vibrant and dynamic, highly adaptive to change.

If the American people buy American goods based only the criteria that they are American goods, American economy will be in a prolonged economic recession, one major factor that contributed to the "lost decade" of Japan in the 90s economic downturn.

Last edited by liveforadream; 05-11-2008 at 07:31 PM.
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  #104 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 07:29 PM
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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
They are "immigrants," not illegal immigrants.
Because all the illegal immigrants report to the government how much money they take back home.

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It'd be an uneconomic thing to do so. Because your statement is built on the premise that consumers should buy products because they are American-made instead of rational calculation and measurement of lowest price and highest equality. In another word, the latter part means competition fosters innovation, a driving force that made American economy vibrant and dynamic, highly adaptive to change.
EXACTLY MY POINT. It is the economic thing to do to go overseas because the cost is worth the trip. Even if immigration is a good thing, illegal immigration is not.
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  #105 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:41 PM
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Study: 25% of LA's Welfare Goes to Undocumented Immigrants
May 6, 2008, 5:42 AM PDT

L.A. County Supervisor Mike Antonovich says the county spends more than $1 billion a year on benefits to undocumented immigrants.

According to new data from the Department of Public Social Services, nearly twenty five percent of Los Angeles County 's welfare and food stamp benefits goes directly to the children of undocumented immigrants, at a cost of $36 million a month -- for a projected annual cost of $432 million.

"The total cost for illegal immigrants to County taxpayers far exceeds $1 billion a year - not including the millions of dollars for education," said Antonovich.

"With $220 million for public safety, $400 million for healthcare, and $432 million in welfare allocations, illegal immigration continues to have a devastating impact on Los Angeles County taxpayers."

The supervisor said, in March, undocumented immigrants collected over $19 million in welfare assistance and over $16 million in food stamp allocations.

http://ktla.trb.com/news/ktla-welfar...,6331573.story
I notice yours isn't a web link, why? If you can't cite anything verifiable by the web, I will assume it's bunk. Sorry, you quote no figures, cite no easily verifiable sources or even legitimate studies.

I have a study that says illegals cost the United States Tax Payers $100 Billion dollars a year.

John Shultz and Frederick Bultion, Illegal Immigrations Hidden Costs (New York: Double Day, 2008 ), p. 257


I admit I made that up, see how easy that was. Now please post something verifiable or it will be discarded with the rest of the trash.

Quote:
Study Finds Illegal Immigration Hurts U.S. Economy
Written by News10 Staff, Internet News Staff

Called "The High Cost of Cheap Labor," the study by the non-partisan Centers for Immigration Studies measured the impact of illegal immigration on the United States.

Overall the report found that undocumented immigrants are ultimately a drain on U.S. taxpayers. The study revealed that while illegal immigrants pay $16 billion per year in taxes, they draw $26.3 billion a year in services. That's about $2,700 per household, with most of the money going for medical treatment, food assistance, the cost of incarceration, and education.

One answer offered by the study is to cut the number of jobs available to undocumented workers by sanctioning employers. It's a solution endorsed by the union that represents the U.S. Border Patrol. "That would dry up 98 percent of the traffic and we could focus on the antiterrorism mission and catching criminals, drug smugglers and others who cross our borders freely," said T.J. Bonner of the National Border Patrol Council.

The study also considered amnesty, but said the cost to taxpayers would increase dramatically. The federal government would collect 77 percent more in taxes from the new citizens, but they would be eligible for more programs and costs would rise an estimated 118 percent. Instead of $2,700 per household, taxpayers would be paying about $7,700.

http://www.news10.net/display_story.aspx?storyid=8495
See you can read the story for yourself.
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  #106 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 10:12 PM
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Because all the illegal immigrants report to the government how much money they take back home.
The $46 billion sent back home were from legal immigrants, not illegal immigrants. If you argue that it is bad for America then it would become an entirely different argument here.

However, I'm sorry I don't understand what you mean by "because all the illegal immigrants report to the government how much money they take back home," can you clarify that?

Quote:
I notice yours isn't a web link, why? If you can't cite anything verifiable by the web, I will assume it's bunk. Sorry, you quote no figures, cite no easily verifiable sources or even legitimate studies.
It was my microeconomic main textbook. And I used the Chicago style citation.
The authors are certified Ph.D economists, you can double check that.

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I admit I made that up, see how easy that was. Now please post something verifiable or it will be discarded with the rest of the trash.
Not that hard, I googled the authors and their names did not come up.
You can google the name of the authors and the book to verify the source.

Quote:
EXACTLY MY POINT. It is the economic thing to do to go overseas because the cost is worth the trip. Even if immigration is a good thing, illegal immigration is not.
How is it your point. I'm sorry I didn't see the connection.

Illegal immigration is not economical? An overwhelming economists think it is; reason, as I've argued above.

Last edited by liveforadream; 05-11-2008 at 10:16 PM.
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  #107 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 10:33 PM
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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
It was my microeconomic main textbook. I used the Chicago style citation.
The authors are certified Ph.D economists, you can double check that.
So? That doesn't mean they are right, I can cite dozens of studies that contradict their theory. What's your point?

Quote:
Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Not that hard, I googled the authors and their names did not come up.
You can google the name of the authors and the book to verify the source.
Stephen King wrote a lot of books too, does that mean the contents are true?

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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Illegal immigration is not economical? An overwhelming economists think it is; reason, as I've argued above.
2 Economist from the same university constitute an overwhelming opinion? How about some facts and figures, rhetoric is precisely that, rhetoric.

By the way, the last time William Boyes was in school was 1974, and Michael Melvin 1980. They sound like dinosaurs to me.
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  #108 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2008, 01:56 AM
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I can cite dozens of studies that contradict their theory. What's your point?
Then please cite the studies by other economists, I'm willing to listen to the argument.

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2 Economist from the same university constitute an overwhelming opinion? How about some facts and figures, rhetoric is precisely that, rhetoric.
They are not simply rhetoric. They are supported by economic theory of the labor.

Quote:
By the way, the last time William Boyes was in school was 1974, and Michael Melvin 1980. They sound like dinosaurs to me.
They are currently professors and academia.

Last edited by liveforadream; 05-12-2008 at 01:59 AM.
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  #109 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2008, 10:54 PM
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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
Then please cite the studies by other economists, I'm willing to listen to the argument.
Quote:
Study Finds Illegal Immigration Hurts U.S. Economy
Written by News10 Staff, Internet News Staff

Called "The High Cost of Cheap Labor," the study by the non-partisan Centers for Immigration Studies measured the impact of illegal immigration on the United States.

Overall the report found that undocumented immigrants are ultimately a drain on U.S. taxpayers. The study revealed that while illegal immigrants pay $16 billion per year in taxes, they draw $26.3 billion a year in services. That's about $2,700 per household, with most of the money going for medical treatment, food assistance, the cost of incarceration, and education.

One answer offered by the study is to cut the number of jobs available to undocumented workers by sanctioning employers. It's a solution endorsed by the union that represents the U.S. Border Patrol. "That would dry up 98 percent of the traffic and we could focus on the antiterrorism mission and catching criminals, drug smugglers and others who cross our borders freely," said T.J. Bonner of the National Border Patrol Council.

The study also considered amnesty, but said the cost to taxpayers would increase dramatically. The federal government would collect 77 percent more in taxes from the new citizens, but they would be eligible for more programs and costs would rise an estimated 118 percent. Instead of $2,700 per household, taxpayers would be paying about $7,700.

http://www.news10.net/display_story.aspx?storyid=8495




This study is one of the first to estimate the total impact of illegal immigration on the federal budget. Most previous studies have focused on the state and local level and have examined only costs or tax payments, but not both. Based on Census Bureau data, this study finds that, when all taxes paid (direct and indirect) and all costs are considered, illegal households created a net fiscal deficit at the federal level of more than $10 billion in 2002. We also estimate that, if there was an amnesty for illegal aliens, the net fiscal deficit would grow to nearly $29 billion.

Among the findings:

*

Households headed by illegal aliens imposed more than $26.3 billion in costs on the federal government in 2002 and paid only $16 billion in taxes, creating a net fiscal deficit of almost $10.4 billion, or $2,700 per illegal household.

*

Among the largest costs are Medicaid ($2.5 billion); treatment for the uninsured ($2.2 billion); food assistance programs such as food stamps, WIC, and free school lunches ($1.9 billion); the federal prison and court systems ($1.6 billion); and federal aid to schools ($1.4 billion).

*

With nearly two-thirds of illegal aliens lacking a high school degree, the primary reason they create a fiscal deficit is their low education levels and resulting low incomes and tax payments, not their legal status or heavy use of most social services.

*

On average, the costs that illegal households impose on federal coffers are less than half that of other households, but their tax payments are only one-fourth that of other households.

*

Many of the costs associated with illegals are due to their American-born children, who are awarded U.S. citizenship at birth. Thus, greater efforts at barring illegals from federal programs will not reduce costs because their citizen children can continue to access them.

*

If illegal aliens were given amnesty and began to pay taxes and use services like households headed by legal immigrants with the same education levels, the estimated annual net fiscal deficit would increase from $2,700 per household to nearly $7,700, for a total net cost of $29 billion.

http://www.cis.org/articles/2004/fiscalexec.html
CIS Noted Authors:

http://www.cis.org/articles/index.html


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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
They are not simply rhetoric. They are supported by economic theory of the labor.
Theory? Two guys have a "theory" and somehow that's a fact? let's see some numbers, facts and figures to support that claim.


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Originally Posted by liveforadream View Post
They are currently professors and academia.
They are still that.
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  #110 (permalink)  
Old 05-13-2008, 02:03 AM
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First of all, let's recognize a few fundamentals.

First the increase on labor increase the supply of labor, leading to the reduction in the cost of labor.The reduction of labor leads to lower input prices to company. Ultimately, firms will have more capital to increase production.

This sequence is illustrated if you draw the supply and demand curve of the labor (with y axis as price and x axis as output). An increase in the supply of labor leads to the supply curve shift down, leading to a decrease in price and increase in output.

Second, economists measure the welfare of a country based on its ability to produce goods and services (a principle of economics). Therefore, to calculate the cost of illegal immigration in turn of the national welfare based on government fiscal number is economically erroneous.

Now let's tackle the impact of illegal immigration in specific case.

Illegal immigration constitutes an increase of the labor supply. This lowers the cost of labor. As a result, firm will have more capital to increase their production and investment. The increase in production and investment leads to higher ability to produce goods and services, improving the national welfare.

An example, the lower in the cost of labor allows firm to reduce prices of goods and services; this reduction in prices is transferred to individual households, allowing them more capital to increase their individual welfare.

The study did not address this fundamental economic fact.

Second, the imbalance in fiscal revenue due to illegal immigration. First and foremost, there is an economic fundamental that is capital depreciation over time.

An example, take a machine in a factory as an example. The machine will naturally wear and tear; the factory owners must invest to repair the machine to maintain the same productivity.

Similar logic, human is a form of capital and the capital depreciation applies as well. Human get sick, get wear and tear if not provided care, leading to reduction of productivity. As a nation owner (the government), it makes economic sense to invest money to take care of this capital to maintain this capital productivity, which is the basis of economists' measurement of national welfare.

Therefore, imbalance of fiscal measure due to illegal status does not diminish a nation welfare.

In brief, the study proposed by the previous poster calculate on the the accountant profit of the government, meaning the explicit cost and benefits (services vs. tax payment). However, it failed to take into account the implicit cost & benefits for instance disorder, unlawful behaviors etc vs. reduction in input cost, increase in investment and production, increase saving etc.

If one argues that illegal immigrants break the law and don't deserve such capital maintenance, that falls under the realm of morality not economics.

Last edited by liveforadream; 05-13-2008 at 02:13 AM.
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