Don’t Believe the Washington CW: Trump is no Shoo-In for Reelection

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Bush Lawyer, Jan 20, 2020.

  1. Bush Lawyer

    Bush Lawyer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    15,035
    Likes Received:
    9,493
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    http://centerforpolitics.org/crysta...ington-cw-trump-is-no-shoo-in-for-reelection/

    Some good stuff in that Article which has this conclusion:

     
    Golem, modernpaladin and Derideo_Te like this.
  2. Steady Pie

    Steady Pie Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2012
    Messages:
    24,506
    Likes Received:
    7,247
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Trump's terrible approval is not so terrible. He has been neck and neck with Obama on the same day of office since Jul 2 2019. He is well approved of relative to other international leaders. He is polling up 7 points on election day 2016.

    I don't predict a landslide, but depending on the Dem nominee he has a very realistic chance.
     
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2020
    ButterBalls, rkhames and Shonyman32 like this.
  3. Texas Republican

    Texas Republican Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2015
    Messages:
    28,121
    Likes Received:
    19,405
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The smart money is on Trump. The Democratic field is joke. But there is no sure thing. Literally anything could happen in the next nine months.
     
    TheGreatSatan and ButterBalls like this.
  4. The Mello Guy

    The Mello Guy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    109,661
    Likes Received:
    37,416
    Trophy Points:
    113
    People like jokes. It’s why Minnesota elected a wrestler and America elected a game show host.
     
    Moriah, ImNotOliver and Derideo_Te like this.
  5. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2011
    Messages:
    41,834
    Likes Received:
    32,498
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    upload_2020-1-21_9-45-19.jpeg vs upload_2020-1-21_9-46-25.jpeg

    Polling aggregates show trump down by about 4-6 points in approval ratings and up 6-8 points in disapproval ratings during the same period vs Obama. His approval ratings are down in all areas he won by less than 5% — he carried three states necessary for his reelection by less than 80,000 voters in 2016.

    If I may ask, where are you getting your numbers from?
     
    Derideo_Te likes this.
  6. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2012
    Messages:
    107,541
    Likes Received:
    34,488
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Since the dems can’t run on anything they have accomplished they are running on free stuff. Since the dems want power they have to resort to personal destruction like they did with Kavanaugh and now Trump.

    Their real goal is the Judiciary. Trump is putting in constitutional originalists and not progressive activist judges which is the real threat to their progressive ideology. They need the Senate so expect the dems during this trial to act as badly as the dem clown show in the House. They need the Presidency so hope to weaken Trump even by passing very weak impeachment articles and a process that could bite them down the road just like the nuclear option on judges have.
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  7. mitchscove

    mitchscove Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Sep 4, 2016
    Messages:
    7,870
    Likes Received:
    4,479
    Trophy Points:
    113
    There are two sure things.
    When CNN starts claiming that 50% of newly employed people who just got a raise want to see it all ended and that they are happily draining their bank accounts before Sanders drains it for them and packing to move out of their homes that Liz Warren wants to confiscate ,,, and gleefully pouring their cokes in the street before Bloomberg does it for them, you know the real polling is bad for Democrats.

    When Democrats ramp up the Racist, Sexist, Homophobe, Xenophobe, Transphobe, you REALLY know the Dems are about to be shellacked.
     
    ButterBalls and jay runner like this.
  8. Darthcervantes

    Darthcervantes Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 4, 2018
    Messages:
    16,906
    Likes Received:
    17,147
    Trophy Points:
    113
    of course he isn't a shoo-IN. That is more LEFTIST corruption because they want Trump supporters to get cocky, complacent, overconfident and not show up to vote while in the mean time, they democrats are gearing up MILLIONS of illegals to vote illegally on their behalf. What a bunch of sick you know whats!
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  9. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    12,300
    Likes Received:
    9,291
    Trophy Points:
    113
    And a community organizer named Obama. Ross Perot was once a paper boy. I'm sure all of us have held menial jobs sometimes in our lives. Makes for great training. I picked tobacco, set pins at a bowling alley, delivered newspapers on a bicycle, and others of less importance. But I was financially able to retire at age 55. Now look at the success and great performance of the game show host once he entered the Oval Office. Some folks just don't recognize the intelligence of Trump. They just hate his personality, his looks, the way he talks, or because he's a republican. Some even hate his success at MAGA.
     
  10. jay runner

    jay runner Banned

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2017
    Messages:
    16,319
    Likes Received:
    10,027
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    If you have to wait in Valley Forge all this winter, and spring, and summer and into the fall, you got to show up to vote for Trump.

    All hands on deck, 286 days 20 hours 43 minutes.
     
    ButterBalls and Darthcervantes like this.
  11. Sanskrit

    Sanskrit Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 12, 2014
    Messages:
    17,082
    Likes Received:
    6,711
    Trophy Points:
    113
    OP article = includes "muhrussia" = null set
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  12. Texas Republican

    Texas Republican Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2015
    Messages:
    28,121
    Likes Received:
    19,405
    Trophy Points:
    113
    People hate big government and political correctness. That’s why Trump was elected.
     
    ButterBalls and jay runner like this.
  13. Spooky

    Spooky Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 29, 2013
    Messages:
    31,814
    Likes Received:
    13,377
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It'd be pretty hard for Trump to lose at this point.

    He'd have to really screw something up for that to happen. People are willing to put up with him for four more years because he is producing results, that's what it boils down to.

    I don't see voters risking a great economy on the likes of a Warren or Sanders and their insane policies no matter how much they may dislike Trump. Biden will probably be the nominee but there again, why risk a good thing on a chance? There is no way in hell that Biden will be able to outperform Trump on the economy and face it, people like working and making money.
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  14. rkhames

    rkhames Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 5, 2013
    Messages:
    5,227
    Likes Received:
    1,285
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Face it, no matter how the race is spun, it is currently unpredictable. The DNC is working overtime to undo the 2016 elections. Win or lose, they plan to use the Impeachment Process to attack the President. The thing that the DNC is not understanding is that the average American either does not care, or is not buying their story. Those that do not care, believe that all politicians are already corrupt, and this is a much milder form of corruption then most have done. They do not see it as a reason to change their vote. At the same time, Trump has turned the economy working on a cylinders. Unemployment is down. The unemployment rate for African Americans is lower then anytime in history. The incomes for blue collar workers is rising faster then those of supervisors. The average household income has risen by $10,000 a month since Trump took office. Despite having to fight open border Democrats and Judicial Activist Judges, Trump won a decisive victory on the wall, and stemmed the flow of illegals across the border. It is not going unnoticed that these caravans only happen during election years. Add in Trump's getting trade agreements, and you have a lot of positives for the President to run on.

    At the same time, the DNC candidates are playing the "who can be more left then the others". Your collection of Candidates include a self-avowed Communist, a woman with the propensity of lying every time she opens her mouth, a former VP that is admittedly guilty of the very thing the DNC is trying to impeach the President for, and a nanny-stater. All they have is fake promises of free handouts that no one could afford to keep, and more socialist/communist policies. Such as open borders, confiscating guns, and ruining the US economy. They are even trying to move the markers again, and alter reality. One Democrat (not a candidate) claimed that the DNC is a centrist Conservative party, and that there is no left-wing party in the US. It is this type of moronic behavior that will cost the DNC (no matter which candidate) the elections. That may seem contradictory to my opening statement, but it really isn't. There is always a chance that the DNC will change things up, but I seriously doubt it. Especially, since the President's Administration is set to have an October surprise of indicting key members of the Obama's Administration.
     
  15. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    12,300
    Likes Received:
    9,291
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Trump beat the odds starting back around 2016. This time around Trump is in a much better position. He should easily win. Face the facts folks.
     
    ButterBalls and Smartmouthwoman like this.
  16. Marine1

    Marine1 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2011
    Messages:
    31,883
    Likes Received:
    3,624
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male

    Trouble is that Trump's accomplishments are not getting out by the bias news. If it was he would be way ahead of anyone the Democrats put up.


    https://www.facebook.com/kenneth.co...otif_id=1579587191896198&notif_t=feed_comment
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  17. Smartmouthwoman

    Smartmouthwoman Bless your heart Past Donor

    Joined:
    May 13, 2009
    Messages:
    55,907
    Likes Received:
    24,863
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Female
    Still hanging onto Hillary by 10.
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  18. The Mello Guy

    The Mello Guy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    109,661
    Likes Received:
    37,416
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Free stuff, like handouts to farmers or trumps new welfare for moms who don’t wanna go back to work?
     
  19. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2011
    Messages:
    41,834
    Likes Received:
    32,498
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
  20. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2012
    Messages:
    107,541
    Likes Received:
    34,488
    Trophy Points:
    113
    New free stuff.
     
    ButterBalls likes this.
  21. modernpaladin

    modernpaladin Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Apr 23, 2017
    Messages:
    27,705
    Likes Received:
    21,104
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    ButterBalls likes this.
  22. garyd

    garyd Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2012
    Messages:
    56,578
    Likes Received:
    16,662
    Trophy Points:
    113
    ButterBalls likes this.
  23. Just A Man

    Just A Man Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    12,300
    Likes Received:
    9,291
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yeah, you can't beat somebody with nobody. The voters aren't that stupid.
     
  24. Giftedone

    Giftedone Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2010
    Messages:
    63,710
    Likes Received:
    13,466
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Tis true ! This is what one oddsmaker is saying - so this is what those that put money where mouth is have to say.

     
  25. ButterBalls

    ButterBalls Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    51,205
    Likes Received:
    37,552
    Trophy Points:
    113

Share This Page