RUSH: Here's some polling data from October 24-26, 1980, 'cause I heard Brit Hume today say... By the way, folks, on this whole business of you being despondent and depressed... I don't know how many of you are, but I'm telling you: The conservative media out there need the vapors. They're about ready to toss it in. You know, they live in this media bubble. They live and work in it, and consider themselves part of it, and they're totally freaked out. They believe every poll that comes out. To the extent that you read them and access them, I just want to warn you: You're gonna be hit with fatalism like you haven't seen before. For example, Hume said on Fox this morning, "Well, you gotta keep in mind that the candidate who is ahead in the polls in mid-September rarely loses." Well, does anybody remember Carter and Reagan? It wasn't until the week before the election that the polls started showing the truth of that election. An October 24th, 25th, 26th, 1980, Gallup poll had Carter leading Reagan by three among likely voters; eight points among registered voters. Reagan ends up winning by ten percentage points. So Gallup was off by 13 to 18 points just a week and a half before the election -- two weeks -- which shows me how much Gallup wanted Reagan to lose. Incumbent Democrat presidents usually aren't reelected. Do you know Bill Clinton is the only Democrat president to be reelected since FDR? Did you know that? Now, you might want to count LBJ being reelected as JFK's second term, but there obviously were mitigating, extenuating circumstances there. LBJ did not run for a second term. He quit. (impression) "I will not seek, and I shall not accept, the nomination of my party to be yo' president. Lady Bird and I would rather go back t'Texas and kick the beagles." Incumbent Democrats are usually not reelected. Clinton in 1996, if it weren't for Perot, who knows? Remember the Scott Walker situation in Wisconsin? What were they saying about the Scott Walker recall election against Tom Barrett before the election? If you remember, they were saying, "This is too close to call. It could be that Walker's gonna lose the recall." They were all -- all of them in the Drive-By Media -- talking about this. Yet Walker won with 53% of the vote. The Loser, Michael Dukakis, had a 17-point lead over George H. W. Bush in 1988 after the Democrat National Convention. On July 26th, 1988, the New York Times said, "This was among the findings of a national public opinion poll of 948 registered voters conducted late last week for Newsweek magazine by Gallup. Telephone interviews took place July 21st," which was the last night of the convention. Fifty-five percent said they preferred to see Dukakis win. Thirty-eight percent said Bush. They had Dukakis up 17 points; Bush ended up winning by eight. Jimmy Carter led Reagan by four points after his convention in 1980. If there's precedent here, it's not on Obama's side. >> http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/09/10/some_presidential_poll_history
Unfortunately for Republicans, there are no hostage-taking ayatolluhs saying "they will be released when Carter is out of office" this time around.
You can hate Rush, spit on his name...whatever you want, but he is not a dummy. His research people are top notch and what was said about reagan being behind in the polls is true...I remember it because I worked on his campaign in Georgia. The media doesn't want Romney to win so they are squewing the polls by the wording of the questions and who they ask.
Like these guy's: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/12/fox-news-poll-obama-has-lead-over-romney-in-post-convention-poll/
There is nothing of substance to compare ronnie raygun and his campaign to mittens, it's meaningless. rush is a drug addict with a microphone and a bunch of idiots to listen to him.
June 2011....Rush declared that Mitt Romney had said "Bye bye Nomination" and that Romney's shot at it was "over"....because Romney had dared to say climate change was real even man-made. Who's the GOP Nominee for President?
The hostage taking started out with demonstrations at US Embassies, then attacks and riots at US Embassies, Then storming of US Embassies with Americans being MURDERED. All planned in advance in 1979. Does any of that strike a familiar note today? Or did Romney criticizing the girly-man obama overshadow the repeat of a terrorist plan that worked perfectly before?
A note about polls. Some polling companies look for anyone that answers the phone. Some only ask REGISTERED VOTERS. Some only ask LIKELY VOTERS. But all extrapolate the polling results. They identify who they poll by groups. Say they call 1000 people, and 487 are for one candidate and 481 are for the other candidate, and the rest, undecided. They then DO NOT say one candidate is leading 48.7% to 48.1%. What they do is extrapolate that result according to the voting totals of groups from the last election. And if any group turnout votes more or a group turnout is less, then the polls are skewed. That's why you get polls like the Walker recall saying it is a tie, too close to call. And then Walker crushes the competition, and the Republican candidates, save one, crush the opposition 60-40. Same with 2010 Elections, neck and neck, but then Republicans SWEEP Congress, Governorships, and state legislatures. ONE POLL counts. It will be held Nov 6. b.o. will be rightly fired for doing a completely inept and failed effort.
