Oh Boy: New Polls Show Hillary Trailing in Ohio, Nevada, Colorado .....

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by MMC, Sep 14, 2016.

  1. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Oh my.....Trump in the lead again and now in Colorado? Pulling away in Ohio. Swings into Lead in Nevada. Didn't someone mention Trump's momentum had come to a stop. Looks like that just isn't the truth, huh?




    Well, here's a trio of brand new polls out of key battleground states showing Trump pulling ahead of Hillary Clinton. Bloomberg's Ohio survey was in the field for four days, three of which were after her "deplorables" remark, and one-and-a-half of which were post-health incident. The result? The Republican is up five points, in both the one-on-one and four-way contests:


    Josh Jordan ‎@NumbersMuncher


    Bloomberg Ohio poll (taken 9/9-9/12):
    Trump 44
    Clinton 39
    Johnson 10
    Stein 3

    Trump now leads the RCP average by half a point.
    7:25 AM - 14 Sep 2016





    Benjy Sarlin
    ✔ ‎@BenjySarlin

    NEW Monmouth poll of Nevada likely voters:

    Trump 44 Clinton 42 Johnson 8

    Senate:

    Heck 46 Cortez-Masto 43


    A Reuters/Ipsos survey released this week gave Trump a narrow edge in a two-way race, 43 percent to 41 percent — his first lead in Colorado in the 2016 election. It follows two other recent polls showing the presidential race as a dead heat or within 5 percentage points. For months, Clinton held a definitive, often double-digit lead in Colorado, and polling averages still give her the upper hand. But Republicans are sensing momentum here, and Trump announced Tuesday he will hold a rally Saturday in Colorado Springs...Republican pollster David Flaherty at Magellan Strategies conducted a Aug. 29-31 poll that showed Clinton with a 41 percent to 36 percent lead among likely voters in a four-way race, just outside the 4.4 percentage point margin of error. But he cautions against Trump’s camp getting too optimistic. “Trump is not gaining in momentum or support. Gary Johnson is,” he said, referring to the Libertarian candidate for president, who is getting significant support in Colorado......snip~

    http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2016/09/14/ohio-poll-n2217986
     
  2. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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    So the Bloomberg poll and the Monmouth University poll are accurate?

    Yes or No?



    (watch this. :) )
     
  3. lemmiwinx

    lemmiwinx Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It's going to be a close race between Clinton and Johnson for second with the Green party lady getting something like 1% depending on how many of her supporters are on their periods.
     
  4. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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    "Trump Landslide", Mr. Morris?
     
  5. lemmiwinx

    lemmiwinx Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Carter-Reagan, Reagan-Mondale both come to mind. It's going to be a thing to behold.
     
  6. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    (Now.....watch this)

    I told you Trump would be back to take the lead again. Do you deny this?

    Reuters/Ipsos is the clear outlier, huh? :grin:
     
  7. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Nasty!
     
  8. lemmiwinx

    lemmiwinx Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    She started it.
     
  9. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    The more her basket remark gets round the more her numbers drop. Now they know she is lying about the medical. Then more bad news coming out with emails. More lies to come there.


    her favorable rating (-17) in Buckeyeland is significantly worse than Donald Trump's (-7), according to these numbers.....snip~

    Independents are over 70% against her now.

    She is becoming a Disgrace and the Demos are panicking.
     
  10. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Those like mevwho are not a supporter of either one of these gaboomkas has always said that thus race will get tight. Neither dude should rejoice or despair if one or two polls shows their candidate. Polls are not always right and thst goes for some of our old favorites. What I recomend is that if you want a reasonable read of the polls that you use a aggregate of the known polls. Carefull if new untested polls especially if they are outliers.
     
  11. kgeiger002

    kgeiger002 Active Member Past Donor

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    What happened to the Vegas troll? He/she is all "crickets" now. Hey Vegas! What say you?
     
  12. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    I have already told him, I don't just go by the pollsters. But I did tell him it was what was expected with the lead changes.



    Bloomberg's Ohio survey was in the field for four days, three of which were after her "deplorables" remark, and one-and-a-half of which were post-health incident. The result? The Republican is up five points, in both the one-on-one and four-way contests:

    Trump now leads the RCP average by half a point.....snip~
     
  13. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    And CNN.... Trump is leading by 4 points in Florida, by 5 points in Ohio.
     
  14. Genius

    Genius Active Member

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    Maybe a few hundred million dollars in ads will help her.:roflol:
     
  15. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Now they caught her up with the medical and she is taking the hit. Even ABC's Jonathon Karl says her team was over the point on borderline deception.

    They were trying to get her out of the public due to that Romney moment over the basket, and to leave Trump on display. Her Team thought she could still ride out the clock.

    Its backfired with the excuses and going back to Friday. Her favorable -17 is continuing to rise and more are seeing the dishonesty for what it is.
     
  16. MRogersNhood

    MRogersNhood Banned

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    No.I saw one today straight from the DNC email.
    "Dangerous Donald,blah blah blah"
     
  17. Jim Nash

    Jim Nash Well-Known Member

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    Colorado would be some nice icing on the cake. Must get Florida though...
     
  18. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Trump will pull away in Ohio.....he is also picking up Democrats in Pennsylvania.


    Why Democrats in Western Pennsylvania Are Voting Trump.....


    At a voter-registration event in Washington County, Democrats in the energy industry say the 2016 election is about preserving their way of life......

    She was among more than 60 employees who attended an informal voter-registration effort conducted by Secure Energy for America, a non-partisan trade association that has visited energy vendors and suppliers in key counties of Southwestern Pennsylvania, Ohio’s Mahoning Valley, and Virginia. It hopes to mobilize energy-industry workers, along with their relatives and neighbors, to vote in November. Officially, the effort is non-partisan. Yet for most energy workers in Pennsylvania, voting to preserve their industry means voting for Trump and Toomey.

    The registration drive gets to the heart of the election in Western Pennsylvania. Democrats in these small communities want to hold on to their way of life; they feel their communities have as much value as those of their more-cosmopolitan Democratic cousins, and they cannot reconcile themselves to a national Democratic Party that they feel is working against them. They are the voters whose simple motivation to vote outside of the party they were born into has fallen under the radar of the national press and the polls.

    But the energy industry has noticed. “This kind of endeavor is terrifically impactful with voters,” said Ron Sicchitano, the Democratic Party’s chairman here in Washington County. “I’ve got to hand it to them.” Sicchitano, a coal miner, says anti-coal statements by President Barack Obama and presidential candidate Hillary Clinton have had a “tremendously devastating” impact on voters in a county that has been reliably Democratic in the past.

    What’s different this time, Sicchitano, said, is the intensity of people’s feelings: “This time it really is personal for these voters.”

    Every single person who walked into Lee Supply’s training room, from the CEO down to the janitor, was a registered Democrat. And every single person pledged not only to vote for Trump and Toomey but to ask family, neighbors, and friends to do the same.

    Washington County is one of 10 Pennsylvania counties to watch in this election; the others are Bucks, Cambria, Dauphin, Lackawanna, Lancaster, Luzerne, Westmoreland, Greene, and York.

    Trump is unlikely to win all 10. But, if he gains 2,000 to 2,500 voters in each like LeJohn, Shannon, Lancaster, and the 50 other voters who pledged their support at Secure Energy’s registration drive, then he might be looking at a tight race in this state in November.....snip~

    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/...-trump/499577/
     
  19. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Her ads were the reason why the leftness thought she was winning Texas. Now Trump is up by 6 in Texas.

    Latest State Polls.....

    Florida (CNN/ORC): Trump +3

    Nevada (Monmouth): Trump +2

    Ohio (CNN/ORC): Trump +5 (Bloomberg): Trump +5

    Maine (SurveyUSA): Clinton +3

    Texas (Emerson): Trump +6

    Virginia (PPP): Clinton +6.....snip~

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/?state=nwa
     
  20. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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    Great....so CNN polls are accurate?

    Yes or No?

    - - - Updated - - -

    Thanks....so IN THE FUTURE, we can quote CNN, Monmouth, PPP.....and you'll say those polls are "accurate"


    Right?
     
  21. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Then Emerson, Reuters, LA TIMES, USA and Bloomberg Polls to, Right?

    You need to come up with a new routine as there are a still a bunch of polls not mentioned.

    Did you miss Nate Silver predicting Trump will win half of Maine? Despite the USA poll. Now Trump is within the margin of error for the other half. From a Boston Globe Poll.....one of those Polls not mentioned that you try to play with when the polls show Hillary trailing.

    Don't you accept the polls as being accurate when Hillary is trailing? Yes or no.

    Wont you say that's it.....and accept the reality going forward. That in the end the polls that said Hillary were trailing were Right all along.

    Note how your shtick can easily be turned back upon you and reliance on polls.


    Bernie Bro Backlash? New Maine Poll Has Trump Within Margin of Error

    Colby College-Boston Globe poll released Tuesday shows the presidential race in Maine is now within the margin of error, with Clinton leading Trump, 42 percent to 39 percent.

    Also significant: The poll of likely voters, conducted last week by SurveyUSA, showed only a small portion of respondents, 5 percent, remain undecided less than eight weeks before Election Day.....snip~

    http://townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2016/09/14/maine-poll-trump-margin-of-error-n2217976
     
  22. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    As the poll leader, Trump still has the same problem Hillary did as lead dog---unless you can steadily pull in at least 48%or better, your numbers are soft. Turn out is going to be sooooo low this election, we will hear crickets when we show up at the polls.
     
  23. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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    No I don't.

    All I have to do is...."if" the polls like CNN and Monmouth go back against Trump?

    And you reject them?


    Post the link to this thread and say "What changed? You USED to believe in CNN and Monmouth polls?"

    I'm not disputing your polls....even though they are favorable to Trump.

    YOU WILL dispute those same polls....if they go against Trump.
     
  24. Jackster

    Jackster New Member

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    Thats enough to make her

    [​IMG]
     
  25. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    You have no clue as to what you are talking about and with who. Just because I post some reality doesn't mean I live for polls.

    You might have heard me dispute a couple of polls at the time and with what was breaking. But that's about it. Posting up Polls showing Hillary trailing rather than always showing her leading.

    Says what?

    How many threads showing Trump and making more out of it than whats there and looking to avoid the negative falling Hillarys way......says what?

    Sounds like you don't like when the polls show Trump leading. That you want the polls to always show Hillary has the lead. Do you think it could be due to all the negative news you avoid thats brought out on Hillary and the Democrats?
     

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