Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Hoosier8, Sep 23, 2016.

  1. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly

    Of course there is always a first time to be wrong but this guys track record is impressive.

    MORE: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...-30-years-of-presidential-outcomes-correctly/
     
  2. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  3. Greataxe

    Greataxe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  4. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Outside of 2000, predicting the winner of presidential races since 1984 was relative easy. But as of today the numbers show a different outcome. Especially in the electoral college. But we shall see.
     
  5. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Can't wait for all of the lefties in the cabinet to get fired.

    Holder et all need to be worried about litigation.
     
  6. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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  7. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Well, Trump is simply loved by the Great Middle Class of America, and why not?

    The "Progressive" disdain for middle and working class America has been going on for a generation. Progressives do not like or respect folks that are post-racial, not rich, not in possession of advanced degrees and not supplicants to the Progressive Orthodoxy. In fact, they hold them in open contempt.

    They claim we are racists, sexists, homophobes, xenophobes, islamophobes, transphobes, ignorant and prone to violence with a near criminal love of guns and dedicated to a religion that is a mixture of superstition and hypocrisy, Christianity that is little more than a mask for hate. Or as Hillary put it, we are "deplorable.”

    Well, crap, what joint action discussion or interaction can one have with folks that view such a large section of the nation in such a fashion?

    http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2016/09/why_people_love_trump.html
     
  8. Gorn Captain

    Gorn Captain Banned

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    Election experts agree.....


    [​IMG]
     
  9. cupAsoup

    cupAsoup Well-Known Member

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    Awesome. We could turn the entire country into Kansas.
     
  10. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

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    we can always hope for that now can't we. I would settle for Indiana or Wisconsin with better weather myself. Nebraska anyone ?

    but back to topic , did the dems qualify for even one of those criteria ? That could account for this years extreme anti incumbent mood
     
  11. Greataxe

    Greataxe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump should insure that AG Lynch to the first to get bootprint on her behind as she is kicked-out the door.
     
  12. Greataxe

    Greataxe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Kansas if far better than Detroit, Chicago, Stockton or Baltimore.
     
  13. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    I watched his video, and he doesn't seem too sure of his pick, often suggesting that Trump may be the one who defies his methodology, which of itself, gives Trump only the narrowest of wins, a +6 anti-incumbent lean.
     
  14. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yep, but winning by a narrow margin is still a win. If he wins do you think the Democrats will take to the courts again to try and win the presidency through the courts?
     
  15. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Might have something to do with Clinton and her people, plus the Demo party thinking they are above the law, huh?


    http://www.politicalforum.com/showthread.php?t=476361&p=1066657321#post1066657321
     
  16. MMC

    MMC Well-Known Member

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    Its a given.....they will take it to the Court.
     
  17. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    Only if there is one or more states that give Trump a very narrow win, then I'm sure they will try every trick in the book to turn it the other way.
     
  18. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

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    it is far easier to just look at the weighting of current polls and readjust it to turnout for 2012 numbers. That would be the absolute most hillary can hope for, and quite frankly I think that is being very optimistic for hillary. Registration trends and enthusiasm indications tell me that the dems are going to get a drubbing but there is still plenty of time for a change. Last real obvious wild cards are the debates. If presidential Trump comes out he has won the election, if street brawler Trump appears the USA of the last 200 + years is dead. Otherwise I don't think there is much that can significantly affect either enthusiasm or the vote itself.
     
  19. AtsamattaU

    AtsamattaU Well-Known Member

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    Gotta save that quote for later.
     
  20. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It is usually called a landslide, even if the margin is nearly invisible.
     
  21. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yes, with full subsequent investigation. Benghazi, the IRS, you name it.

    Root them out.
     
  22. Vegas giants

    Vegas giants Banned

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    We are gonna win....we are gonna win....said the texans before the game last night. LOL
     
  23. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    This race seems like a teeter-totter to me. When one side gets ahead significantly, the other side starts coming out of the trenches, and the race flips around. Just a few days ago, Trump had his biggest lead yet, but now he seems to have lost most of that ground back to Hillary again.

    http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-daybreak-poll-methodology-20160714-snap-story.html

    Looks like we are going into the debates with the race about tied, and the current momentum with Hillary.
     
  24. Vegas giants

    Vegas giants Banned

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    If you look at the RCP Hillary has been winning for almost the entire time during this election cycle.....and is still winning
     
  25. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Polls are snapshots in time and are not predictive. Also many are modeled based on past results and Trump kind of breaks the mold. You can give the raw data to 5 different pollsters and they will all have different results.
     

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