Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

And btw, in the US Military, +3,422 new C19 cases were reported on 2020-07-006, even more than in Arizona. In fairness, the US military does not report figures every day, so I am assuming that this number probably reflects the sum total of a number of days put together.

 

Do you think Putin pays Trump a hundred thousand dollars for every soldier who dies of Covid-19? I see that Dr. Trump is saying that 99% of the cases are harmless. Fortunately our beautiful statues have natural immunity.

 

Can you translate? My German is very limitted.

 

But naturally, I will do that

Ratata, Bang, Kaboooooom, Hurray,
Corona defeated, the mob destroyed
the economy booming
I am the greates US-President ever




Virtual Reality or :
Mask wearing in the White House

 

Danke @gnoib.

 

Well it looks like it was a weekend event.


It's gonna be ugly if California goes south.

Watch out for Georgia.

Florida Governor: Don't worry, be happy.

Phoenix mayor asks Washington for help with testing. They tell her they are getting out of that business. WTF.

 

Pittsburgh has a certain charm about it that makes it one of my favorite cities. Would have liked to have spent more time there but the opportunity never arose.

 

HERE the analysis for the worldwide C19 stats for EOD the day before.

Reminder: New 7-day rolling average system in effect, posted 2020-06-029, 12:40 GMT +2, #10712.

During the run of the day on 2020-07-006 there were some other important analysis:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-07-005, posted 2020-07-006, 11:39 GMT +2, #10938.
The USA goes over 3 million C10 cases, posted 2020-07-006, 17:39 GMT +2, #10943.

You can confirm/sort the data for this analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

Important permanent note: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter will have changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly. In the case of 2020-07-006, there is a 10,946 case and a 109 death disparity.

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Monday, 2020-07-006 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):​

֍* 11,732,996 *֍
+182,454 new C19 cases over the day before.
There are now 136 nations with at least 100 total COVID-19 cases.
On 2020-07-006, the USA went over 3 million total COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 540,137 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +3,692 of them were on this day.
Rolling 7 day worldwide average: +190,013 new C19 cases and +4,658 deaths per day.
656 Brazilian, 474 Indian, 410 US-American and 273 Mexican deaths were recorded on this day.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
​

The entire month of June saw +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 40 out of the last 41 days, save 2020-05-031. Jesus wandered in the wilderness for 40 days, so now that we've hit 40 straight days of more than +100,000 new C19 cases worldwide on 2020-07-006, I will stop mentioning this.

The last 14 days in a row saw more than +160,000 cases per day and twice the week before, the world went more than +200,000 new daily cases, a phenomenon I expect will happen again in this week. I would say that it's a certainty that going under +100,000 cases a day is now a thing of the past, +175,000 cases or more per day (see: rolling average) is the norm right now and soon enough, +200,000 per day will the norm.

The worldwide analysis for 2020-06-021, has an extrapolation of how many total C19-cases and C19-deaths we are likely to have by the end of 2020, you may be interested to go and read it again, right under the excel-table for that day.

The number of daily deaths on this Monday is larger than 3 of the 4 Mondays before.

Total cases per country, descending (countries with circa +300 C19 cases and above):
​

136-68-21-2​

In terms of total cases per country, there are now 136 nations in the "thousand club", with Mozambique, Eswatini and Burkina Faso all three having crossed over the 1,000-line on 2020-07-006.

Of those 136, 68 nations are now in the "10,000 club".

21 of those 68 nations are at at 100,000 or more, with Quatar having crossed over the 100,000-line on 2020-07-006.

Of those 21, 2 nations are in the "1,000,000" club: the USA and Brazil.

Yesterday, I wrote:

Just to support that point: India grew +22,510 cases on 2020-07-006. Also, only 1 day after having surpassed Russia and now taking rank 3, India is now already 32,484 cases in front of Russia. In other words, "life comes at you fast"...

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

70-23-3​

70 countries had +100 or more new cases, 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 66.

Of those 70, 23 countries had +1,000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 24. Look at the three countries directly under the 1,000-line: Ghana, Egypt, Israel.... hmmmm.... next hotspot?

Of those 23, 3 nations had over +10,000 new cases: USA, India and Brasil. The day before, it was 3. The USA starts the week with almost +58,000 new cases (there is a 7,319 case disparity between my excel table and WorldOMeter for 2020-07-006). if this is the start, at the tail-end of a holiday weekend, then the middle of this week may be a real shock in the USA. Just sayin'.

There can just be no doubt about it - in some corners of the world, with North, Middle and South America leading, C19 is advancing very quickly.

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:​

​

85-37-18-11-1​

There are now 85 nations with 100 total deaths or more.

Of those 85, 37 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date.

**NEW:** Of those 37, 18 have over +5,000 COVID-19 deaths to date.

Of those 18, there are now 11 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date.

And finally, of those 11, 1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

Currently at 132,979 total deaths, the USA is circa 4% of the world's population but yet, 24.71% of all worldwide deaths have come from the USA (the day before, it was 24.83%). A extrapolation pointing to 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running within the USA analyses.

Brazil, currently at 65,556 total deaths, is now rank 2 among the C19 dead and closing in on +100,000 deaths rather quickly. An average of +1,243 deaths per day as of 2020-06-024 gets Brazil to 100,000 on July 31st, 2020. An average of +891 deaths per day gets Brazil to 100,000 on August 15th, 2020. It's current rolling average is: +1,024.

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:​

You can see the top 9 nations, all over +100 daily deaths, for yourself, highighted in the screenshot above.

9 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 11 the day before). 5 of those 9 countries are from the Americas. .

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

30 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece.

With 90.4 million COVID-19 tests, China leads the field by far. Very soon, China will also be adjusting it's actual and daily C19 cases and deaths. We may be in for a real statistical jolt, here. The USA has now performed 38.2 million tests (600,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 21.3 million tests (200,000 thousand more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations both in terms of COVID-19 infections and total deaths, has has been stuck at 3.3 million such tests for days now.

Facit: on 2020-07-006, the world landed at 11.73 million total C19 cases, only 4 days after breaking over the 11 million mark.

The world-wide curve, which had generally flattened, is numerically picking up substantially. The huge increase in total cases will invariably, absent a working vaccine, cause the average daily deaths to rise again, probably within the next 12-20 days. It's like a game of whack-a-mole. We've seen this pattern happen before.


-Stat

 

HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before. Reminder: New 7-day rolling average. Also, the USA is now being analyzed in 57 Units instead of 50 states.

There was one important interim report on 2020-07-006 pertinent to my homeland:
The USA goes over 3 million C10 cases, posted 2020-07-006, 17:39 GMT +2, #10943.

You can confirm/sort the data for the following analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

Important permanent note: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter will have changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of or into the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly. For instance, for Monday, 2020-07-006, there is a 7,316 case / 31 death disparity, also reflected worldwide.

And now:

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Monday, 2020-07-006 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

***3,040,833***
The USA soared over 3 million total COVID-19 cases on Monday, 2020-07-006.
+57,905 new COVID-19 cases, highest daily total to-date.
In a row: 15 days of +30,000 or more / 12 days of +40,000 or more.
Fourth instance of +50,000 or more, but not in a row.
There are now 132,979 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 410 of them were recorded on this day.
Rolling 7 day average = 51,289 new infections & 599 deaths per day.
1,324,947 people have recovered, 1,582,907 are still sick, 15,198 of them are in critical condition.
The recovered statistic is improving: margin = -8.49% vs. active cases (was: -9.09%).​

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

It's going to be quite a week in the USA, to put it mildly. We just STARTED the week with the highest daily case-load ever, and that on a Monday after a holiday weekend. Go back and check out the numbers for the days after Memorial Day (2020-05-025) and see the marked difference for yourself. If this is how we are starting the week, then just imagine how and where we will end it.

The days of maybe +20,000 to +25,000, even +30,000 new C19 cases per day, are gone. We are already now between +45,000 to +55,000 as the norm. This is a massive uptick, and it happened more quickly than people may think. Take a look for yourself at the rolling 7-day average and compare 2020-07-006 with the Monday before: we have gone from an average of +41,951 cases per day to +51,289 cases per day - and this happened in just one week's time. In two weeks time, it is very possible that +60,000 will become the norm.

Yesterday, I wrote:

And so it was.

The actual number of daily deaths reported on 2020-07-006, +410, reflects an UPTICK in Monday deaths in the USA. The real concern (and I have been writing this for more than a week now) here is that with a huge spike in cases within the Union, a spike in deaths will follow in the next 2-3 weeks, ala what we saw in NY and NJ, one month later in LA, MI and IL. We may soon see this in FL, AZ, TX, CA and GA. Why 2-3 weeks? Because daily deaths are a lagging indicator.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:
​

57: 56-47-42-17-8​

56 out of 57 UNITS have over 1,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece. 50 of those 56 Units are US States. However, at 332 and the only Unit under the 1,000-line, the Pacific Territories may take a while to get there.

**NEW**: 47 out of 57 UNITS have over 5,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece. 42 of those 47 Units are US States. I've opened up +5,000 as a rubrik since every Unit in the nation except one has cleared the +1,000 mark.

42 of the UNITS I just mentioned now have more than +10,000 cases. 39 of those 42 Units are states. The non-states: DC, Veterans Affairs and the US Military. Puerto Rico and Idaho are probably up next to cross over the 10,000-line.

Of those 42, 17 have more than +50,000 confirmed C19 cases. All 17 of them are states. Indiana, Connecticut and South Carolina are all less than 4,000 cases from the 50,000-line and all approaching it at varying speeds.

Of those 17, 8 have more than +100,000 confirmed C19 cases, Arizona having crossed over the 100,000-line on 2020-07-006. Georgia is not far behind. To put this into perspective: in the entire world, 21 nations are currently over the 100,000 mark.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:

​

57: 55-41-10​

55 of 57 Units reported at least one new case, 48 of those 55 being states. This means that ALL of the non-states reported cases.

41 of 57 Units reported more than +100 new cases. 38 of those 41 Units were states. The non-states were: Puerto Rico, Veterans Affairs and US military.

10 of 57 Units reported over +1,000 new cases (the day before, it was 10), 9 of those 10 being states. The non-state, with a whalloping +3,422 new cases, is the US Military. This time, with just over +9,000 cases, Texas led the day, followed by California, Florida, the US Military and Arizona. The shocker on the list is the state of Washington, making for a third Western/Southwestern state in the +1,000 new case category.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:
​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

57: 36-9-0​

36 of 57 Units reported at least one new death. 32 of them are US States. The 4 non-states: DC, Veteran Affairs, US Military and Navajo Nations.

Of those 36, 9 reported deaths in double digits or more, from +11 to +76. All 9 of those Units are US States.

Out of the entire Union, all 57 Units, 0 Units reported more than 100 daily deaths.

The actual calculated +daily deaths on my excel table is +410, WorldOMeter reflects +379. 31 deaths were added to 2020-07-005 after the fact, just to be clear.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

57: 45-25-2
​

45 of 57 Units now have at least 100 total deaths. 41 of those 45 Units are US States. At 97, 95, 94, and 80 total deaths respectively, South Dakota, West Virginia, Idaho and North Dakota will soon cross over that marker.

Of those 45, 25 Units now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths. 24 of those 25 are US states, the other Unit is US Veterans Affairs. Currently at 960 deaths, Rhode Island is inching up toward the +1,000-death line, it will likely happen within July, 2020. That being said, both South Carolina and Tennessee are experiencing more daily deaths than Rhode Island and may actually get there first.

Of those 25 Units, 2 have suffered more than 10,000 COVID-19 deaths: NY and NJ, the original epicenters of the virus in February/March/April 2020.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 132,979 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between 127,000-136,000:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of ALL of MIDLAND, never to get the one or the other back again. Think about that.

NEW EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-06-001)​

What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not. On the first day of each month, the table for the month before will also be published here.

Some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen.

Right now, we are 1,584 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us just a little more than 2 days ahead of the projection. This number is higher than the corresponding number from the corresponding Monday in June, shortly after the extrapolation began (2020-06-008, 1,260 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation at that time).

-Stat

 

Holy ****, they are still pushing the LARP, will give them an A for effort at least, ROFL. Carry on LARPERS!

Thread has been excellent paid shilldar for over a month now. Do Brock/CCP/Soros/NEA/SEIU -really- believe they are going to push through mail in ballots in swing states given the sorry state of the facts by wearing out this LARP? Guess so.

 

The Central-African unitary-state of Cameroon, also spelled Cameroun or Kamerun (pop: 26.5 million, landmass 475,442 square km, located very close to the Equator), just reported +2,324 new C19 cases:



That makes for a growth rate of +18.46% over the total from 2020-07-006 (12,592). That's a big growth rate. Now it's possible that Cameroon is reporting cases over a many-day period, all packaged into one report, though it doubt it. Cameroon tends to report figures almost every day. Either way that's a large amount of cases relative to the total for this country and yet another reason for why the world is not going to go under the +100,000 per day mark for a long, long time. It's not just the USA, Brasil, India and South Africa that are driving these craaaazy +numbers for the world. Increases are happening literally everywhere on the planet as more and more testing is happening.

Cameroon is larger than the US state of California in landmass and it's population is about halfway between the populations of the US states of Florida and Texas. It was once a French colony, achieved independence in 1960. Cameroon is a Christian-majority land with a significant muslim minority and a tiny sliver of a Jewish population, which many consider to be the lost tribes of Israel.

Cameroon is known for some breathtaking geography, especially its plateau and mountain ranges. This country is often called "Africa in miniature", geographically speaking. A colleague of mine once did research in Kamerun and she absolutely loved being there.

If Cameroun continues at this pace, then I will be adding it to a new future upperdecks series.

Just to compare: one month ago, on Tuesday, 2020-06-009, Cameroon had a total of 8,321 cases and had just grown +352 of them from the day before:



So, in one month's time, Cameroun has grown +6,604 cases, a 79.45% growth rate in one month.

Also, you can see that the day is just beginning: right now, in terms of +C19 cases, the USA is rank 21, with +296 cases and we all know that at the end of the day, the USA will be rank one with just way too many ****ing C19 cases.

-Stat

 

Reports are all over the place that the President of Brasil, that tutti-fruity-tutti Jair Messias Bolsonaro, has tested positive for COVID-19:

https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2020-07/jair-bolsonaro-brasilien-corona-symptome-test-infektion

https://www.band.uol.com.br/coronav...olsonaro-testa-positivo-para-coronavirus.html

Of course, Bolsonaro is refusing to say whether or not he really tested positive, but those around him are saying that yes, he did. So, this day could end up being VERY interesting. Bolsonaro is going to take a second test.

Also, the middle name "Messias" means "Messiah". Quite fitting for the crazy-man, I would say.

 

The mayor of Atlanta, Georgia, Keisha Bottoms, has tested positive for COVID-19.

 

Cameroon had not reported any cases since June 24th, so today's report is almost certainly just some giant buildup and dump from the last two weeks.

 

This one is tough as she is my mayor and I have a great deal of respect for her performance to date. She is reportedly asymptomatic thus far, so let's just pray that it remains that way.

On an even closer note, my brother - who works in the hospital and has spent time working on the Covid-wing - is now presumptive positive and just waiting on the test result while in quarantine. His symptoms are fairly mild as well.

 

I will pray mi sh'beyrach for your brother.

 

The state Capitol building in California has been closed until further notice.

A number of CA-state representatives have tested positive for COVID-19.

 

I see that @Sanskrit has decided to re-emerge, so I would like to take the time to update him on the idiotic method that he used for evaluating the severity of covid-19.

And no, it is not the 3 million cases in the US (alone), nor is it the 133,000 deaths in the US (alone), nor is it the fact that the US has set multiple single day records for cases over the past week and seen its rolling 7-day average of cases go from a low of ~20.6K on June 12th to a brand new, all time high of ~50.1K yesterday.

No, Sanskrit wanted to rely upon this chart from realclearpolitics which listed the average deaths from the seasonal flu in each state (after a full year) alongside the reported covid-19 deaths in that state (after three months). Now you might ask yourself, why would someone think it is a good idea to compare three months of a novel virus against the average deaths of a year from a virus that has been around for decades? And the answer is not something that can be stated on PF without insulting the intellect of the person who believed it was a good idea.

When he first posed this really, really moronic metric for his claim that this virus is "no more than a bad cold," there were 16 States that had suffered more deaths after two months of covid-19 than they usually experienced from the year of the seasonal flu. At the time, I predicted that the number of States which would eventually cross that threshold by the end of the year was 40. Sanskrit responded by predicting this virus would disappear in September which is...well....yea....not likely.

As of today, the number of States which has experienced more deaths in three months of Covid-19 than they experience from the average year of the seasonal flu is...

Thirty-Four.

Here they are:



And that is without counting Vermont, which is one away.

 

The border between Victoria and South Wales in Australia has been closed. Apparently, there has been a COVID-19 spike in Victoria, so the government has decided to close the border between two states within the land.

So, the question is: has Australia really defeated C19? Or does Australia simply take this far more seriously than the USA?

 

Sans who???

MS comic sans???

I never use that font. Is too much malarkey for me.

 

While that is a distinct possibility Cameroon shares a long border with Nigeria which has the 3rd highest total of reported cases in Africa. When it comes to the virus proximity matters and borders in Africa are porous due to inadequate funding.

My suspicion is that there are already hotspots in Africa that are going entirely unreported owing to an absence of testing.

 

Hopefully your brother does well T.

 

Colorado Data
https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data

Colorado Data is still very good. My county is holding steady, 73.

 

It has now been corroborated. Jair Bolsonaro has tested positive for COVID-19:

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/07/07/americas/brazil-bolsonaro-positive-coronavirus-intl/index.html

https://www.foxnews.com/world/brazilian-president-bolsonaro-tests-positive-for-coronavirus

 

The numbers are telling me that Iran is losing the battle against COVID-19.

Once again, Iran has reported over +2,000 new cases (+2,637), but this time, Iran is at +200 new deaths, more than Russia.

@Iranian Monitor - hmmmmmm... thoughts?