Biden the Winner

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by ronv, Sep 29, 2020.

  1. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Actually, I go by RCP which averages all the recent polls and doesn't just rely on one.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

    Biden's lead on 29 Sep was 6.1 points, today it's up to 7.4. On the 29th Biden was at 49.4%, today he's at 50.3%. Which comes down to a single point which is nothing one way or the other. So a wash is what I call it as neither rose a few points or fell a few points. The rise for Biden is probably more due to the normal ups and downs we've seen for the last three months than any debate. My two cents anyway.
     
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  2. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I suspect that you really do believe these projection polls.

    Hint: Biden has not been ahead in the swing states for several months.
     
  3. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    LOL, These are not projection polls. These polls show where things stand today, not in November. Do I believe them? Once the margin of error is calculated into them, yes. Here's RCP list of some battle ground states,

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/

    All have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points. Even so, they show where things stand as of 3 Oct. In other words, any poll shows exactly that. If the election were held today, this is what should happen within a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points. I really don't believe many know how to read the polls, they just take the horse race numbers as fact when it reality they're not.
     
  4. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    One of the nice things about watching so few supporters show up for Biden, and how thousands upon thousands risk COVID-19 for Trump, is that Trump supporters won't mention Biden much after the new Supreme Court gets done affirming the legitimacy of a second Trump term.

    It's a pattern, even with the Lord of the TelePrompter, Hussein the Magnificent. He tries to stay in the spotlight but lately it's all bad, him chiseling his publisher over a $64 million book contract.

    But ex-Prezzes don't get much love. Aside from You Can Keep Your Health Care Plan. And those trying for the brass ring and fail, they get less love than even that. Oh sure, a book contract, a few overpaid speaking engagements, but this too tapers off, partly from the ex-candidate's advancing age or our declining interest. Or both.

    We didn't get much about that goon riding a tank with a helmet on (oh drear what WAS his name! Doofus?).

    Kerry doesn't get mentioned much. He did win legitimately in a recent yachting contest. Yay for him.

    Or that detestable wife of Bubba Dropdrawers, whose closest aide Huma Abedin's husband "Carlos Danger" was sending porn by phone to underage girls, and whose OWN husband had far too many trips to Jeffrey Epstein's orgy island. You heard it here first. Ghislaine Maxwell did not commit suicide.

    Joe's going to be remembered fondly as a not-so-bright, run-at-the-mouth nice kind of guy. He's old. He has lots of wrong memories to try and ram down our throats, but the media will soon grow tired of him and he too will fade away like Carter.
     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2020
  5. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    Well, I guess the last NBC WSJ poll puts this one to rest.
    Same poll before the debate, Biden plus 8.
    Same poll right after debate, Biden plus 14.
     
  6. clg311

    clg311 Well-Known Member

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    Got through about half the transcript of the debate and couldn't stop laughing. Like a Marx brothers movie.
     

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