Battleground Scorecard

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Derideo_Te, Nov 3, 2020.

  1. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/battleground-power-rankings-north-and-south

    Starting with 164 the wannabe Fascist-in-Chief MUST win ALL of the above with the exception of Iowa in order to reach 270+. If he loses ANY of those other states Biden wins.

    OTOH Biden needs of ONLY win ONE of those states besides Iowa in order to reach 270+ to become the next president.

    Yes, there are alternative paths to 270 for both candidates but the wannabe Fascist-in-Chief is the one who essentially needs a SWEEP to remain out of reach of those waiting indictments.

    The odds are we will know the results in smaller states like AZ or NC sooner than those larger states so I am going to be watching them closely. If either goes to Biden that makes him the WINNER.

    Now if you haven't already voted I recommend that you do it today and chose wisely like our Republican friends in Dixville Notch, NH have already done.

    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/new-hampshire-2020-first-votes_n_5fa0c3b5c5b67617e64a7d5c


    https://twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323406240383381506
     
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  2. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    Georgia. Republicans have 9% more votes turned in than Democrats.

    Ohio. Republicans have 9% more votes turned in than Democrats.

    Florida. Democrats have 1% more votes turned in than Republicans. This should be easily overcome as the majority of Democrats have already voted while a large amount of Republicans wait for election day. to vote in person.

    Arizona. Votes from each party tied at this moment. This should be easily overcome as the majority of Democrats have already voted while a large amount of Republicans wait for election day. to vote in person.

    Pennsylvania. There are a huge amount of early votes requested by Democrats over Republicans. There aren't any indicators as to how many Republican votes there are that haven't requested early ballots. There were a lot of Democrats that voted for Trump in the last election because Clinton promised to shut down jobs in the energy industry in Pa. Biden promised to shut down jobs in Pa. and the n doubled down at the last minute with Lady Gaga and her bizarre video. The people in Pennsylvania aren't as stupid as the Biden camp would hope. There are also a lot of ways to win without Pa. If Trump takes North Carolina and Arizona and loses Pennsylvania or/and Michigan he wins. If Trump takes New Hampshire and Arizona and loses Pennsylvania or/and Michigan he wins. Trump takes Nevada and Arizona and loses Pennsylvania or/and Michigan he wins.

    North Carolina. Democrats have 5% more votes turned in than Republicans. This should be easily overcome as the majority of Democrats have already voted while a large amount of Republicans wait for election day to vote in person.

    Iowa. Let's talk about Iowa. The Democrats have turned in 7% more early ballots than Republicans. The polsters have the Trump ahead in Iowa by 7 points. RCP has Trump ahead by 1.3 points. I usually don't believe polls but the Des Moines Register poll is a local poll rather than a politically motivated poll like NBC, Politico or CNN. I think he will be way ahead in Iowa at the end of the day.

    This is a good place to look for ballots already returned by party.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/iowa-results

    Me thinks Biden needs to be hiden because he's screwed. He hid too long.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  3. Daniel Light

    Daniel Light Well-Known Member

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    The election was always going to be decided by the Independent Voters, so Republican, Democrat turnout is less important than you imply.
     
  4. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    They will mostly go for Trump in every one of those states. I predict Trump by at least 320 EC votes. What is your prediction?
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  5. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    None of those PA energy sector votes where ever going for Biden anyway so that is NOT a deciding factor IMO.

    Instead what has become apparent is that not only has the wannabe Fascist-in-Chief LOST the support of women he LOCKED down any undecided voters among them with his anti-abortion justice on the SCrOTUS. They will now vote for Biden instead.

    The rural Republican Dixville Notch voters voting for anyone BUT your wannabe Fascist-in-Chief means that he is NOT going to do well in Ohio or Iowa either. Way too many farmers are WORSE off NOW than they were under Obama. All they need to do is WITHHOLD their votes and those states flip to Blue.

    One segment that has not been discussed very much is the Evangelical vote that is usually another locked in segment for the GOP. That support has eroded because there are some who cannot reconcile supporting an odious LIAR with what they believe. Even just a small number in this demographic is going to be a problem because there is NO other demographic to make up for that shortfall.

    Which leaves FL and AZ with their large segments of Senior citizens who are usually reliable GOP voters. The FAILED response to the Pandemic has been a game changer for a significant segment which again are votes that your wannabe Fascist-in-Chief CANNOT replace elsewhere.

    So those ballot COUNTS that you are RELYING upon and UNLIKELY to yield that same number of votes.
     
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  6. Daniel Light

    Daniel Light Well-Known Member

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    A 4/3 split on the battleground states - too close to call for which candidate comes out on top.
    I predict buyer's remorse no matter who wins.
     
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  7. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    In the UNLIKELY event that YOUR wannabe Fascist-in-Chief SWEEPS all 7 states in the OP than ONLY nets him 279.

    Which BLUE states is he going to flip to reach that number?
     
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  8. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    You assume too much about what other people think. My prediction is more than 320.
     
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  9. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    The Dicksey Croth votes went for Clinton last time. How did that go for her? I have never seen a post that has so much wrong in it. Did you work putting so much wrong stuff in one post? You need to lay off CNN for awhile. We should definitely come back to this one on Thursday.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  10. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Which BLUE states is YOUR wannabe Fascist-in-Chief going to flip to reach that number?
     
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  11. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Obviously you are INCAPABLE of actually proving that there is anything at all wrong with any of it.

    Sad!
     
  12. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    Michigan, Minnesota, PA, Arizona, Wisconsin and Virginia.
     
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  13. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    You haven't offered any information to prove otherwise. All you have offered is a third grade level argument of "is not", per usual.
     
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  14. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    You do NOT get to count PA and AZ twice!

    Good luck with flipping Virginia and the those other states where Biden is way over any potential margin of error.

    :roflol:
     
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  15. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Your 1st grade "nuh uh" response duly noted FTR.
     
  16. Collateral Damage

    Collateral Damage Well-Known Member

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    You have made a number of assumptions based on your perception of what other people think, not what is actual reality.

    Truth will out, either way, come the end of tallying mailed in votes.

    The economy prior to COVID is a factor in play you have not given credence to. A large number of people who enjoyed the pre-COVID economy, believe we can return to some semblance of it. Not going to happen under Biden's plans.

    Businesses thrived under that economy. Biden adding additional restrictions, regulations, and pandering to China is not a positive view for businesses here in the US. Those who understand business, may likely put aside their personal preferences, to support the candidate that is pro-business.

    Anyone who understands where the COVID suggestions came from to return Seniors to centers, or permit initial placement without tests came from, isn't going to support a group that has offered platitudes and speed bumps to anything that has come from up the food chain. Cuomo being the obvious one for many.

    But there will be those who see things through a different perspective, and will vote with emotion rather than logic.

    As I said, the truth will out, and we will all survive 4 years of whomever ends up warming the seat.
     
  17. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Duly noted that you cannot cite any of them nor provide anything to substantiate your BOGUS allegation either.

    Sad!
     
  18. Collateral Damage

    Collateral Damage Well-Known Member

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    I would enjoying seeing any type of support for your statements, but asking is futile so I don't waste my time. Your attempts at insults are getting weaker.

    Your continued dodge on responding is also noted.
     
  19. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    You know I have seen lots and lots of republicans saying they are voting blue this time but the number flipping TO Trump.......... not so many
     
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  20. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Not my problem if you have not bothered to do any research into the electorate demographics.

    https://abc11.com/donald-trump-2020-election-seniors-vote/7356393/

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...-pro-life-no-longer-support-trump/3755235001/

    https://apnews.com/article/election...nd-ethnicity-4b9c9d7a7aa46c523047a3a0e932e2a8

    https://qz.com/804528/the-republican-leaders-who-no-longer-endorse-trump/

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/09/faith-leaders-back-biden-evangelicals-trump

    https://theconversation.com/for-a-g...p-is-no-longer-the-lesser-of-two-evils-148714

    Facts matter!
     
  21. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    Florida will be decided when the NPA votes are counted.
     
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  22. Collateral Damage

    Collateral Damage Well-Known Member

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  23. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Your FAILURE to refute any of the SUBSTANTIATION that I provided is NOT my problem.

    However it is TYPICAL of your ongoing attempts to pull yourself OUT of the hole that you persist in DIGGING for yourself in your posts.

    Sad!
     
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  24. Collateral Damage

    Collateral Damage Well-Known Member

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    Your use of opinions as 'facts' pretty much explains you position. The attempts at insults continues to show that your lack of facts doesn't hold up.

    When you actually have 'facts', get back to me.
     
  25. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Thank you for DISQUALIFYING yourself on this topic from any further meaningful interaction.

    Have a nice day!
     

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