Battleground Scorecard

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Derideo_Te, Nov 3, 2020.

  1. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    There are three counties in Florida like Miami Dade not releasing any of that information for his puny little chart. The numbers aren’t showing anything then what was already expected in Florida is a tossup at 4 PM today. Almost every county in FL is reporting 25% of the votes as no party affiliation.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  2. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    Which three counties are those?
     
  3. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    Yes, here are the numbers so far for election-day voting party registration:

    Republicans: 47%
    No Party Affiliation: 27%
    Democrats: 26%

    You think that bodes well for the big guy?
     
  4. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    Do you have a link for that because I can post links that show county by county those numbers are bull ****

    Duval
    https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=duv
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 3, 2020
  5. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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  6. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    @Yulee let's figure this out. I'm genuinely curious what different numbers you're seeing.

    Let's start with an easy one: How many ballots have been cast in Florida in total?

    The Google Sheets has that number at 10,612,409 right now. What # do you have?
     
  7. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    @Yulee now updated to 10,653,599 total votes cast in Florida. Republican lead now at 200,623.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  8. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    That would be about twice the 2016 victory margin. Does this figure include panhandle results?
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  9. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    Just to clarify, this result isn't looking at actual votes cast. It's looking at the party registration of the voters who have cast ballots (and yes, includes the panhandle). So, for example, currently:

    Florida has 10,731,708 ballots cast total.

    4,195,817 came from voters who are registered Republicans
    3,993,237 came from voters who are registered Democrats
    2,542,654 came from voters who are not affiliated with either party.

    That means that more registered Republicans have voted than registered Democrats, by 202,580.

    Now, there are a lot of things that this doesn't account for:
    cross-over votes (voting for the guy from the other party)
    undervote (simply not voting, for president, for example)
    who the non-affiliated voters will choose

    For context, in 2016, I believe the Republican lead was ~120,000 when the polls closed. President Trump looks to roughly double that margin this time.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  10. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    But RINOs aside, Trump has a sky high approval rating among Republicans.
     
  11. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, right now the dems are pretty much pinning their hopes on one or two things:

    1) Registered Republicans cross over in large numbers and vote for Biden

    2) Unaffiliated voters break for Biden by a large margin

    Neither seems terribly likely to me.
     
  12. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    You mean he lead by 120K votes by party affiliation when the polls closed?
     
  13. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    I am pulling numbers from the Florida counties. Would have to tabulate. But Duval was red in 2016. Looking to be blue unless NPA is heavy to Trump.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  14. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    Yes, from what I've read, in 2016 there were ~120,000 more registered Republicans that voted than registered Democrats.
     
  15. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    So tabulate them. earlier you were SO convinced that I was wrong. Now you're hedging that you don't even have numbers. On what basis did you declare me wrong then?

    Here's the latest update:

    Republicans = 4,205,968
    Democrats = 4,000,616
    NPA = 2,550,185
    Total = 10,756,769

    Republican lead has grown to 205,352

    Tabulate your numbers and see if you come up with something different. If not, I'll expect an apology.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  16. Steelandrye

    Steelandrye Banned

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    Will fake news beat trump today!? Media reported fake news for 4 years.. let’s hope the ppl are smart
     
  17. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    The chart I posted about was wrong. You were the one who made it or posted it?

    Miami Dade and Hillsborough numbers. Show me. I don't believe you have them
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  18. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    Or Door #3, some Democrats vote for Trump. At Trump's Butler, PA rally the other day 24% were Democrats and another 20% did not vote in 2016.
     
  19. HurricaneDitka

    HurricaneDitka Well-Known Member

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    I didn't make it. I posted it. It tracks very closely with the Christian Ziegler spreadsheet. Let me ask you a question I hope you'll give an integer answer to: How many more Republicans than Democrats do YOU think have cast their ballots in Florida as of now? (212,652 is the number I have)
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  20. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    I do not know. I would like to see the data from Miami - Dade first. I'm just saying Florida is a tight.
     
  21. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    YOUR meaningless posts meet the DEFINITION of TROLLING!

    You posted a snarky drive by remark WITHOUT any attempt to substantiate YOUR baseless allegation.

    Then you are SUPPLIED with the credible substantiation that SUPPORTS my position.

    So your response is another meaningless trolling handwave that yet again contains NOTHING in the way of substantiation for your vacuous allegation.

    Your ongoing FAILURE to provide any credible substantiation is called out which elicits yet another troll post containing utterly FALSE accusations.

    In essence all you ever do is just TROLL my posts because you can NEVER substantiate YOUR position.

    Sad!

    Here is FINAL chance to actually CONTRIBUTE to the OP by providing something of SUBSTANCE.

    Choose wisely!
     
  22. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    :roflol:

    Ironic given that you just cited an Exit Poll for a RALLY by your wannabe Fascist-in-Chief.

    :roflol:
     
  23. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The FIRST link is from FOX which is probably also the equivalent of Breitbart. ;)
     
  24. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The FIRST link is from Faux Noise which is probably also the equivalent of Breitbart. ;)

    I chose to use those sources in order to look at this from the rightwing POV.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
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  25. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Exactly!

    2016 was a FLUKE achieved via minority voter suppression.

    The Progressives have spent the last 4 YEARS remediating that problem.
     

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