Hillary 76% chance of winning

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Pardy, Oct 31, 2016.

  1. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Will the Democrats take the Senate and White House.

    The gap between Hillary and Trump has narrowed somewhat as Trump is being kept quiet by his handlers (no 3:00 AM tweets of late).

    Despite Trump's upcoming rape and racketeering trials, his fans stand firm. For this to be a landslide for Hillary, she needs to get more moderate voters.

    It remains unclear how much Friday’s news will shift the dynamics of the race, however Clinton appears to still be the overwhelming favorite in most election forecasts

    [​IMG]

    hill-trump-10-31-2016-0140.png
     
  2. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I forgot to mention that the prediction and graphic is from ThirtyFiveEight -- one of the more reliable polsters.
     
  3. Evmetro

    Evmetro Active Member Past Donor

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    Uh, hello... The FBI re opened Hillary's investigation, and she is going down in flames as we speak. Hillary is finished. This thread is like a weed growing up in the middle of a busy road.
     
  4. Margot2

    Margot2 Banned

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    Trump has just stiffed a polling company he hired for $750K...... He paid them part and stiffed them for $55K.. Typical.
     
  5. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The Donald Discount. He has over 4,000 lawsuits for a reason. He has cheated countless honest people. So Presidential.
     
  6. Deno

    Deno Well-Known Member

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    That's funny..

    I just heard all the major casinos

    in Las Vegas are all in for Trump..

    The queen of corruption is toast........
     
  7. Deno

    Deno Well-Known Member

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    Like a weed in the road, I like that...........

    The old hag is wilting faster than the bad witch in the Wizzard of Oz.......
     
  8. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Well, that's reliable.
     
  9. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    No, the investigation of Hillary's emails ended in March, 2016. She was found to have done nothing wrong.
     
  10. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    But his Trumpeizdas don't care that he screwed small businessmen or screwed workers.
     
  11. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Technically this new investigation is into Huma Abedin's computer which may have Clinton's Email,s on it. These Email,s may or may not be the same ones that the FBI has already analyzed.
     
  12. Pardy

    Pardy Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Comey should have made this clear. He was very irresponsible to implicate Hillary.
     
  13. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I would have done the same thing if the polling company was telling me that Hillary was up by +12 and a week later it was Hillary was up +1.

    2/3 of California voters are either low information or no information voters.

    What are the odds of California going with Trump ?
     
  14. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    They're not a pollster, they just regurgitate what other posters do, and then put their own spin on it. They're similar to RCP, except 538 does much more extensive probability assessments. The problem is, if the pollsters are wrong, so are their probability assessments.

    Probabilities are like Electoral College counts, they both can swing dramatically with just a 2% to 3% move in the polls; and there is still enough time left in this race for that to happen.
     
  15. PeppermintTwist

    PeppermintTwist Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Is it any wonder that Trumpaloompas don't get this simple fact? I have never seen such a lack of comprehension but it's most befitting anyone that would support a Trump presidency .

    That's just about all the Trumpaloompas have but it does not stop them from foaming at the mouth. :roflol:
     
  16. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    538 has been wrong multiple times this election....not so reliable.
     
  17. Gatewood

    Gatewood Well-Known Member

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    Nate Silver works for the DNC and thus most of what he writes can be dismissed out of hand.
     
  18. Deno

    Deno Well-Known Member

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    Well hillary's screwed us all on top of that..........

    - - - Updated - - -


    You better leave the LSD alone man.....

    It's messin with your head.........
     

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