Taiwan in the crosshairs

Discussion in 'Asia' started by (original)late, Oct 8, 2020.

  1. (original)late

    (original)late Well-Known Member

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    Really good article about Taiwan, and the difficulties that are likely to arise.

    "The relationship among Taiwan, the PRC and the U.S. is among the most complex and volatile on earth. And it’s changing fast.

    Experts generally agree that it’s time to update U.S. policy on Taiwan, built around some diplomatic sleight of hand.

    The disagreement is how to reboot. Some are calling to replace “strategic ambiguity” about whether the U.S. would intervene in a mainland attack on Taiwan with “strategic clarity” that it will. But two retired analysts from the senior ranks of the U.S. intelligence community, Paul Heer and John Culver, feel differently. In late September, they both published articles that have become red-hot topics within China watcher circles. They joined your host on Monday for a deeper look at the relationship, and what's next.

    If it’s an unfinished war, “strategic clarity” could have devastating consequences. A Beijing move on Taiwan could present Washington with what Culver wrote is “a Hobbesian choice: intervene in open-ended, financially ruinous conflict with another nuclear power for the first time and risk unprecedented combat losses, or be seen as standing aside in the face of an assault on a vibrant democracy and its 24 million citizens.” Heer says, “I think we need to recognize that strategic clarity is probably not going to increase deterrence of China because … when push comes to shove, China will not be deterred.”


    https://www.politico.com/newsletter...ong-taipei-beijing-washington-conflict-490547
     
  2. kazenatsu

    kazenatsu Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What's recently happened in Hong Kong is likely to make Taiwan even more reluctant to want to or be willing to join with China.
     
  3. lemmiwinx

    lemmiwinx Well-Known Member Donor

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    If Biden gets sworn in the Chinese will go ahead and invade Taiwan. Not like anybody would do anything about it.
     

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