The 2018 primary calendar

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Statistikhengst, Sep 5, 2017.

  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    The FEC has put out all of the current primary dates:

    https://transition.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2018/2018pdates_000.pdf

    the PDF presents the data first alphabetically, by state und then chronologically, by date.

    The FEC correctly notes that Louisiana does not do congressional primaries. The general election date in November is essentially a jungle primary, with a runoff set for December 8th if a candidate in a particular election doesn't get over 50%.

    Also, MA and NY have not yet set their primary dates. And of course, usually, one or a couple of states end up changing the date for one reason or another. All pretty much par for the course. In Virginia, the primary date may be scrapped and instead, there may be party conventions. Stay tuned.

    There is no really super super Tuesday like we saw in 2008 (24 states on one day) and to a lesser extent in 2012 (12 or 13 on one day), but 9 states will hold primaries on June 5th, 2018. The first primary of the 2018 cycle will be in Texas, on March 3rd and the last primaries will be on September 11th, in New Hampshire and Rhode Island.

    I thought the PF membership would be appreciative to get this information.

    -Stat
     
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  2. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The Virginia primary date will not be scrapped. Even if they choose to decide by caucus, it will be the same day.
     
  3. Stevew

    Stevew Well-Known Member

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    I don't know why the 2018 election would be compared to the "2008 and 2012" primaries. It doesn't include the presidential election and because of that many people don't bother with off-year elections.

    Steve


     
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2017
  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    You missed the point. The point was that the intensity of having many primaries on one day can be compared to any cycle regardless of cycle, for in presidential cycles, all 435 house seats are ALSO up for grabs. See how simple that is? The scheduling itself has absolutely nothing in the world to do with the predicted or expected electorate in that year. Next time when you try to find something to attack because you either don't like the OP or the member who wrote it, use a little more elbow grease, eh?

    LOL
     
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  5. Spooky

    Spooky Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This one is important because its the first election after the disastrous predictions in 2016.

    We are finally going to be able to see what direction the nation is actually moving in. We know that democrats won't be able to win back congress but they could pick up a few seats, heck, even if they are close races that will tell us a lot.

    If republicans run away with it than it means that all this Trump hate isn't working and that they may actually be on the cusp of a supermajority.

    It the republicans dominate it will also signal to the democrats that they need to seriously change tactics. If republicans make big gains its going to take them a long time to get control back.

    I think 2018 is one of the most important elections in my lifetime. Its also important to remember that midterms usually go to the party out of power so if that doesn't happen here that will be quite telling.
     
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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    This thread is not even remotely about predictions. It's about the primary calendar. Adults understand this. Again, I will state, for those who simply don't get it: the primary calendar for a Presidential cycle or a mid-term cycle has one thing in common: all 435 HOR seats are up for grabs and 1/3 of the Senate. So, it doesn't matter if I compare the size of the planned Super-Tuesdays (there is only one for 2018, and it is not large) to either a mid-term or a presidential cycle.

    This thread is about planning, not predictions. Hopefully you can understand the difference.
     
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  7. Stevew

    Stevew Well-Known Member

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    I agree with that. But I'm fairly certain the trend began in 2010 and since dems refuse to change their policies or even compromise on important issues then the trend remains with dems losing more elections in the future. In fact, dems are helping Rs by continuing to focus on character assassination of Trump instead of the issues, so the 2018 election is pretty much in the bag for Rs winning more seats in the senate. Hell, even Kid Rock has dems worried in MI.

    Steve
     
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2017
  8. Spooky

    Spooky Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yep, it started in 2010.

    And they haven't learned. I for the life of me can't find one policy issue the democrats are pushing so far, its all about Nazis, the KKK and just pure hate of Trump.

    In fact, this was the DNC's proposed slogan for 2018 before they changed it and it shows how messed up they are at the moment.

    [​IMG]
     
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  9. Stevew

    Stevew Well-Known Member

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    I only addressed the content of your OP. Get over it.

    Steve
     
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  10. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Gotta link to back that whopper of a lie up?
     
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  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Unnecessary. Iggy for you. Bye bye.
     
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  12. Brewskier

    Brewskier Well-Known Member

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    ...
     
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2017
  13. ArmySoldier

    ArmySoldier Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Alrighty! Which elections will the left wing claim will be a landslide for them?
     
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  14. TheGreatSatan

    TheGreatSatan Banned

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    Reality backs up that lie. What was your electrical college prediction on Hillary, or that last dude in like Alabama or something... LANDSLIDE!!!
     
  15. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And California just won't count, again. June 5, 2018 Same - same.
    Too bad Ron or Rand Paul never made it to the California primary, they are more appreciated here with endorsements than east of California.

    Hopefully the Greatest State will move it back to February by 2020
    when the national primaries occur. 2018 is just State level. Congress so what?
    Everyone loves there's but want YOU to change your representatives. True?
     
  16. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    How about

    Democrats 2018
    or
    She Will Visit Your Dreams!


    Maxine.jpg

    or

    [​IMG]

    or

    [​IMG]

    The Horror, The Horror
    Vote Democratic or else!


     
  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    He provided a graphic that is not real. It is therefore blatant lie and has nothing to do with the Democratic party. At some point in time, people are going to have to realize that living in Unicornland is not doing them much good. Feel free to insult all you want, but you contribute absolutely nothing to real debate when you do it. What you do, however, is to expose your own behavior as juvenile and trollish, nothing more.
     
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  18. Sanskrit

    Sanskrit Well-Known Member

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    You made your bed, lie in it. Your posts are some of the most ideologically left biased on this forum, which would be fine if you didn't claim they were based on objective data (and "math triumphs over propaganda?" what a joke), but you do, and are transparent as a result. So spare us all the indignation if you make one thread that isn't an exercise in pure bias and people post whatever they want that is remotely topical in it.

    As far as the actual thread topic, dates of primaries are common, well-known knowledge obtainable from most anywhere, and your thread is way premature. Did you -really- need to make a thread on this when it isn't even the 4th quarter of 2017 yet? What kind of replies did you reasonably expect?
     
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2017
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