The Great Barrier Reef is Doing Just Fine

Discussion in 'Environment & Conservation' started by Jack Hays, Jun 16, 2021.

  1. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  2. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    Because the second largest reef is doing fine, and the government is strongly committed to keep it that way.

    Belize government imposes moratorium to protect world's second largest reef

    LINK
     
  3. Nonnie

    Nonnie Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The Great Barrier Reef is doing fine too.
     
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  4. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    It remains important to speak the truth.
    Being Disagreeable – At Christmas

    December 24, 2022 By jennifer 17 Comments

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    It is increasingly difficult to articulate a sceptical perspective on catastrophic human-caused climate change and other such issues. Not only with colleagues, but also within extended families. This is especially the case at Christmas time when … [Read more...]
     
  5. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  6. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  7. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Bellies Full of Coral

    April 5, 2023 By jennifer

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    I spent some of last weekend at the Great Barrier Reef, with my daughter sliding off a boat called Reef Encounter moored variously at Norman and Saxon reefs to the northeast of Cairns. The sun was shining, the water was crystal clear and so warm – a … [Read more...]
     
  8. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Happy Easter, Happy End of the 2023 Cyclone Season at the Great Barrier Reef

    April 7, 2023 By jennifer

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    Back in the 1950s, it was only after Easter each year, that resorts on Great Barrier Reef islands allowed tourists to visit and stay. It was only after Easter that it was considered safe, because that was the end of the cyclone season. The … [Read more...]

    Back in the 1950s, it was only after Easter each year, that resorts on Great Barrier Reef islands allowed tourists to visit and stay. It was only after Easter that it was considered safe, because that was the end of the cyclone season.

    The Australian Bureau of Meteorology now classify the period from November to April as the cyclone season, and most years they predict an increase in both the number and intensity of cyclones. For example, earlier this year it was announced via The Australian Broadcasting Corporation that:

    For Queensland climatologically, we see the most cyclones in February, and we also see quite a few in March as well,” senior meteorologist Laura Boekel said.

    The BOM’s latest cyclone outlook, released in October, predicted more tropical cyclones that average this season.

    Year on year, however, contrary to human-caused global warming theory, neither the number nor intensity of cyclones has increased at the Great Barrier Reef. The available data shows that there has been a steady decline in both the number and intensity of cyclones since the 1970s.

    This is probably why coral cover, as measured around the perimeter of coral reefs, is reported to be so high. The most recent Australian Institute of Marine Science survey reported coral cover to be the highest in 36 years. Cyclones can be incredibly damaging to corals, with fewer cyclones there will be more coral. . . .
     
  9. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  10. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  11. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  12. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  13. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    Just finished this article; got to wondering if the coral damage off Florida that has become big news would follow a similar recovery path.
     
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  14. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  15. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    More evidence that the coral are doing just fine.
    New Studies Suggest Corals Are Rapidly Developing Tolerance To Bleaching, Heat Stress
    By Kenneth Richard on 28. August 2023

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    Scientists report a surprising coral reef resilience to bleaching, as well as a growing 0.1°C per decade heat stress tolerance.
    The Great Barrier Reef region has reportedly warmed by 0.8°C in the last 150 years (Page et al., 2023). This is warming rate of about 0.05°C per decade.

    Scientists (Lachs et al., 2023) are now reporting that corals in Palau are rapidly developing an improved capacity to tolerate heat stress, with an estimated tolerance enhancement of about 0.1°C per decade. In other words, corals are quickly adapting to modern warming rates and associated heat-stress-induced bleaching.

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    Image Source: Lachs et al., 2023
    As an example, a marine heatwave bleaching event affected 75-98% of Great Barrier Reef coral cover in April, 2020 (Page et al., 2023).

    However, the resilient corals recovered within a span of months. In fact, there was slightly more deep coral coverage in October (65.5%) than before bleaching began in April (62.3%).

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    Image Source: Page et al., 2023
    The warnings peddled by climate alarmists often characterize Earth’s 500 billion corals as critically endangered by modern global warming.

    But the science itself says corals have been and continue thriving in the Current Warm Period – just as they have in past warm periods.

    Last year Long et al., 2022 squelched at least 4 false climate alarm narratives.

    1. Coral reefs “develop rapidly in the warm period” (Roman, Medieval), and “coral reefs develop slowly in the cold period” (Little Ice Age, the Dark Ages Cold Period). Why? Because “warm periods are conducive to coral growth.”
    2. Coral reef growth rates have rapidly accelerated in the last 300 years, or since the industrial revolution commenced.
    3. Sea levels were 2 meters higher than they are today ~4,000 years ago, and still about 1 meter higher than today 1,000 years ago, or during the Medieval Warm Period. Lower sea levels produce a “decline in the coral reef development rate”.
    4. The South China Sea surface temperatures were “3 to 6°C higher than today” from about 5,000 to 4,000 years ago; coral reefs developed rapidly in that warmth.
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    Image Source: Long et al., 2022
     
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  16. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  17. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Coral is doing quite well.
    How Brown the Corals – That were Pink Last Year
    October 12, 2023 By jennifer

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    I was back at John Brewer Reef last week and many of the corals are now dark brown. John Brewer reef has lost its pink, for the moment. There is a Coral Watch program that was developed at Heron Island by the University of Queensland. … [Read more...]
     
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  18. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Last edited: Nov 22, 2023
  19. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    This is one way the climate alarmist tub thumpers lie.
    Removing Colour, for a Sick Story

    November 26, 2023 By jennifer

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    My Aunty Bunty used to work in a factory in Dundee, in Scotland, with thousands of other women all adding colour to black and white photographs. She was allowed to be creative; the idea was to make people happy. So, for example, she could add … [Read more...]
     
  20. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Alarmist claims are refuted by science.
    2 More New Studies Undermine Alarmist Claims That Corals Are Harmed By Warming
    By Kenneth Richard on 21. December 2023

    Warmer sea surface temperatures are associated with coral growth, not decline.
    According to a new study, coral growth was slow during the ~1°C colder Little Ice Age (LIA), but grew rapidly as sea surface temperatures (SSTs) warmed after 1850. Warmth is associated with coral growth, whereas colder SSTs are linked to growth rate decline.

    “The average growth rate of four colonies living in the LIA is 0.87 ± 0.11 cm/yr, which is significantly (t-test, p < 0.0001) lower than the colonies in the 20th century [1.23 ± 0.22 cm/yr].”

    “The observed low average growth rates during the LIA can be explained by the ~1°C lower temperature.”

    Ocean pH levels were as low or lower (more “acidified”) than recent decades during the LIA (e.g., 1500s to 1700s CE), suggesting that the atmospheric CO2 levels are not an ocean pH variability determinant. In fact, the authors point out that anthropogenic CO2 can only ever affect pH variability by 0.05 of a unit over centuries, whereas natural variations in pH units can reach 0.1 to 0.3 within a decade or less.

    [​IMG]

    Image Source: Liu et al., 2023
    Another new study (Gischler et al., 2023) also indicates that falling temperatures and declining sea level rise rates in the last few millennia after the warmer early- to mid-Holocene is “responsible for reef decline” in Beliz and south Florida.

    “A decline in the rate of sea-level rise, as observed after 6 ka BP, has diminished accommodation space and, hence, reef accretion. Rate of rise in Holocene sea level and reef accretion rate indeed exhibit a positive correlation (Fig. 3B). Likewise, a mid-to-late Holocene temperature fall has been suggested to be responsible for reef decline in Beliz, as well as south Florida.”

    “Coral sclerochronology and vegetation data from offshore Belize suggest also that warm and wet conditions during early Holocene times were followed by cooler and drier conditions in the mid-late Holocene. The results of the present study suggest that there are gaps in the Holocene A. palmata record, and, that A. cervicornis was twice as abundant during the early as compared to the mid and late Holocene (13.1 ± 1.7% vs. 6.7 ± 1.4% and 6.3 ± 1.7%, respectively), suggesting a deterioration in the environmental conditions for reef development over time.”
     
  21. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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  22. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    A wave of anti-science silliness has struck Australia.

    The “Great Barrier Reef Is Dying” Scam

    By Paul Homewood

    It was only a year ago that Australia’s leading reef expert, Dr Peter Ridd, reported that coral cover was at record highs:

    . . . Peter Ridd: Coral in a Warming World: Causes for Optimism (pdf)

    As Peter Ridd’s report noted, it only in the last two or three decades that the GBR has really been systematically surveyed. Yet there is plenty of evidence that similar bleaching events have frequently occurred in the past, particularly during El Nino events. They were just never observed.

    Whereas it was natural to assume that coral reefs would die off after bleaching, Ridd shows that they actually recover very quickly. Bleaching, far from being fatal, is actually a remarkable adaptive response to changing temperature, because having expelled the microscopic algae, which gives it its colour as well as energy, it reabsorbs another strain of algae which thrives in warmer water. The opposite happens when the seas cool. . . .
     

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