Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

“We need to learn to live with this disease”.
Sounds fairly long term doesn’t it!

 

Last info on British Columbia;

Coronavirus restrictions could start to ease up in mid-May ...
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/bc-coronavirus-restrictions-may-health-officials
2020-04-17 · On Friday, health officials unveiled British Columbia’s latest COVID-19 data, showing the positive impacts of physical distancing and restrictive measures.. The data was presented with cautious optimism, but BC Health Officer Dr. Bonnie Henry stresses that the collective efforts of British Columbians cannot ease up.

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Wait a minute, compared to any States, PER 1M POP/CAPITA, British Columbia has lowest number of confirmed cases, and deaths, and their restriction COULD start to ease up Mid-May?????????.






https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_British_Columbia








Wai

 

Yes, I expect that cold and flu season will become cold, flu and Covid season. Given the way viruses mutate, they may not be able to develop a vaccine. Possibly a "Covid shot" will be like the flu shot where they have to use a different formula every single year, using the strains which the medical community think are most likely to hit. If Covid-19 is like other viruses, it should become less deadly as it mutates.

 

Well at present US per capita spending on healthcare is about double the OECD average, so that's possibly true.

Only those consumers who can afford it. Quite a few go bankrupt or simply go without.

 

My father in the post war era up to 70's raised a family of four on his single (around median) wage, while Mum held the fort at home... and the family took caravanning trips every Xmas.

No way that is possible now. And why are retirement ages now RISING instead of falling?

 

It describes the leaderless chaos we have in the US. A crisis like this shows the quality of a government, the apparatus behind it and the US, despite being the greatest and what so ever, lacks that quality.
Third world when it comes to that.

 

But we have no Leadership, none at all.
The V went to the Majo in Arizona, everybody was wearing a mask, per regulation at that clinic, except Pence.
You lead by example, its as simple as that.
Neither the Dotard nor the Vice are doing it.
Total failures.

 

Our percent of tests that are positive are still trending down nicely.

We are now about 3 times higher than Italy and 6 times Germany.
I hope we are not acting to soon.

 

Our friends in Georgia had their first full day of reduced restrictions.

 

Desantis is doing a great job.

5 stars ronny!

 

They have to pay. It's not optional. If they don't have it in the bank in that moment, their income will be docked as per usual. You'd have to be an A-Grade idiot to risk that, if your job has gone or your income isn't what it was.

 

On what planet? The world's peasantry may die of preventable diseases, but in the absence of those they actually have better general health than First Worlders. Far less obesity, diabetes, alcoholism, drug abuse, heart disease, lack of exercise, etc. If these same people had access to the fundamentals of First World life - clean drinking water, decent basic healthcare, etc - they'd outlive all of us.

Go back as far as you like in European cultures, and you'll find it was the aristocracy who had the poorest health, with good reason. They barely moved (work was for peasants), ate enormous quantities of meat, white bread, and saturated fats, and drank nothing but wine. The peasants got plenty of exercise, had to 'make do' with wholemeal bread and vegetables and only an occasional sniff of meat, and they drank watered down beer. The same phenomenon exists in non-European cultures, also.

 

Pence is routinely tested. He’s not contagious. And he’s not going to be infected at Mayo.

 

Yes it is. It's just not possible for working and lower middle class people who try to live in capital cities. We have connections with a working class regional town, and youngsters (20-somethings) there are still buying homes. People are still paying off their mortgages by the time they're 40 or 50, even on modest wages. And there are a lot of caravans in carports!

If you're earning $50k a year, trying to live in a city where the cheapest property is $500k is clearly stupid. If you live in a town where the cheapest property is $150k, you're going to have a pretty nice life.

 

Still missed an opportunity to demonstrate to the public that they should respect mask policies and recommendations.

 

Masks are optional.

 

Not in the Mayo Clinic.

....unless you are the VP and "need to look people in the eye."

 

The Mayo clinic based its policies on CDC guidelines which states that masks are optional. Pence does not have the virus and did not wear a mask. End of story.

 

I had a similar experience with my grandfather. He had diabetes and alzheimers and the hospital kept him on life support even though it was obvious that he was suffering. He lasted none months in this condition before he eventually died. It devastated my mother to see this happening to her own father. When my mother became sick with cancer and the hospital wanted to move her to a hospice I took it upon myself to take her there and I went the scenic route so as to spend some time with her. When we arrived at the hospice I could see it in her face that she did not want to be there. The next morning the hospice called to say she was dying. I arrived shortly before she died but no one else made it in time. I believe that she willed herself to die because she did not want to put us through what she went through with her father. She loved us enough to not want to be a burden and have the same final memories of her as she had of her father.

Peace!

 

Giving the money that was wasted on that pointless air show to the people out of work would have been a far better way to reduce their anxiety IMO.

 

FL is NOT following CDC guidelines when it comes to reporting Covid19 deaths, unfortunately!

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...complicated-lack-tests-uniformity/3010311001/

https://www.tampabay.com/news/healt...-of-coronavirus-deaths-is-missing-some-cases/

The above are not "rumors to the contrary" but sufficient evidence to cast serious doubt on the rosy picture that is being painted.

 

1. Regional towns are generally not where the work is.
2. News flash: that's why women have to work these days, while the kids are sent to child care centres.
3. You didn't comment on the fact that governments are raising the retirement age, despite the fact manual workers still need to retire at age 65, for health/physical related conditions.

So much for AFM's rising standard of living.

Meanwhile you are pushing your 'genteel poverty for all except the rich' regime.

"Poverty is both a cause and a consequence of poor health. Poverty increases the chances of poor health. Poor health, in turn, traps communities in poverty. Infectious and neglected tropical diseases kill and weaken millions of the poorest and most vulnerable people each year". Jan 10, 2018

 

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Tuesday, 2020-04-028 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT)​

HERE the numbers for EOD the day before, 2020-04-027 (EOD GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT). Also in quote form:

During the run of the day on 2020-04-028, there were some intermittent reports:

USA 2020-04-027 compared to 2020-04-026, 10:26 GMT +2, #7119.
Worldwide comparison 10:43 GMT +2 2020-04-028 to 10:43 GMT +2 2020-04-027, 10:44 GMT +2, #7123.
Death rate comparison (Worldwide / USA / Sweden), 2020-04-028, 17:53 GMT +2, #7167.
Some COVID-19 stats concerning Russia, 2020-04-028, 19:12 GMT +2, #7180.
Going over 3.1 million COVID-19 cases worldwide, 2020-04-028, 19:24 GMT +2, #7181.
Two postings of what it would look like with "only" +1,400 American deaths per day until end of May 2020, 2020-04-028, 23:49 GMT +2, #7194.


And now, 2020-04-028, EOD GMT +0:

***3,136,508***
+73,993 cases today over yesterday.
217,813 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
2,470 Americans died from COVID-19 today, an increase over the day before.
More Americans have now died than died fighting in the Vietnam War.​

We saw +73,993 new cases today, as compared to yesterday over the day before (+69,256 ), 4,740 more cases than the day before but also the ninth day in a row that the number of daily cases swung wildly back and forth + or - to each other. The growth rate was 2.42%. Yesterday, the growth rate was 2.31%.

In terms of deaths: 217,813 total, +6,364 today over yesterday, making for a 3.01% growth rate (yesterday: 2.19%). That is somewhat more daily death than the day before. As with the number of cases, the growth rate in the number of daily deaths has swung wildly back and forth. The death rate rose slightly to 6.94%. The day before, it was: 6.91%.

The % of recovered people rose from 30.08% yesterday to 30.39% at EOD 2020-04-027 and now stands at 953,309. Soon, the number of healed cases will also hit the 1 million mark.

The countries with the most new cases:​

Instead of writing a lot of bla bla bla about many specific nations, you can see for yourself the top circa 25 nations in terms of how many new cases they reported on 2020-04-028. Currently, and unsurprisingly, the USA leads with the most new cases and has been doing so for a long time, but Russia is now no. 2 and closing fast. On 2020-04-028, 15 nations added more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases. The day before, it was 12.

The countries with the most new daily deaths:
​

Yes, the USA led in deaths and the report from 2020-04-028 shows that somewhat more US deaths were reported than the day before. 10 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (the day before, it was 9).

Total deaths per country, descending:​

You see some other countries that pop up on the above top (circa) 25 list. There are now 18 nations with over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date, with India having now joined the 1,000 or more dead list. India has a population of almost 1.4 billion, just under China's population. I bet that most people did not bet they would see the name "Romania" in the top listing.

New: Total Tests administered per country, descending:​

This listing (top 27 or so) may surprise some people. As you can see, 6 nations have administered more than 1 million tests, respectively. The UAE, a nation with only 9.9 million residents, but one of the very richest nations in the world, has tested more than 1 million people and therefore has by far the highest "tests per 1 million population" number.

Look at the bottom of the list and you may see some country names that surprise, for instance, Kazakhstan.


And now, on to the more expansive listing:

Total cases per country, descending (150 cases or above):​

There are now 87 nations in the "thousand club, With Bolivia having crossed the 1,000 mark. Tunisia, Cyprus, Latvia and Senegal are up next to cross the 1,000 line in the next days.

Of those 87, 35 are in the "10,000 club", no change over the day before, but Indonesia and Ukraine will cross over the 10,000 line very soon. Further, 7 of those 35 are at 100,000 or more (USA, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK and Turkey). Russia is not at over 93,000 cases, so that list is likely to grow by the end of this week.

To put these numbers into perspective:​

1.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases worldwide (3.14 million) = slightly less than the population of the entire state of IOWA (USA), also the population of Milan (Italy).

1.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the USA (1.04 million) = slightly less than the population of the entire state of RHODE ISLAND (USA), also exactly the population of San Jose, Volgograd (Russia).

2.) The current number of people who are still sick with COVID-19 (1.97 million) = just under the population of the entire state NEBRASKA (USA), also exactly the population of Yangzhou (China), a city I mentioned in the worldwide total COVID-19 stats above earlier this month.

3.) The current number of people who have recovered from COVID-19 (953,300) = slightly less than the entire population of the entire state of DELAWARE (USA), or slightly more than the population of Austin, TX (USA) or exactly the population of Kulnha (Bangladesh). This is how big these numbers have become.

4.) The current number of deaths from COVID-19 (218,000) = very close the population of Richmond, VA (USA) or the population of Oberhausen (Germany), Messina (Italy) or Badalona (Spain). Those who know the history of WWII well know the psychological significance of the city of Messina.


Facit: The world went over the 3.1 million mark in COVID-19 cases. The number of daily deaths rose over the day before.

The USA just exceeded the total number of US-military deaths in the Vietnam War. I suspect that those who were alive at that time and can remember the nightly news body-bag counts can best appreciate the numeric significance of this. That being said, the population of the USA in 1975 (when we pulled out of Saigon) is estimated to have been at 215 million Americans, about 65% of our current population. We were a smaller nation then. But the steady bäng-bäng-bäng of "so and so many American soldier's remains landed today in so and so) was just incessant back then and burned deed into the psyche of a nation already reeling from the Watergate scandal, the resignation of Richard Nixon and having to turn-tail and be helicoptered out of Saigon. It was a rough time, to say the least.

Russia continues the extreme rapid ascent of total testing and COVID-19 positive cases.

Without a doubt, the 1st first world nation that has been until this time the most successful at keeping the death rate way down relative to the total cases, also while being the third highest country in total testing, is Germany. Yes, Russia, has at this moment less deaths, but Russia is just starting it's curve, while Germany has doubtless passed it's first curve. But even Germany has bad days, and 2020-004-028 was actually one of them.

The world-wide curve is logistical and therefore, perhaps manageable. The very low growth rate in total cases is a good sign. Let's all hope it stays this way.

 

But it seems India and Indonesia with widespread endemic poverty have less covid19 deaths than the EU or the US.

 

So, above, you see the COVID-19 numbers for Monday, 2020-04-027 in the USA.

Here the COVID-19 numbers for Tuesday, 2020-04-028 in the USA:

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total cases, descending:
​

44 out of 50 states now have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. North Dakota will surely join that category today or tomorrow.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily cases, descending:
​

7 states reported over +1,000 new cases yesterday.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily deaths, descending:​

What we can see at a glance is that there were somewhat more total deaths in the USA on 2020-04-028 than the day before, specifically, +2,470 on 2020-04-028 vs +1,384 on 2020-04-027, an increase of +86 to the death toll from the day before.

6 states reported more than +100 daily deaths. That's actually bad news, for in the past, as NY was close to 1,000 daily deaths, we thought that the epicenter alone was causing the vast majority of the misery and at that time, it was so. But with only 6 states reporting over 100 daily deaths, to be exact +1,571 out of the total of +2,470 (63.6%), the other 43 states plus DC and the territories are still reporting the other 36.4%, which is more than one third of all deaths. Three weeks ago, the top states were between 75-80% of all deaths. This not-so-subtle shifting of the sands is important to note. More at the bottom of this report about this fact.

41 out of 50 states reported daily deaths on 2020-04-028. That's good news for the 9 states that were death-free yesterday.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total deaths, descending:​

12 states in the Union now have a total of more than 1,000 COVID-19 deaths.

Yesterday, over two postings, I extrapolated that if we "only" had +1,400 US deaths per day until the end of May, 2020, then we come over 103,000 dead Americans total at that time, before the summer even begins . As you can see, yesterday alone, we came in 1,000 over that "only".

The problem we are having, which everyone who is watching the numbers can see, is that as the numbers in NYC (NY state overall) recede, those numbers are increasing elsewhere. Instead of one massive hotspot, we probably have at least 18 other very burgeoning hotspots all over the USA. Imagine what the daily numbers in the homeland will look like if we don't put out those fires before they really start to burn. Seriously, think about it. New Jersey, Michigan, Massachusetts, Illinois, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, California, Lousiana, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Indiana, Ohio. That's just twelve. And keep a sharp eye on Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Delaware, Iowa and Kansas. Those 6 don't have massive amounts of deaths, but their daily new cases has jumped quite a bit. And South Dakota and Utah are long not out of the woods.

This coming weekend will be 3 week since Easter Sunday, the weekend following will be 3 weeks since anti-lockdown protests began in some states, so we may very much see a change in hospitalizations starting this weekend. I am especially thinking of Louisiana, Wisconsin, Ohio and Missouri, but other states may easily come into play.

Let's see what today brings.