Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. (original)late

    (original)late Banned

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    That is false. We were dreadfully slow.

    We haven't amped up testing and tracing enough to reduce transmission. Which is why we have more new cases than anywhere else. You want R(0) to be less than one, in some states it's over 3.

    In the states where there is a major breakout. This is just math, the disease has exponential growth, so even if you expand your ability in one area, you're going to run short in others. You simply can't keep up if you don't do the basic stuff.

    This will become painfully obvious in the Fall.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
  2. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER

    There was one other analysis on 2020-07-014 between the last worldwide analysis and this one:
    USA EOD analysis for 2020-07-013, posted 2020-07-014, 11:20 GMT +2, #11164.

    COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Tuesday, 2020-07-014 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

    ֍*** 13,448,499 ***֍
    A record-breaking +224,437 new C19 cases over the day before, highest case-load to-date.
    There are 140 nations with at least 1,000 COVID-19 cases, 74 of them with at least 10,000 COVID-19 cases.

    There have now been 580,349 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +5,455 of them were on this day.
    Worldwide Rolling 7-day average: +215,197 new C19 cases and +4,956 deaths per day.

    1341 Brazilian, 896 US-American, 588 Indian, 485 Mexican & 179 Iranian deaths were recorded on this day.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 000.png

    Less text... more meaning. You can see the rolling averages for yourself: the world has been at a rolling average of at least +200,000 new C19 cases every day for 6 days in a row. Tendency: rising.

    We started the third week of July, 2020 with just under +200,000 new C19 cases. That's +70,000 more cases than the Monday one month ago! On Tuesday, 2020-07-014, the world set a new case record, which will likely be broken on Wednesday or Thursday.

    There is a 6,521 case discrepancy and a 42 death discrepancy between my excel table and WorldOMeter. Click on the disclaimer at the top of this analysis, if you wish.

    The worldwide analysis for 2020-06-021, has an extrapolation of how many total C19-cases and C19-deaths we are likely to have by the end of 2020, take a look, if you like. I may have to revise this extrapolation upward...

    The number of daily deaths (5,455) for the day currently being analysed is somewhat under the 4 Tuesdays before before The daily deaths 7-day rolling average rose nominally every day since 2020-07-002. But on 2020-07-014, it receded by 9 average deaths, probably statistically insignificant, but still noteworthy.

    Total cases per country, descending (countries with circa +500 C19 cases and above):
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 001 - total cases 001.png
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 002.png
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 003.png
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 004.png
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 005.png


    140-74-37-22-2
    In terms of total cases per country, there are now 140 nations in the "thousand club".

    Of those 140,
    74 nations are now in the "10,000 club", with El Salvador, Australia and Venezuela crossing the 10,000-line on 2020-07-014.

    Of those 71 nations,
    37 are now in the "50,000 club". Bolivia, Panama, Portugal & Singapore are next up to cross over that line.

    22
    of those 37 nations are at at 100,000 or more. Egypt (83,890) has now sprung over stillstand China, Iraq (81,757) is just under China.

    Of those 22,
    2 nations are in the "1,000,000" club: the USA and Brazil. This coming Friday, India will join this rubrik:

    India (currently: 937,487 cases), which surpassed Russia in the total number of COVID-19 cases 7 days ago, is already +197,900 cases ahead of Russia. Yesterday, that margin was +173,946. Life comes at you fast. That being said, Russia now has over 739,947 total C19 cases, no small change, indeed. Therefore, five days ago, I extrapolated when the USA, Brasil, India and Russia will likely cross over the next available "million" line. The link is at the top of this analysis, but here again that link:

    Extrapolations: top 4 countries (next million mark), posted 2020-07-009, 12:45 GMT +2, #11042.

    India is exceeding the extrapolation, having recorded over +27,500 new cases for four days in a row. At this rate, India will cross over the 1,000,000-line on Friday, 2020-07-017.



    In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 006 - new cases 001.png
    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 006 - new cases 002.png

    70-35-22-4

    70 countries had +100 or more new cases, more than 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was also 70.

    35 countries had +500 or more cases. The day before, it was 36.

    22 countries had +1,000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 21.

    And finally,
    4 nations had over +10,000 new cases: USA, Brasil, India & South Africa. The day before, it was also 4. This is the eighth time that South Africa has gone over the +10,000-line, non-consecutively. This time, with +10,496, it is now far enough above +10,000 for five days in a row that shortly, it will be staying above that line for a good, long time, I predict. @Derideo_Te

    One 2020-07-014, the USA accumulated"
    +65,594 new C19 cases, the second highest USA daily haul to-day and far outstripping any other nation on Earth, including Brasil, which last month often surpassed the USA in daily cases and still surpasses the USA in daily deaths.

    There can just be no doubt about it - in some corners of the world, with North, Middle and South America leading, C19 is advancing very quickly. But there are also signs that the Middle-East may become a true hotspot for COVID-19. Soon, I will be doing a series on the Middle East.


    In terms of total deaths per country, descending:

    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 007 - total deaths.png
    87-40-21-11-1
    There are 87 nations with 100 total deaths or more. Albania, Venezuela, Somalia and Nicaragua are next to cross over the 100-line.

    Of those 87,
    40 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date. That is 1/5 of all nations on Earth.

    Of those 40,
    21 have over +5,000 COVID-19 deaths to date.

    Of those 21, there are now
    11 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date.

    And finally, of those 11,
    1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

    Currently at 139,143 total deaths, the USA is circa 4% of the world's population but yet, 23.76% of all worldwide deaths have come from the USA (the day before, it was 24.04%). A extrapolation pointing to 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running within the USA analyses.


    Brazil, currently at 74,262 total deaths, is now rank 2 among the C19 dead and closing in on +100,000 deaths rather quickly. An average of +1,243 deaths per day as of 2020-06-024 gets Brazil to 100,000 on July 31st, 2020. An average of +891 deaths per day gets Brazil to 100,000 on August 15th, 2020. It's current rolling average (which, this time, is also the weekly average) is: +1,056. On 2020-06-024, Brasil ended the day with 53,874 deaths, so it has suffered +20,388 deaths since then. It is on track to reach 100,000 deaths right on or just after 2020-08-015.


    In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:

    2020-07-014 EOD Worldwide 008 - new deaths.png

    You can see the top 10 nations, all over +100 daily deaths, for yourself, highighted in the screenshot above.


    10
    nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 9 the day before). 5 of those 10 countries are from the Americas.

    If you've been watching the daily death statistics for a while, you will notice a pedulum-effect, almost always between 9 and 11 nations per day with over +100 deaths, sometimes with 1 or 2 over +1,000.

    In terms of Total Tests administered per country:

    34 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece and of them, with Phillipines and Singapore going over the 1,000,000 test-mark on 2020-07-014. 5 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK and India.

    With 90.4 million COVID-19 tests, China leads the field by far. Very soon, China will also be adjusting it's actual and daily C19 cases and deaths. We may be in for a real statistical jolt, here. Then again, this text has been here for more than 3 weeks and China has released: nothing. Sooooo.....

    To date: the USA has performed
    44.0 million tests (300,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 23.5 million tests (300,000 thousand more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations both in terms of COVID-19 infections and total deaths, has now performed 4.6 million such tests.

    Facit: on 2020-07-014, the world went from just over 13.23 million total C19 cases, jumping over 13.3 million to land at 13.47 (13.5) million cases.

    I think we can all see where this is going.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for EOD on Tuesday, 2020-07-014 (EOD = GMT +0):
    CALIFORNIA IS AGAIN ON LOCKDOWN


    ***3,545,077*** (26.36% of worldwide C19 total)
    +65,594 new COVID-19 cases (29.27% of worldwide new cases), second highest daily caseload to-date.
    In a row (+ or more): 20 days of +40,000, 9 days of +50,000, 7 days of +60,000-71,000.

    There are now 139,143 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA (23.76% of worldwide total deaths).
    896 of them were recorded on this day (11.72% of worldwide daily deaths).
    Three states reported over +100 C19 deaths on this day, not a positive development.

    USA rolling 7 day average = 63,999 new infections & 739 deaths per day.
    1,600,195 people have recovered, 1,805,739 are still sick, 16,337 of them are in critical condition.
    The recovered statistic is improving: margin = -5.80% vs. active cases (was: -6.97%).
    We are one week away from parity in the recovered/still sick statistic.


    2020-07-014 EOD USA 000.png

    We started this week on 2020-07-013 with over +65,000 new C19 cases, +7,000 more cases than the Monday before and more than 3 times as many cases than four Mondays before. This was the second highest daily "haul" to-date, behind the (until now) record-crushing +71,787 last Friday. And this is how we started the week. On 2020-07-014, however, we slightly exceeded the Monday haul, making Tuesday now the second largest daily C19 haul.

    You can see that the rolling average currently shows +63,999 cases a day, which means advancing 1,000,000 cases in just under 15.5 days each time, assuming we maintain the current rate. The USA broke over the 3-million barrier on Monday, 2020-07-006, one week before this day, where we just landed only 26,000 shy of 3.5 million, so you can see that very likely, in the next 15 days, we will indeed cross over the 4-million barrier, possibly sooner than that if the rate of daily infections increases.

    There is a 39 death discrepancy between my excel table and WorldOMeter. See: Disclaimer (link) at the top of the analysis.

    The actual number of daily deaths reported on this day, +896, reflects a reduction in Tuesday daily deaths vis-a-vis 1 and 2 Tuesdays ago, but an increase over 3 and 4 Tuesdays ago.

    The real concern (and I have been writing this for two weeks now)
    here is that with a huge spike in cases within the Union, a measureable, uncomfortable spike in deaths will start in the next 3-10 days, ala what we saw in NY and NJ, one month later in LA, MI and IL. We may soon see this in FL, AZ, TX, CA and GA. Why in this time-frame? Because daily deaths are a lagging indicator. We are already seeing nominal evidence of this right now, but it's not held long enough to classify it as a trend. However, should these numbers continue to rise to the end of July, 2020, then I would say that we most definitely are having a trend. Three of the states mentioned above just reported more than +130 deaths apiece on 2020-07-014. I will leave it up to you, the reader, to decide if a jump to +130 deaths in a state is uncomfortable or not, but it sure as hell is measurable. That being said, these numbers are still not at the catastrophic level of the numbers we once saw out of NY and NJ, occasionally out of MA, IL and MI, back in March and April. So, I am willing to wait a number of days yet before saying for sure that the upward trend in deaths is for sure.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:

    2020-07-014 EOD USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 002 - total cases 002.png
    57: 56-47-44-20-10

    56 out of 57 UNITS have over 1,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece. 50 of those 56 Units are US States. However, at 345 and the only Unit under the 1,000-line, the Pacific Territories (Guam / Northern Mariana Islands) may take a while to get there.

    47 out of 57 UNITS have over 5,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece. 42 of those 47 Units are US States.

    44 out of 57 UNITS have more than +10,000 cases. 40 of those 44 Units are states. The non-states: DC, Puerto Rico Veterans Affairs and the US Military. US Federal Prisons is probably up next to cross over the 10,000-line.

    20 out of 57 UNITS have more than +50,000 confirmed C19 cases. All 20 of them are states.

    And finally, 10 of all 57 Units have more than +100,000 confirmed C19 cases. All 10 of them are states.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:

    2020-07-014 EOD USA 003 - new cases.png
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 004 - new cases 002.png

    57: 53-41-12
    53 of 57 Units reported at least one new case. 49 of those 53 were states. The non-states: DC, Atlantic Territories, Veterans Affairs & Federal Prisons.

    41
    of 57 Units reported more than +100 new cases. 38 of those 41 Units were states. The non-states were: Veterans Affairs, Puerto Rico & Federal Prisons.

    12 of 57 Units reported over +1,000 new cases, all of them being states. Texas led with +11,060 new C19 cases, followed by California and Florida (both in the +9,000 range), followed by Arizona, which once again went over +4,000 - an extreme number for a middle-sized state, followed by Georgia with just under +4,000, the rest between circa +2,200 and +1,100 new cases. Again, Ohio is on the 1,000-list. And Nevada has again made the list. 8 of those twelve states are from the Deep South.

    But it's not just those 12 states. The next 14 states all recorded between +500 and +1,000 new C19 cases, among them, a couple of old epicenters: Pennsylvania, New York, Illinois and Michigan. And keep your eye on Arkansas. Little Arkansas is getting hammered by COVID-19.

    I have to say: relatively speaking, DC is a success story here. As soon as DC crossed over the 10,000 mark, for some reason, the number of cases has decreased drastically in our nations capitol.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 007 - new deaths.png
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 008 - new deaths 008.png

    57: 44-21-3

    44 of 57 Units reported at least one new death. 42 of them are US States. The non-states: Veteran Affairs & Puerto Rico.

    21 of 57 Units reported deaths in double digits or more, from +10 to +139. 20 of those 21 of those Units are US States. The non-state: Veterans Affairs.

    Out of the entire Union, all 57 Units, 3 Units reported more than 100 daily deaths: California, Florida and Texas, all three between +131 and +139 daily deaths.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 005 - total deaths.png
    2020-07-014 EOD USA 006 - total deaths 002.png

    57: 47-25-7-2

    47 of 57 Units now have at least 100 total deaths. 43 of those 47 Units are US States. At 97 and 88 total deaths respectively, West Virginia, and North Dakota will soon cross over that marker. The 4 non-states with over 100 deaths: DC, Puerto Rico, Veterans Affairs and the Navajo Nation.

    25 of 57 Units now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths. 24 of those 25 are US states, the other Unit is US Veterans Affairs. Currently at 993 and 985 deaths, respectively, South Carolina & Rhode Island are approaching +1,000-death line. South Carolina is very likely to cross over the 1,000-line on 2020-07-014, making it the 25th state / 26th Unit to do so.

    7 of 57 Units now have a total of more than +5,000 COVID-19 deaths. All 7 of them are states.

    Out of all 57 Units, 2 have suffered more than 10,000 COVID-19 deaths: NY and NJ, the original epicenters of the virus in February/March/April 2020.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 139,143 total US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, from the listing of the projected 2020 population of US-American cities, here a screenshot of cities with a projected population of between 136,400-151,400:

    [​IMG]

    This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more all of METAIRIE or not quite all of Bellevue, never to get the one or the otherback again. Think about that.

    Dayton alert: I was born close to and raised even closer to Dayton, OH, so when the death toll reaches or slightly exceeds the population of Dayton, please light a candle for me.


    What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

    This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not. On the first day of each month, the table for the month before will also be published here.

    Some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

    150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
    200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
    250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

    Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen.

    Right now, we are 2,148 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us somewhat above 3 days ahead of the projection. This value is higher than the corresponding number from the corresponding weekday in June, shortly after the extrapolation began (2020-06-016, 1,737 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation at that time).


    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
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  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Good work, Bro.
     
  5. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Good work, Bro.

    You and Mr T make us three the dynamic trio, aka PF's Angels!!!
     
  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    BEST POSTING OF THE DAY, BAR NONE.
     
  7. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Well, there is one common strategy shared by at least 50 nations; They’ve waited until their curves were nearly crushed before re-opening their economies, and WE DIDN’T!

    Even among the “let’s keep working” nations/states, example; Taiwan, they’ve waited until June 7th, before relaxing their social distancing rules, (2 weeks after Memorial long), and on said day, their daily new cases were down to ZERO!

    In reference to re-opening bars, pubs, “the let’s party establishments”, we also had an ADVANCE WARNING from South Korea; Their early May Nightclub outbreak, and as a result, Seoul Mayor Won-soon ordered all bars and clubs indefinitely closed, whereas in the U.S., on May 21st, Trump publicity stated; “U.S. won’t close again”.

    Well, does “U.S. won’t close again” means; We also can’t shutdown a small portion of the economy, like the “let’s play safe” South Koreans, and other Asian countries have done/had to do?

    WHEN ARE WE GOING TO LEARN?.....After our FIFTH CURVE?
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
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  8. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Today, 2020-07-015, the great state of Florida just reported +10,181 new C19 cases and +112 new deaths. In doing so, Florida has gone over 300,000 C19 cases (currently, 301,080) and now has a total 4,521 deaths.
     
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  9. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Colorado Data
    https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data

    Even that the case numbers in my county are creeping up, I consider it to be a rather save place.
    81 cases in 4 month. Mask wearing is up, too.
    Amazingly Dolores county, northern neighbor is still at 0 cases.

    But one could call my county now Little Texas, we are flooded with Texans.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
  10. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This absolutely angers me to no end. Hurry up and open bars, and the parks in Orlando, and schools..... yet, state offices remain closed to the public because "COVID."

    One of the worst problems with government at all levels is they make rules & laws but exempt themselves from having to follow it. Those who govern should be under the same set of laws as the governed.
     
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  11. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Mr. AmericanNationalist;

    When I was stationed in Norway, my key maintenance guy was replaced by someone I’ve never met. One week later, the guys were telling me he made several “absent-minded” mistakes, thus, what the **** is wrong with this guy? Then came a major **** up.....he closed the wrong pressure relief valve, and the system pressurized above its max, thus, worse scenario, his mistake could have killed several employees. After said incident, I told him to pack up his bags/you’re going home/back to the U.S. During a closed door meeting, he revealed to me; His wife left him, he had a drinking/gambling problem, and started sniffing cocaine, however, back home, after a few phone calls, no one knew about his problems.

    Said incident was diligently investigated, and last, we had a group discussion with the investigators, and just before they were about to wrap it up, thus, “we have all the info we need”, one employee said; “Well, since his first day at work, the guys started noticing he wasn’t all there”....Bingo!.....Mr. ME/team leader/supervisor, were you aware of said “not all there” employee?

    ——————-

    In reference to said employee who “spilled the beans” so to speak, the morale of my true story is:

    “Saying too much will get you in trouble”

    ........and we all know TRUMP has a loud mouth, and after he said too much, he ends up singing;

    “Poor, poor pitiful me, the Media is after me”

    Mr. President, your political wounds were all self-inflicted.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
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  12. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    Your story doesn't relate at all to what I said, or the President's political wounds. And actually, let me refute: Even if the President were a holy saint character, even if he apologized to Rosie O'Donnell and damn near everyone he's ever insulted, it wouldn't be a moment of forgiveness and grace.

    We know this, because of what we've experienced as a nation for these last four years. The opposition hates him, morally, personally and ethically. The problem with that, is that as a function of government they were supposed to leave that crap at the door. Just like any other business.

    So in your example, I terminate the guy not because he "said too much" but because he proved he wasn't capable of the job. There's no hard feelings or bias, I'll even give the guy some help or refer him to help but as an employer I've got a job to do to make sure my workers are capable.

    It would be one thing if we stayed to credible things we could criticize the President on, but when we're reduced to complaining about what he said, rather than what he did as though his words betrayed his actions(actually, they do often but not in a negative sense in this instance), it's just ragging on the dude for the singular purpose that alot of Americans want him gone.

    Not for his job(or lackthereof), but because they morally hate the guy. Joe Biden wasn't the best possible nominee, and he'll be a puppet of a President but that doesn't matter, getting rid of orange man bad DOES matter.

    To summarize: I don't care if you find him lacking of capability to be President, but I'd appreciate it if said criticism came from a place of reason, and logic and lacking of passion. We don't need anymore temper tantrums.
     
  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    INDIA

    While we are all (justifiably) watching the huge spike in cases in the USA, it's not only happening there.

    Today, 2020-07-015, India hit a new milestone, and in 2 days it will hit a second milestone. (See: below)

    Today, for the first time, India has reported more than +30,000 new COVID-19 cases. India will likely revise those figures up a tad before the end of the day, but here the current data:

    2020-07-015 COVID-19 India excel table.png

    In one month's time, from 2020-06-015 to 2020-07-015, India has literally tripled it's case load, from +10,243 to +30,630 (and still rising). Also, in one month's time, India has added over +625,000 cases. In that same time-frame, the total deaths in India have multiplied 2.5-fold. It took India more than 4 months to get to the first 500,000 cases and it looks very much as if India is going to need only 21 days to go from 500,000 to 1,000,000, and that would be the second milestone: barring a huge uptick in daily C19 cases tomorrow, 2020-07-016, India will probably come in right under 1,000,000 tomorrow and then land at about 1,030,000 on Friday, 2020-07-017.

    Now, that's what you call acceleration.

    6 days ago, on 2020-07-009, I wrote this extrapolation.

    I quote:

    India is very likely to hit the 1 million mark one day earlier than the extrapolation, so the math was pretty darned solid. India did not maintain the tempo of daily C19 cases, but rather, sped it up somewhat.

    And when you consider that India has just under 1.4 billion people, there is a real possibility that India could suddenly far outpace both the USA and Brasil in cases, daily cases, daily deaths and of course, in total death.

    When Dr. Fauci said that it would be very conceivable that the USA could be hitting +100,000 cases a day, the same possibility exists that, with time, India could be hitting 200,000-300,000 cases per day. JUST IN INDIA.

    I think it would be safe to say that the sleeping bear is now awake.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
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  14. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Quote; “Your story doesn’t relate at all to what I said”

    Yes, it does!

    YOU SAID; “The point is; Trump isn’t this big bad Devil people want to make him out to be because they hate him on a personal level”

    AND the moral of my story is; “Saying too much will get you in trouble”

    Thus, once again, we all know Trump has a loud mouth, and after he said too much, he ends up singing;

    “Poor, poor pitiful me, the Media is after me”

    Mr. President, your political wounds were all self-inflicted.

    NOTE: I don’t hate Trump, and I didn’t characterized him as Satan, Evil, etc, however, what I said about Trump is the truth, and said truth is one of the reasons why I don’t like him.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
  15. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Some ****ing Idiot who is a state Representative in Florida, named Anthony Sabatini, was on CNN and made an utter ass out of himself. He is filing a lawsuit against having to wear masks. What a turdball.
     
  16. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Every single one of them.
     
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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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  18. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    Beyond the fact that he's a Republican, he's also a human being so I wish him the best in recovering from the coronavirus and I'm sure he had precautions against getting the virus, yet he still got it. All we can do is wash our hands, limit how much we touch our face and stay 6 feet away from each other as much as possible.
     
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  19. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    I almost always list the political affiliation of elected officials, because that's my preferred method. So, there was nothing nefarious intended by that.

    And yes, I also wish him well.

    But he was also a loudmouth who called the pandemic a hoax and who went with his family, without masks, to a restaurant. So, actually, no, he DIDN'T take precautions against the virus. It's not as if he has fought mightlily to avoid C19.

    I really do expect adult politicians to act like adults, regardless of affiliation and I also think that this is a normal expectation.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2020
  20. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    From coming Monday on Wall Mart will be mandatory mask stores. Love it, about time.
     
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  21. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Example # 1 out of 1,000

    25 Feb; CDC.... “We do expect more new cases”

    26 Feb; CDC.....in reference to community spread....”It’s not a question of if, but when”

    And then,

    Trump......”Within a couple of days, our 15 cases will go down to close to zero”

    2 weeks later....

    CNN; Mr. President, what happened to our 15 cases?

    Bingo!

    ———————-

    Now, here’s an example of Mr./Mrs. above average intelligent response;

    “According to our pandemic experts, we do expect more cases.......PERIOD!







    ..
     
  22. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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  23. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    So, I need to update this now, just two hours later:

    2020-07-015 COVID-19 India excel table 002.png

    India has surprised and jumped from +30,000 to +32,700 cases, putting it already at slightly over 970,000 C19 cases, so instead of going over the 1 million line on 2020-07-017, is it going to do this tomorrow, 2020-07-016, because after such a jump in cases and also going into the peak day of the week, namely, Thursday, India is all but guaranteed to get to at least +29,840 cases tomorrow if it was pushing +33,000 cases today. Tomorrow (and not Friday), India will join USA and Brasil in the million-club.
     
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  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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  25. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    Or a collar that shocks people. Honestly, that'd be crude but crude responses might be the best way for those who don't know how to naturally stay within 6 feet of each other.
     
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