Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

If you didn't get a chance to read the short analyses above, today, November 6th, 2020, the USA will go into the 8-digit zone and end the day with 10,000,000 confirmed C19 cases. Within the USA, on the very same day, the state of Texas will be the first state to enter the 7-digit zone and will end the day with 1,000,000 confirmed C19 cases.

The USA is now AVERAGING +100,000 cases per day. That means that if that average holds, the USA will jump 3 million cases PER MONTH, putting the USA at 20,000,000 cases by February.

I bet that down deep, none of us really thought that it would come this far.

Contrary to what President Trump so blatantly lied about, COVID-19 is not going away and it is still being reported.

 

TEXAS-WATCH:



Were Texas an independent country, it would currently be #10 in the worldwide rankings, between Colombia and Mexico.

 

In Europe, things are getting decidedly worse. Yesterday, France posted +58,000 new C19 cases, rank 2 behind the USA.

Today, Poland has already posted +27,000 fresh infections, Russia +20,000 (Russia just hit +20,000 for the first time), Belgium +11,000 and Romania +10,000. And most of the really big nations in Western Europe have not even reported in (Germany, France, Spain, Italy, UK). Today is very likely to be the worst +infection day thus far in European C19 history. The care-flights between Belgium and the cities of Aachen and Trier in Germany are not letting up. Belgium has essentially hissed the white flag already.

A new mutation of C19 has been discovered among minks in Denmark, which is now planning to kill all minks in that country. The entire region of Jütland has therefore been hermetically sealed-off. Reports are now coming out that this mutation has now jumped from minks to humans. I will be reporting more on this later this evening (my time).

Already, 1,700 people have died from COVID-19 in Europe today, and the day is for all intents and purposes just beginning. It's going to be a horrible day on this side of the Atlantic.

 

It could be a mistake killing those minks (ignoring the fact that they were due to be killed for their fur anyway - a disgusting industry). What has not been reported is if this new strain is as dangerous as the current strain. This strain could be the equivalent of smallpox/cowpox which led to the eradication of smallpox

 

The fear would appear to be the opposite

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robert...ing-world-health-organization-to-investigate/

 

I understand that but it would be helpful to know of the condition of the 12 people who caught the new strain and then whether the antibodies they developed against the new strain has any effect on the old strain. The cowpox antibody led to the smallpox vaccine. The article states that the new strain appears to be less sensitive to antibodies but this is the same with cowpox; the smallpox vaccine deliberately infects the human with cowpox, a mild disease, to which the body develops antibodies which also had the effect of attacking the smallpox virus. I guess that the 12 are being closely monitored to see if this effect is occurring

 

More than +60,000 fresh C19 infections and +828 deaths in France today....

 

In the USA, we are back to +cases in 5-digits. In Illinois: +10,578

 

I appreciate that you said that in the post I was replying to. It just seemed to me that they perceived how the virus was operating to be a danger to us rather than a potential vaccination and that is not just because of its affect on antibodies but because "Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen described the threat from the mutated virus as “very, very serious” with potentially “devastating consequences worldwide.” I was assuming he was saying that on information he had.

 

That milemarker X 10:



In a little less than 6.5 months from 1,000,000 to 10,000,000....

 

And so it was:

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

COVID-19 stats for Friday, 2020-11-006 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

THIS DAY WAS A HISTORIC DAY FOR THE USA
​

As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍********* 49,649,250 *********֍֍֍֍
+634,469 daily cases, 2nd day in a row over +600,000
+case average is just under +537,000 PER DAY
THE USA WENT OVER 10,000,000 CASES ON FRIDAY, 2020-11-006
WITHIN THE USA, THE STATE OF TEXAS WENT OVER 1,000,000 CASES ON THE SAME DAY​

GREECE & GEORGIA WENT OVER 50,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
ARMENIA & JORDAN WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
CABO VERDE WENT OVER 100 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY
NEPAL & EL SALVADOR WENT OVER 1,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY

THE WORLD WILL GO OVER 50,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES TODAY, 2020-11-007

​

USA:
֍ 10,058,586 ֍
THE USA WENT OVER 10,000,000 CASES ON FRIDAY, 2020-11-006
+139,061 daily cases
FOURTH DAY IN A ROW OVER +100,000 DAILY CASES, FIFTH DAY OVERALL
AVERAGE +CASES REMAIN OVER +100,000 PER DAY!
TEXAS WENT OVER 1,000,000 CASES ON FRIDAY, 2020-11-006, THE FIRST STATE TO DO SO

​

INDIA:
******** 8,460,885 ********
+49,851 daily cases
THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

​

BRAZIL:
***** 5,632,505 *****
+18,247 daily cases


​

The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

COVID-19 stats for Friday, 2020-11-006 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

RUSSIA:
* 1,733,440 *
+20,582 daily cases

​

FRANCE
* 1,661,853 *
+60,486 daily cases, rank 2 behind the USA and in front of India
France will soon surpass Russia in the total case rankings
​

SPAIN:
* 1,388,411 *
+22,516 daily cases
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,228,814 *
+11,786 daily cases
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,127,733 *
+9,756 daily cases

​

UNITED KINGDOM:
* 1,146,484 *
+23,287 daily cases​

​

MEXICO:
949,197
+5,567 daily cases
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

PERU:
917,503
+2,781 daily cases

​

 

Just to show how badly things are going in Europe, take a look for yourself:




Of the record setting 57 nations across the world that reported +1,000 or more C19 cases, 28 of them were in Europe.
Out of that group, of the 14 nations across the world that reported +10,000 or more C19 cases, 10 of them were in Europe.
Of the +634,469 fresh infections recorded across the world on 2020-11-006, 317,392 of them (50.02%) of them were recorded in Europe.
Do not draw any conclusions from Sweden's statistic - that nation is very, very inconsistent when it comes to daily C19 reporting.

Europe is now the epicenter of the worldwide pandemic.

But the United States, as an individual nation, is getting hammered even worse.

 

Hmm.
May be time to stock up on toilet paper.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

COVID-19 stats for Saturday, 2020-11-007 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

​

As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the toP nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish. I just added ITALY to the daily tracking, it has gone from 330,000 cases to just over 900,000 cases in just over one month's time and will shoot over the million-mark in the next days.

This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 12 NATIONS​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍ 50,247,448 ֍֍֍֍֍
THE WORLD WENT OVER 50,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON 2020-11-007
+598,198 daily cases, 6th day in a row over 500,000 +cases
+case average is currently at +554,000 PER DAY
HUNGARY WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
CYPRUS WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
ITALY HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE DAILY TRACKING (SEE: PART 2)

​

USA:
֍ 10,182,977 ֍
+124,391 daily cases
Just the day before, the USA broke over the 10 million mark, it is now already at 10.2 million, to note
FIFTH DAY IN A ROW OVER +100,000 DAILY CASES, SIXTH DAY OVERALL
AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW OVER +110,000 PER DAY
CALIFORNIA WILL GO OVER 1,000,000 CASES THIS COMING WEEK, FOLLOWING TEXAS' LEAD
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRESIDENT-ELECT JOE BIDEN WILL FORM A NEW C19-TASKFORCE ON MONDAY, 2020-11-009
SINCE THE ELECTION, OUTGOING PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP HAS NOT SPOKEN ABOUT COVID-19

​

INDIA:
******** 8,507,203 ********
+46,318 daily cases
THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

​

BRAZIL:
***** 5,653,561 *****
+21,056 daily cases


​

The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

COVID-19 stats for Saturday, 2020-11-007 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

RUSSIA:
* 1,753,836 *
+20,396 daily cases
Russia has been rank 4 for months now, will move to rank 5 today, 2020-11-008, behind France

​

FRANCE
* 1,748,705 *
A European record-shattering, +86,852 daily cases, rank 2 behind the USA and in front of India
France will surpass Russia in the total case rankings today, 2020-11-008
​

SPAIN:
* 1,388,411 *
+0 daily cases
​

No change in Spain's stats. Spain tends to report the weekend stats for Saturday and Sunday with the Monday report.

ARGENTINA:
* 1,236,851 *
+8,037 daily cases
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
​

UNITED KINGDOM:
* 1,171,441 *
+24,957 daily cases
​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,136,447 *
+8,714 daily cases

​

MEXICO:
955,128
+5,931 daily cases
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

PERU:
920,010
+2,507 daily cases

​

ITALY:
904,490
+39,809 daily cases
Italy will likely surpass Peru on 2020-11-008

​

Note: I posted an entire month's worth of data for Italy as I just included it in the tracking as of today, of course, for 2020-11-007- 32 days before, Italy was as around 340,000 cases and on 2020-11-007, it broke over 900,000. At this speed, Italy is very likely so sail over the 1 million mark in 1 or 2 days from today, 2020-11-008.

-Stat

 

And I thought it would all end, vanish into hot air on the 4th of November.
Sadly it did not happen.
25 more cases in 3 days in my county, which makes it per capita one of the hot spots in Colorado.
People ignore it, city government ignores it, county government ignores it.
Its insane.
Have 1 employee in isolation, again. Teenage son might have been exposed in school.
Both got tested, results Tuesday.
We still have fights with customers over the fricking Schnutten Pulli, Kisser Sock..
The stupidity gets tiring
I have the lights in the heating ducts installed and the Crane air purifiers are running. Thats about all I can do to keep the virus load as low as possible in the air. Cleaning, well we are world champions in that. My Laundry has always been spotless, we just changed cleaners.
Cost a little bit more, but, oh well.
The school district made a very smart decision. From Turkey day till Jan 11th the schools will be closed. They might be forced to close earlier if the cases keep exploding in the county and continues to get into the schools.

I am honestly worried, because Winter is coming and people still do not get it.

Stay healthy my friends and do not dare to slack, or you will pay for it.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

Pre-EOW-analysis tables for Sunday, 2020-11-008 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

TODAY I AM PUBLISHING PART 2 FIRST, BECAUSE OF THE FOLLOWING NEW TABLE:
​

Before we begin, a new table (that will be completely explained in the large Worldwide EOW report):

FRANCE
* 1,787,324 *
+38,619 daily cases
+373,409 cases over the week before / +4,020 deaths over the week before​

View attachment 131929

RUSSIA:
* 1,774,334 *
+20,498 daily cases
+137,553 cases over the week before / +2,302 deaths over the week before
RUSSIA MOVED FROM RANK 4 TO RANK 5 IN TOTAL C19 CASES
AVERAGE DAILY DEATHS ARE THE HIGHEST THEY HAVE EVER BEEN IN RUSSIA

​

View attachment 131930

​

SPAIN:
* 1,388,411 *
+0 daily cases (no change from the day before)
+93,664 cases over the week before / +2,703 deaths over the week before
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,242,182 *
+5,331 daily cases
+68,649 cases over the week before / +2,420 deaths over the week before
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA

​

View attachment 131926

​

UNITED KINGDOM:
* 1,192,013 *
+20,572 daily cases
+157,099 cases over the week before / +2,327 deaths over the week before​

​

View attachment 131931

COLOMBIA:
* 1,143,887 *
+7,440 daily cases
+60,566 cases over the week before / +1,276 deaths over the week before​

​

View attachment 131927

MEXICO:
961,938
+6,810 daily cases
+36,976 cases over the week before / +3,055 deaths over the week before
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

View attachment 131932

ITALY:
935,104
+32,614 daily cases
+225,769 cases over the week before / +2,568 deaths over the week before
Italy surpassed Peru in total C19 cases on 2020-11-008​

View attachment 131933

PERU:
922,333
+2,323 daily cases
+14,722 cases over the week before / +350 deaths over the week before

​

View attachment 131928

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

Pre-EOW-analysis tables for Sunday, 2020-11-008 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases
​

As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 12 NATIONS​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍ 50,723,000 ֍֍֍֍֍
THE WORLD WENT OVER 50 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES THIS LAST WEEK
+475,552 daily cases
+3,918,386 cases over the week before / +56,703 deaths over the week before


​

USA:
֍ 10,288,480 ֍
+105,503 daily cases
THE USA WENT OVER 10 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES THIS LAST WEEK
THE STATE OF TEXAS WENT OVER 1 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES THIS LAST WEEK
+814,569 cases over the week before / +7,297 deaths over the week before
AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW ABOVE +116,000 PER DAY


​

INDIA:
******** 8,553,864 ********
+46,661 daily cases
+324,542 cases over the week before / +4,011 deaths over the week before
THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

​

BRAZIL:
***** 5,664,115 *****
+10,554 daily cases
+118,410 cases over the week before / +2,293 deaths over the week before​

​

The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

Pre-EOW-analysis tables for Sunday, 2020-11-008 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

THE FIRST TIME PUBLISHING THIS DID NOT WORK WELL, SO HERE WE GO AGAIN:
​

Before we begin, a new table (that will be completely explained in the large Worldwide EOW report):

FRANCE
* 1,787,324 *
+38,619 daily cases
+373,409 cases over the week before / +4,020 deaths over the week before​

RUSSIA:
* 1,774,334 *
+20,498 daily cases
+137,553 cases over the week before / +2,302 deaths over the week before
RUSSIA MOVED FROM RANK 4 TO RANK 5 IN TOTAL C19 CASES
AVERAGE DAILY DEATHS ARE THE HIGHEST THEY HAVE EVER BEEN IN RUSSIA

​

​

SPAIN:
* 1,388,411 *
+0 daily cases (no change from the day before)
+93,664 cases over the week before / +2,703 deaths over the week before
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,242,182 *
+5,331 daily cases
+68,649 cases over the week before / +2,420 deaths over the week before
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA

​

​

UNITED KINGDOM:
* 1,192,013 *
+20,572 daily cases
+157,099 cases over the week before / +2,327 deaths over the week before​

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,143,887 *
+7,440 daily cases
+60,566 cases over the week before / +1,276 deaths over the week before​

​

MEXICO:
961,938
+6,810 daily cases
+36,976 cases over the week before / +3,055 deaths over the week before
ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

ITALY:
935,104
+32,614 daily cases
+225,769 cases over the week before / +2,568 deaths over the week before
Italy surpassed Peru in total C19 cases on 2020-11-008​

PERU:
922,333
+2,323 daily cases
+14,722 cases over the week before / +350 deaths over the week before

​

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for the week of 2020-11-001 through 2020-11-008
(GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

֍֍֍֍֍ 50,723,000 ֍֍֍֍֍
A record-shattering +3,918,386 cases over the Sunday before (was +3,478,798 one week earlier).
THE WORLD WENT OVER 47,48,49 & 50 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALL IN 1 WEEK

TOTAL C19 cases: 167 nations with 1,000+, 112 with 10,000+, 82 with 50,000+, 55 with 100,000+,
9 with 1,000,000+, 1 with 10,000,000+

There have now been 1,261,747 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +56,703 of them occured in this week (+46,127 the week before).
---------------------------------------------------------
Worldwide WEEKLY rolling averages: record-shattering +559,769 new C19 cases per day / +8,100 deaths per day
For the +deaths for the top nations, see new table (under the rubrik worktable)
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 92,573 (+7,330 over the week before)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

It was a huge newsweek on the COVID-19 front...foremost that the world hit the 50-million total case mark and the USA hit the 10-million case mark.

Also, the world went over +500,000 cases for 6 of the last 7 days and over +600,000 on 2 of those 6.

And the huge explosion of cases in Europe, above all others, in France, cannot go unnoticed.

If you compare the weekly average of this week before to the preceeding week, you will see that the average +daily cases rose considerably (+559,769 vs +496,971 the week before, a significant jump) and the average daily deaths also rose (+6,590 the week before to +8,100 now). That translates to 388 C19 infections and 5.6 deaths PER MINUTE, EVERY MINUTE.

There can be no doubt about it: the 2nd major wave for the entire world is now here and we are all in the thick of it.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. You can see that for the entire week, there were 19 nation-rubrik changes, 1 less than the week before, you can note them for yourselves.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

In terms of +cases and +deaths over the week, per country:​

So, after a lot of thought, I realized that publishing the +cases and +deaths just for Sunday within the weekly EOW report is silliness, so I have concentrated myself on the top nations that have I have been tracking and made a handy table that will be updated once per week:




I did not do the math by hand, but rather, per input in the excel table. It's the same table four times over in this screenshot, just sorted four ways. In the upper left, it's sorted by +cases (the week from 2020-11-001 through 2020-11-008 ) over the previous week. In column B can see that the world had +3,918,386 cases over the week before. In column C, it's +3,478,798 for the week before over 2 weeks ago. If you look to the upper right, where I highlighted "+cases diff:", that's the difference in the value from this last week over the value from the week before. So, the world added 439,588 more +cases this last week than it did in the week before.

At the bottom left, it's the same story, only sorted by +deaths (meaning, weekly deaths). You can see that France is rank 2 among the nations, with +4,020 deaths over the week before. The week before that, it was +2,258 deaths, so if you look to the extreme right where I have highlighted "+deaths diff:", you will see that France suffered +1,511 more weekly deaths than the week before, 2nd place in the death misery, behind the USA.

In the differences values, a negative value is a good thing, it means there were either less +cases or less +deaths (meaning, weekly, not daily) than in the week previous.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +1,000 C19 cases and above):
​

India is not going to be catching up to the USA in total C19 cases anytime soon. In India, the wave is verifiably receding, whilst in the USA, it is raging. For me personally, it is very jarring to see the USA in the 9-digit zone. And worse yet, it will not be the only nation to achieve this statistic.

​

​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 243,763 / 19.32% of worldwide deaths (19.62% on the Sunday before). The USA is currently expected to hit 250,000 deaths Mid-November, 2020.

Brazil, total deaths: 162,397 / 12.87% of worldwide deaths (13.31% on the Sunday before). Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 657 deaths per day, from 2020-10-014 = New Years Day 2021.

India, total deaths: 126,653 / 10.04% of worldwide deaths (10.18% on the Sunday before). India will likely go over 200,000 C19 deaths around January 12, 2021.

Mexico, total deaths: 94,808 / 7.51% of worldwide deaths (7.61% on the Sunday before). No extrapolation for 100,000 deaths quite yet.

Combined (627,626), the top four nations currently represent 49.74% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was 51.70% the week before).

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

66 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Lithuania and Hungary having crossed the 1,000,000 during this last week; of those 66, 12 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece. Of those 12, 3 have performed more than 100 million apiece.

END-FACIT: Logistical case growth, not exponential, but still, we are accumulating a huge number of C19 cases per day.

-Stat

Appendix - There were some important analyses thoughout the week from 2020-11-007 through 2020-11-008:
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:25 GMT +2, #12703.
Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:27 GMT +2, #12704.
WORLDWIDE EOW analysis for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 12:50 GMT +2, #12705.
USA EOW analysis for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 12:53 GMT +2, #12706.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-002, posted 2020-11-003, 09:30 GMT +2, #12713.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-002, posted 2020-11-003, 09:32 GMT +2, #12714.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-003, posted 2020-11-004, 10:28 GMT +2, #12717.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-003, posted 2020-11-004, 10:30 GMT +2, #12718.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-004, posted 2020-11-005, 11:10 GMT +2, #12721.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-004, posted 2020-11-005, 11:12 GMT +2, #12722.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-005, posted 2020-11-006, 09:12 GMT +2, #12724.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-006, 09:15 GMT +2, #12725.
Texas-watch: march to 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-11-006, 14:13 GMT +2, #12727.
The USA goes over 10,000,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-11-006, 22:26 GMT +2, #12735.
Texas goes over 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-11-007, 08:38 GMT +2, #12736.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-007, 09:04 GMT +2, #12737.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-007, 09:05 GMT +2, #12738.
Europe is getting hammered in C19 +cases, posted 2020-11-007, 09:25 GMT +2, #12739.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-007, posted 2020-11-008, 12:38 GMT +2, #12741.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-007, posted 2020-11-008, 12:40 GMT +2, #12742.
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-008, posted 2020-11-009, 11:56 GMT +2, #12745.
Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-008, posted 2020-11-009, 12:04 GMT +2, #12746.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for for for the week of 2020-11-001 through 2020-11-008
(GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

֍ 10,288,480 ֍
THE USA WENT OVER 10,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES DURING THIS LAST WEEK.
A record-shattering +814,569 new COVID-19 cases over the week before (it was +584,732 the week before that).
On 2020-11-003, with +124,985 new cases, the USA set a new +cases record for the entire world
NEW MEXICO and NORTH DAKOTA went over 50,000 total confirmed COVID-19 cases during this week.
TEXAS went over 1,000,000 total confirmed COVID-19 cases during this week.
WYOMING went over 100 total confirmed COVID-19 deaths during this week.

The USA has now officially recorded 243,768 total COVID-19 deaths, +7,297 of those deaths were recorded during this week.
***On Election Day, the US surpassed the 237,500 deaths I extrapolated 3 months ago for Election Day***
USA WEEKLY rolling average = 116,367 new infections & 1042 deaths per day.
18,462 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (+1,257 over the week before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 157.6 million, 35 states have now performed over 1 million tests apiece.
President-Elect Joe Biden is assembling a 12-head COVID-19 task force today, 2020-11-009, to lay out a new plan
Today is also my birthday.

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The USA is getting hammered by what for the world is the 2nd wave, but may simply be the 3rd loop of the 1st wave in the USA, since we never really tamped-down on the virus the first time.

The current 7-day rolling averages calculate to = 81 new infections and 0.7 deaths per MINUTE. EVERY MINUTE. NON-STOP.

The infection rate and the rate of ICU bed use is obviously going in the wrong direction.

Worst yet, the average daily deaths has now exceeded where my extrapolation (see: bottom of analysis) pegged it to be 3 months ago . Remember, deaths are a lagging indicator, so the skyrocketing number of daily cases can only mean considerably more daily deaths starting about the 3rd week of November, 2020.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. For the entire week, there were 6 unit / rubrik changes: Kentucky, Colorado, Nevada, Kansas New Mexico and Massachusetts.

TEXAS led in +cases the first four days of this week, while ILLINOIS lead the last 3 days. On Saturday, 4 of the 5 top states were all neighboring states from the upper Midwest.

The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases and new daily deaths:
​

So, after a lot of thought, I realized that publishing the +cases and +deaths just for Sunday within the weekly EOW report is silliness, so I have concentrated myself on the top nations that have I have been tracking and made a handy table that will be updated once per week, you can see the USA at the top:




I did not do the math by hand, but rather, per input in the excel table. It's the same table four times over in this screenshot, just sorted four ways. In the upper left, it's sorted by +cases (the week from 2020-11-001 through 2020-11-008 ) over the previous week. In column B can see that the world had +3,918,386 cases over the week before. In column C, it's +3,478,798 for the week before over 2 weeks ago. If you look to the upper right, where I highlighted "+cases diff:", that's the difference in the value from this last week over the value from the week before. So, the world added 439,588 more +cases this last week than it did in the week before.

At the bottom left, it's the same story, only sorted by +deaths (meaning, weekly deaths). You can see that France is rank 2 among the nations, with +4,020 deaths over the week before. The week before that, it was +2,258 deaths, so if you look to the extreme right where I have highlighted "+deaths diff:", you will see that France suffered +1,511 more weekly deaths than the week before, 2nd place in the death misery, behind the USA.

In the differences values, a negative value is a good thing, it means there were either less +cases or less +deaths (meaning, weekly, not daily) than in the week previous.

Perhaps, in the fullness of time, I may also make such a table only for the top states in the USA, but that is a huge amount of work. Wait and see.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total tests performed/documented:
​

​

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FACIT: we ended the 7-day period analysed with 243,763 total US deaths from COVID-19.



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of slightly more than entire the population of LOUISVILLE (KY), never to get it back again.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:


This means that we are currently at +2,071 deaths over the extrapolation (one week ago, it was: +724), which puts us also currently 2.4 days ahead of the next milestone-projections. The USA's current daily death average = +1,042 (one week ago, it was +852) which means that we are starting to accelerate over the extrapolation.

I know it may be tiring to see these statistics all the time, but I do think it's important to follow the data-path every day and to put it in print, for posterity's sake, so that the naysayers cannot say "nay" without looking totally ignorant.

NEW CONCLUSION: mitigate!

-Stat

Appendix - There were some important analyses thoughout the week from 2020-11-007 through 2020-11-008:
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:25 GMT +2, #12703.
Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:27 GMT +2, #12704.
WORLDWIDE EOW analysis for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 12:50 GMT +2, #12705.
USA EOW analysis for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 12:53 GMT +2, #12706.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-002, posted 2020-11-003, 09:30 GMT +2, #12713.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-002, posted 2020-11-003, 09:32 GMT +2, #12714.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-003, posted 2020-11-004, 10:28 GMT +2, #12717.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-003, posted 2020-11-004, 10:30 GMT +2, #12718.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-004, posted 2020-11-005, 11:10 GMT +2, #12721.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-004, posted 2020-11-005, 11:12 GMT +2, #12722.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-005, posted 2020-11-006, 09:12 GMT +2, #12724.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-006, 09:15 GMT +2, #12725.
Texas-watch: march to 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-11-006, 14:13 GMT +2, #12727.
The USA goes over 10,000,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-11-006, 22:26 GMT +2, #12735.
Texas goes over 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-11-007, 08:38 GMT +2, #12736.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-007, 09:04 GMT +2, #12737.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-006, posted 2020-11-007, 09:05 GMT +2, #12738.
Europe is getting hammered in C19 +cases, posted 2020-11-007, 09:25 GMT +2, #12739.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-007, posted 2020-11-008, 12:38 GMT +2, #12741.
EOD general quick analysis, Part 2, for 2020-11-007, posted 2020-11-008, 12:40 GMT +2, #12742.
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-008, posted 2020-11-009, 11:56 GMT +2, #12745.
Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-008, posted 2020-11-009, 12:04 GMT +2, #12746.
WORLDWIDE EOW analysis, Part 1, for 2020-11-008, posted 2020-11-009, 13:11 GMT +2, #12747.

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER UPDATE, 2020-11-009:​

Things change with time, and so must I with them. I am combining three old postings into one to make this all more concise concerning my reporting of COVID-19 statistics. What started as a general summary of the entire world in March and April 2020 became intense daily worldwide analyses as of the beginning of May and then came very concise daily USA analyses added to them and then, as more and more nations suddenly climbed over the 1,000,000 case mark, I added daily screenshots of all these "younger" nations, but it has now become apparent to me that I need to change my method of reporting stuff, otherwise I'll need to spend four hours a day simply typing stuff for PF and I don't have those four hours.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​

If you want to see the analysis for any day I have analyzed, then go to my sig-file, open the excel table, go to the tab that you want and click on the date you want. My sig-file is going to be here for a long, long time, but when the time comes that it is gone, then feel free to click HERE.

The excel table now covers the worldwide statistics and (currently) 13 other nations, most of which have already gone over the 1,000,000-mark.

Rolling averages (daily cases / daily deaths): a 7-day rolling average system in effect as 2020-06-029. Also, the positivity rate (number of cases / number of performed tests, depicted as a percentage) has been added to the data.

Confirming/sorting the data for this analysis as you wish: go here: WORLDOMETER for today -or- here: WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

Value discrepancies: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly.

Pertinent only to the USA: that country is analyzed in 57 Units instead of 50 states.

Pertinent to the online excel-document itself, there are some interesting tabs apart from the individual country statistics, at the beginning and at the end of the tab-list:





If you have been reading the large analyses in the last months, then you already know the rubrik worktables for the worldwide figures and the USA, which saves on a huge amount of excess text. That first rubrik-worktable got so large that I ended that version at the end of October and moved it to the very last tab in the online-excel document. The newer rubrik-worktable therefore has the number 002 and I did indeed add some categories.

The "USA logistical June-Dec 2020" tab near the end is the death total extrapolation I have running since the beginning of June. The "exponential calculations" were for the very small nations I studied for a while in the lower upperdecks series. And I have started a historical timeline of COVID-19 events, which I will be fleshing out more and more with time.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So, moving forward from here, starting for the data for Monday, 2020-11-009, I will be publishing only one report for each weekday and no longer screenshotting the excel tables for all nations near or over the 1,000,000 mark. Instead, I will be doing a quick analysis Mondays through Fridays for the Worldwide figures and the top nations, circa 2 million C19 cases or above. Right now, that would be: Worldwide, USA, India, Brazil, France and Russia. That list will surely grow, but I will likely not go over 10 top nations during the week. The rubrik-worktable will no longer be screenshotted in the weekday mini-analyses, but rather, only for the EOW, EOM and EOY reports.

Then, for each Sunday report I will be doing screenshots for all countries in my excel-tracking, as you saw today HERE and HERE. And the EOW reports for the worldwide data and the USA data will be very intensive, as you also saw today, HERE and HERE.

So, during the week, my reporting is going to be more streamlined, but the End of Week (EOW), End of Month (EOM) and soon, the EOY (End of Year) reports will be very exhaustive.

Stay healthy, stay well. Give COVID-19 no chance to infect you.

Best to all of you,

Stat

 

You are doing a brilliant job.

Did you read about the candle at the end of the tunnel.
I hope it does not get blown out