
Originally Posted by
Phil
Now I have more time.
Mario Cuomo was Democratic governor of New York in the 1980s. Many people expected him to run for president in 1992. He didn't so we got Bill Clinton.
In 1993 there was a vacancy for associate justice. Clinton offered Cuomo the job. He declined, holding out for chief. Clinton chose Ruth Bader Ginzburg. In 1994 there was another vacancy. Clinton appointed Stephen Breyer, the runner-up from the year before.
The chief justiceship finall became available in 2005, under Bush. Bush picked John Roberts, followed immediately by associate justice Samuel Alito. A Republican Senate confirmed both of them against vocal Democratic objections. In 2006 the public gave Democrats the Senate, guaranteeing that any additional Bush appointees would have serious problems getting confirmed. Hold that thought.
Only two Democrats were elected president betweeen 1860 and 1928, so when Democrat Franklin Roosevelt became president in 1933 he faced a Supreme Court with 7 of 9 justices appointed by Republicans. Not only were they Republicans, they were old, with six of them 70 or older by 1937. They didn't consider that the economic realities of the 1930s were much different than in their youth, so they struck down several Roosevelt innovations, including the National Recovery Act. In 1937 Roosevelt asked congress to allow him to appoint another justice for each one over 70 who refused to retire or die. The court, terrified, decided a hard case Roosevelt's way. Congress wouldn't increase the court size, but they increased their pensions, so one of them retired immediately. Later that year one of the young ones died. By the end of 1939 Roosevelt had appointed 5 of 9. When he started his third term in 1941 two more retired including the chief. As a gesture, Roosevelt elevated one of the remaining Republicans to chief, but losing 7-2 all the time was no fun.
As soon as Roosevelt died the other Republican retired. Truman replaced him with a Republican, but not an aggressive ideologue. The chief died a year later. Truman ended up appointing three Democrats, but they were practical men like himself, not hardline liberals like most of Roosevelt's men.
In 1953 Dwight Eisenhower, a military man who ran as a Republican for convenience became president. The chief died that year. He replaced him with Earl Warren, former Republican governor of California and losing vice presidential candidate. Warren joined the liberals. Eisenhower later appointed another Democrat who tricked him into thinking he was conservative, two real Republicans and a very stupid man who went insane from the pressure. John Kennedy appointed one conservative and one liberal. Lyndon Johnson chose two hard liberals.
Nixon got to replace Warren. He chose Warren Burger. Burger banged his head against the wall for a year, then decided to vote with the liberals to mitigate the impact of their decisions. Nixon chased out one of Johnson's appointees on an ethics charge, but the Democratic senate rejected his first two nominees to replace him. The man who got the job turned sharply liberal within a year. Nixon got two more appointees, a conservative William Rehnquist and a moderate who decided all the 5-4 cases the wrong way.
Ford's lone appointment was the court's last true moderate. When he rose in seniority the liberal decisions became judicial rather than political.
That bring us to Ronald Reagan. His first appointee was a woman, so everyone was happy. Republicsans controlled the senate for the first time in 26 years and in 1986 approved the elevation of Rehnquist to chief and Antonin Scalia to associate.
The public was worried, so they elected a DEmocratic senate in 1986. The senate in 1987 rejected Reagan's conservative choice, so we ended up with Anthony Kennedy, the swing vote most of the time.
When Bush Sr. got the conservative dunce Clarence Thomas through a Democratic senate the public decided only a Democratic president could keep the court balanced, so we got Clinton. His two appointees kept the court deadlocked, so it was safe to give Republicans the senate again until Bush got Roberts and Alito through, so in 2006 the public gave the senate back to Democrats.
With that in mind, and the trend of the public to elect congressmen and presidents of the same party at the same time it follows that most judicial elections would also follow that pattern. That's dangerous.
Try a different proposal.
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