
Originally Posted by
Mushroom
To begin with, it is very questionable if Iran even possesses the capabilities to produce a Nuclear Missile.
Remember, historically first run nuclear weapons have been large bulky things. Even though the first Atomic Bombs were detonated in 1945, the first Nuclear Missiles were not built until 1957, 12 years later.
Even with all the aid Israel had in it's nuclear program, it is believed that they had their first bomb by 1959-60. And their first Nuclear Missile was not ready for use until 1971.
So even if Iran builds nuclear warheads this year, we will likely not see them small enough and a missile designed to carry them for another 6-10 years at least.
And what if Iran did have nuclear ballistic missiles?
It would be suicide to use them.
Israel alone could likely destroy every major Iranian city, and I am sure has contingency plans for just such a retaliation.
And as paranoid as Iran is(with some justification) why would they not assume that the U.S. would indeed retaliate on Israel's behalf?
Think of the scenario's here:
a) Iran uses a nuclear armed missile against Israel- Iran's 20 largest cities would likely be destroyed or damaged. Iran's government would for all purposes cease to exist. Iran's enemies would have a wide open opportunity to attack.
b) Iran uses non-conventional methods to detonate a nuclear weapon in Israel so Iran can claim it isn't there. Israel still retaliates- does anyone doubt that Israel would?
c) Iran gives a nuclear weapon to a terrorist group- not a chance. Iran is not going to supply a nuclear weapon to any organization that is not under the direct, and absolute control of Iran's leadership.
And if that bomb detonated in Israel, Israel would still retaliate.
North Korea has not used nukes against South Korea, and Iran won't use them against Israel. None of their leaders wants to die that much, or watch their personal fiefdom go away.
The problem with marriage is that we heterosexuals are not honoring marriage sufficiently- not with homosexuals wanting to get married.
Every child a homosexual couples has is a desired child.
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