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You: The US has no 'right', either to deny or allow the development of nuclear energy in any other sovereign nation.
Me: Says who?
...'says' the US itself, by agreement with the community of sovereign nations.
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If thats true, why did we ignore Saddam's Sovereignty? It sounds to me like we only pay lip service to the idea that we dont have that "right"; obviously we think we do.
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Me: We would not have to completely destroy their program to cripple it.
You haven't seen the spy satellite photos, and neither have I.
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Considering Iran's exaggerations in other areas, I am unwilling to take their word for it.
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Iran's rhetoric is probably only mostly rhetoric, but if it truly were so easy the US would not be waffling about threats of physical force.
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Why? We have followed through with both the Taliban and Saddam...why would Iran think it is different? Especially if all we are doing is bombing...even Clinton didnt have a problem bombing.
And Clinton was a lot less trigger happy than the neo-cons that are in power now.
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You would delay it, they would reconstruct it again more carefully. And this would be in a perfect vacuum world...
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Until I am presented with evidence that they have technology sufficient to resist us, I am not going to assume that they do.
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I agree, a nuclear Iran is far more volatile than non-nuclear one. I just say bombing Iran is not the right answer.
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What is the alternative? They are not responding to diplomacy, and the consensus (even among liberals) is that they are unlikely to respond to diplomacy.
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Me: Cheaper than a land war. All bombs will cost us is money.
Vacuum world. The US shares two land-borders with Iran. The Iranian military is strong enough to damage the US grip on either Afghanistan or Iraq, maybe both.
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Which will require that it expend resources and potentially alieninate surrounding states (the "collateral damage" sword cuts both ways...especially when you do not have the technology for precision weapons).
It comes down to how badly does Iran really want nukes? The more painful we make the choice, the less likely they are to choose it. Threats of force make the choice more painful.
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Attacking Iran has consequences, like invading Iraq did.
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I agree. The alternatives are worse.
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Saying that it will be easy, painless, and quick is shortsighted at best, downright criminally negligible at worst.
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It would be painless in the sense that our own soldiers would be at little risk. They have no way of directly retaliating against us.
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The best chance the international community has in preventing Iran from gaining nuclear weapons is the threat of economic/diplomatic sanctions.
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Which we will try those first of course. I do not expect they will do anything...it is an empty and pointless exercise IMO, but I am in the minority among neo-cons.