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There has been an imbalance in the world ever since the end of the cold war with the fall of the U.S.S.R. The destruction of the Berlin Wall symbolized peace in the world and a hope for a better future. Sadly, that dream has never been recognized. Fighting, social and political unrest, a lot of it started by the United States of America, the last super power. Being the only super power, the U.S.A. has been able to by-pass the resolution of the United Nations that the war in Iraq was illegal, and still we do nothing! Now the point of my post. What if there was another super power? What if we could balance it once and for all? Have another power up there that would keep the U.S.A. in line? Where to find one though? No country by itself is strong enough to equal the military and economic mass of the U.S.A. There is an option. Lying across the great Atlantic Ocean the is a super power lying dormant waiting to be awoken. The European Union is the key to stoping the American threat. If the rest of the world helped to build up the E.U. economically, financially, just a little bit, and the rest of the European countries joined with them creating a unified front, a unified continent, they would at least balance out the U.S.A. is not tip the scales a little. It has been too long since the American power has gone unchecked. It is high time they get taken off their self-built pedestal and put on equal footing with the world they live in.
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Ignoring the rhetoric of an "o mighty Europe to counter America", I do think the most plausible of counterweights to superpowers can be found in the EU, but that is far from current reality. These things are hard to estimate but I'd say 30-50 years at least till Europe tips the scales. There is a current economic superpower besides the US, China. China lacks the military force to make it a superpower, but it does possess the economic structure for it. I'd also reckon that India has plenty of power to be realized. Or another theoretical superpower, Africa. |
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As for China simply, China's military is not global (as the US is, or even Britain and France). The Chinese military can only operate within a X kilometer radius away from the Chinese (or any friendly) border, that is without counting ICBMs. Chine couldn't say, invade Iraq, if it felt like it, but it could invade Mongolia. China is a superpower, but not a military one, yet. But China has enough power already without the military means to influence global issues. And Africa, it is complete theory. Africa has enormous amounts of resources and potential to utilize them, more so than Europe or North America for example. But then again, all the corrupt dictatorships and governments and lack of investment lead to the current African situation. But in theory, Africa possesses the natural resources to become a superpower, but this will not happen during my lifetime or yours, maybe my grandchildren, if they try hard. |
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Maybe I'm wrong, but I'd say it would heavily strain Japan to maintain global superpower status, so Japan will stay a regional power. |
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The only way to balance the power of the United States is through global economic integration. This makes the U.S. more dependent on others, and subject to multi-polar decision making.
But, I will say something. The fact that the U.S. couldn't get the UN to pass a second resolution shows that we aren't so powerful any more. Give it 25 years, and we'll be one of 3 or 4 poles in a new world. Unless the bombs fly first.
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Any man who can render himself unconscious with a pretzel isn't smart enough to lead the free world. |
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Obviously we are talking about a certain degree of globalization that effectively means no turning back.
__________________
Any man who can render himself unconscious with a pretzel isn't smart enough to lead the free world. |
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