Arab Spring: Out of the pan and into the fire?

Discussion in 'Latest US & World News' started by Val1101, Oct 28, 2011.

  1. Val1101

    Val1101 New Member Past Donor

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    The people of Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia have liberated themselves from tyranny. Iraq is now a democracy. Looks like Syria may be the next huge revolution. Are these developments going to have the outcome that young people in the region expect? Or will the god forsaken old geezer imams find a way to undermine the whole thing and install even more corrupt regimes where the people are sub-creatures who must submit forever to some old bastards who are raping the $$$ that should be benefiting their respective societies?

    To the newly liberated, I say congratulations. The future is now in your hands. TAKE IT SERIOUSLY or you will end up like god forsaken Iran, a country with a fake democracy that is controlled by, you guessed it, a corrupt old geezer who has fooled everyone into believing he knows what's best for other people.

    Val
     
  2. Margot

    Margot Account closed, not banned

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    Revolution is ALWAYS risky................

     
  3. MurkyFogsFutureLogs

    MurkyFogsFutureLogs New Member

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    Revolutions are sometimes started with good intentions but after they are over if successful, sometimes after weeks, months and even decades, the reasons and principles fought for by the revolutionaries are forgotten, and the ideas of the revolution stagnate and the will of powerful individuals post revolution, usually with wealth behind their power suddenly become prominent, and will push for a system which supports their views, and they will support a system that benefits their ambitions, and what was fought for by the people is hijacked by a wealthy minority, not satisfied with what they've achieved, pushing for more wealth, more power, more control, regardless of the consequences of their actions towards the people the revolution was fought for.

    Such is true for Communism, as Capitalism, the world needs a better system, maybe a hybrid of the both or something completely new, if equality is really on the agenda of any ruling politicians who claim to care about it.
     
    Serfin' USA and (deleted member) like this.
  4. Marlowe

    Marlowe New Member

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    Let's NOT forget soon after American REvolution followed a
    bloody civil war , brother killing brother - Richmond + Andersonville Concentration Camps , etc.
     
  5. Serfin' USA

    Serfin' USA Well-Known Member

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    Well, it wasn't really that "soon." It took about 80 years for the Civl War to erupt after the revolution.

    Our barbarism toward Native Americans was more immediate.
     
  6. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26 New Member Past Donor

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    Arab Spring Optimism Gives Way to Fear of Islamic Rise

    Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...gives-way-to-fear-islamic-rise/#ixzz1c7ef7vNd


    From the first stirrings of change in the Middle East nine months ago, optimism at the prospect of 100 million young people rising up to seize their democratic freedoms has been tempered by fear in Western capitals that radical Islamists might also rise up and try to hijack the so-called Arab Spring.

    And now, many analysts say, that fear has been realized.

    In Tunisia, where the epic season of unrest began, last Sunday’s historic elections appear to have resulted in an Islamist group winning a governing majority.
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    In Libya, an ex-terrorist once jailed by the Central Intelligence Agency now runs the country’s foremost military organization, and new political leaders speak openly of enacting Sharia, the ultra-harsh code of Islamic law.

    And in Egypt, where the world’s oldest civilization is bracing for elections next month, rioters have recently forced the evacuation of the Israeli embassy and waged vicious attacks on Coptic Christians.

    Worrisome in their own right, these developments also raise difficult questions, in an already contentious political season, about the conduct of President Obama and his national security team: Has the White House done all it could to steer the Arab Spring in the right direction? Have events to date strengthened U.S. security – or left America weakened abroad, with Islamic fundamentalism ascendant?

    At a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on Thursday, Rep. Dan Burton, R-Ind., told Secretary of State Hillary Clinton the Mideast “really worries me,” and asked what the Obama administration “plans to do to make sure that we don't have a radical government taking over those places.”

    “Revolutions are unpredictable phenomena,” Clinton replied. “I think a lot of the leaders are saying the right things and some are saying things that do give pause to us….We're going to do all that we can within our power to basically try to influence outcomes. But, you know, the historic wind sweeping the Middle East and North Africa were not of our making.”

    Jamie Smith, a former CIA officer who has made three fact-finding trips to Libya this year, warns that the sense of unity that bound the country’s disparate rebel groups during their eight-month revolt has evaporated since Muammar Qaddafi fell from power.

    In the dictator’s place, Smith says, the oil-rich but woefully mismanaged North African state is relying on the Transitional National Council, made up of inexperienced ex-rebels, and the Tripoli Military Council, headed by Abdel Hakim Belhaj. The latter was once head of the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), which the U.S. State Department classifies as a foreign terrorist organization.

    It is unlikely that Belhaj’s loyalties to the United States run strong: Smith notes that the CIA captured Belhaj in 2004, briefly held him in Thailand, and ultimately returned him to the custody of Qaddafi in Libya, where the former LIFG fighter languished in prison until his release last year.

    “So now you’ve got a radical Islamist terrorist leader who is running the most powerful military group in Libya,” said Smith, a veteran of the U.S. war in Afghanistan. “In that area of the world, the people with the biggest guns make the rules. And this guy has got the guns. And he’s going to make the rules.”

    Not all veteran analysts of the Mideast see the TNC’s embrace of Sharia as an imminent threat, nor the broader trend in the Arab Spring as hopelessly dark for American interests.

    Patrick Clawson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy draws encouragement from the fact that the region’s revolutions, by and large, have not been marked by strong expressions of anti-Western or anti-Israel sentiment. And he suggested that Washington can work reasonably well with governments whose legal codes do not mirror our own.

    “The Saudi government has been perhaps the most vigorous applier of Sharia law throughout the Muslim world for decades, and yet Saudi Arabia and the United States have had a pretty close relationship on national security issues,” Clawson told Fox News. “And that's very different than a secular revolutionary government like that in Syria, which certainly doesn't apply Sharia law, but which has been happy to sponsor terrorist attacks against Americans.”

    Some conservatives, however, are inclined to blame the Obama administration for mishandling the Mideast upheaval.

    Frank Gaffney, a former Reagan-era Defense Department official who now leads the Washington-based Center for Security Policy, expands his definition of the Arab Spring to include the Iranian uprising of June 2009, which the regime in Tehran used lethal force to suppress.

    Gaffney contrasts the Obama administration’s fairly cautious response to that event – framed, at the time, as part of the president’s attempt to “engage” Iran – with Obama’s swift call for the resignation of Hosni Mubarak during the Egyptian revolution this year.

    “The president of the United States in both cases did the bidding of the Islamists, who wanted to preserve the regime in Iran and who wanted to remove the regime in Egypt,” Gaffney told Fox News. “And I think that quite apart from what his intentions were, in so doing, he made all the more predictable this very unhappy outcome that I think is playing out before our eyes.”

    The next shoe to drop in the region will likely be the Nov. 28 elections in Egypt. U.S. officials are bracing for a strong showing by the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamist group that boasts a long history of organized opposition to the Mubarak regime, and whose foreign offshoots include Hamas.

    Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...gives-way-to-fear-islamic-rise/#ixzz1c7enblrw
     
  7. Val1101

    Val1101 New Member Past Donor

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    OK THEN! Let's make sure we don't get accused of having too much optimism about the whole thing!
     
  8. Marlowe

    Marlowe New Member

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    ====================

    Missing Gaddafi already are you ?
    :mrgreen:




    ...
     
  9. xsited1

    xsited1 New Member

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    Did George W. Bush act as a catalyst to these revolutions by toppling dictators like Saddam Hussein? I was quite active during the antiwar rallies, but I wonder if his meddling has long-term benefits.
     
  10. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26 New Member Past Donor

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    [​IMG]

    Here's one. He got a trial.

    _
     
  11. Marlowe

    Marlowe New Member

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    [

    Certainly NOT to the average Iraqi.
     
  12. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26 New Member Past Donor

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    [​IMG]
     
  13. xsited1

    xsited1 New Member

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    Really? Do you think the average Iraqi was better off living under Saddam Hussein's rule?
     
  14. MurkyFogsFutureLogs

    MurkyFogsFutureLogs New Member

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    Saying Islamist groups have hijacked the Arab spring is a flawed stance, I believe there wouldn't have been an Arab spring without them.

    They were and are usually the most organised groups in the revolutions, just because many protesters wanted democracy, is not to say they didn't want an Islamic democracy. Islam is a part of their culture, and culture usually defines peoples from one another. You weren't expecting a Christian democracy in the middle-east were you Don?
     
  15. Margot

    Margot Account closed, not banned

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    Of course they wanted an islamic democracy. But progress comes in baby steps.. You don't riot when you lose an election..
     
  16. Marlowe

    Marlowe New Member

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    Fak the politicians -propaganda incl. purple ink fingers. : its more important how the war affected the average Iraqi . Not having direct access to Iraq , the following is my first hit :

    statistics about the Iraq War and occupation, taken primarily from data analyzed by various think tanks, including The Brookings Institution's Iraq Index, and from mainstream media sources. Data is presented as of September 30, 2011, except as indicated.

    ======


    Iraq War Facts, Results & Statistics at September 30, 2011


    QUALITY OF LIFE INDICATORS

    Iraqis Displaced Inside Iraq, by Iraq War, as of May 2007 - 2,255,000

    Iraqi Refugees in Syria & Jordan - 2.1 million to 2.25 million

    Iraqi Unemployment Rate - 27 to 60%, where curfew not in effect

    Consumer Price Inflation in 2006 - 50%

    Iraqi Children Suffering from Chronic Malnutrition - 28% in June 2007 (Per CNN.com, July 30, 2007)


    Percent of professionals who have left Iraq since 2003 - 40%

    Iraqi Physicians Before 2003 Invasion - 34,000

    Iraqi Physicians Who Have Left Iraq Since 2005 Invasion - 12,000

    Iraqi Physicians Murdered Since 2003 Invasion - 2,000

    Average Daily Hours Iraqi Homes Have Electricity - 1 to 2 hours, per Ryan Crocker, U.S. Ambassador to Iraq (Per Los Angeles Times, July 27, 2007)

    Average Daily Hours Iraqi Homes Have Electricity - 10.9 in May 2007

    Average Daily Hours Baghdad Homes Have Electricity - 5.6 in May 2007

    Pre-War Daily Hours Baghdad Homes Have Electricity - 16 to 24

    Number of Iraqi Homes Connected to Sewer Systems - 37%

    Iraqis without access to adequate water supplies - 70% (Per CNN.com, July 30, 2007)

    Water Treatment Plants Rehabilitated - 22%

    RESULTS OF POLL Taken in Iraq in August 2005 by the British Ministry of Defense (Source: Brookings Institute)

    Iraqis "strongly opposed to presence of coalition troops - 82%

    Iraqis who believe Coalition forces are responsible for any improvement in security - less than 1%

    Iraqis who feel less ecure because of the occupation - 67%

    Iraqis who do not have confidence in multi-national forces - 72%



    Iraq War Facts, Results & Statistics at September 30, 2011


    http://usliberals.about.com/od/homelandsecurit1/a/IraqNumbers.htm

    ------

    Documented civilian deaths from violence

    103,253 – 112,823

    Full analysis of the WikiLeaks' Iraq War Logs
    may add 15,000 civilian deaths.



    http://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/




    .....
     
  17. Marlowe

    Marlowe New Member

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    You think that's an average Iraqi ? :rolleyes:


    Can she eat it and will it feed her children. ?
     
  18. EvilAztec

    EvilAztec Banned

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    The Europeans have made another stupid mistake when they penetrated into the war against Libya. I think , especially Italians joyfully greeted the surging wave of Arab emigration. For the France, a respectable second place in terms of this joy.
     
  19. xsited1

    xsited1 New Member

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    So.... Do you think the average Iraqi was better off living under Saddam Hussein's rule?
     
  20. Val1101

    Val1101 New Member Past Donor

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    Islamic Democracy? I've never heard those two words used together. What is an "Islamic Democracy"? Are you talking about Iran? IMO, Iran is a "fake democracy".
     
  21. dilligaf

    dilligaf New Member

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    America is fake democracy/republic to and just as corrupt.
     
  22. Abu Sina

    Abu Sina New Member

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    I'm sure there are a lot of people who would like to see Bush and Blair with that round their necks also
     
  23. Albert Di Salvo

    Albert Di Salvo New Member

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    Democracy is exclusively a Western concept meant only for Western peoples.
     
  24. Margot

    Margot Account closed, not banned

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