U.N. claims that Iran made computer models of a nuclear warhead

alan131210 · Nov 7, 2011

it seems UN might after all declare war on Iran

PNA-The U.N. atomic agency plans to reveal intelligence next week suggesting Iran made computer models of a nuclear warhead and other previously undisclosed details on alleged secret work by Tehran on nuclear arms, diplomats told The Associated Press.

Other new confidential information the International Atomic Energy Agency plans to share with its 35 board members will include satellite imagery of what the IAEA believes is a large steel container used for nuclear arms-related high explosives tests, the diplomats said Friday.

The agency has previously listed activities it says indicate possible secret nuclear weapons work by Iran, which has been under IAEA perusal for nearly a decade over suspicions that it might be interested in develop such arms.

But the newest compilation of suspected weapons-related work is significant in substance and scope. The diplomats say they will reveal suspicions that have not been previously made public and greatly expand on alleged weapons-related experiments that have been published in previous reports on Iran's nuclear activities.

It also comes as the drumbeat of reports about possible military action against Irans nuclear facilities intensifies.

Israeli President Shimon Peres said Friday that international community is closer to pursuing a military solution to the standoff over Iran's nuclear program than a diplomatic one. The comments, from a known dove, assumed added significance because they followed unsubstantiated reports that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was seeking his government's support for a strike against Tehran.

British media have separately cited unnamed British officials as saying London was prepared to offer military support to any U.S. strike on Iran's nuclear facilities.

In Vienna, the diplomats - from IAEA member nations - asked for anonymity because their information was privileged. One of them said the material drawn up by IAEA chief, Yukiya Amano, will be in an annex running around 12 pages and attached to the latest of a regular series of agency reports on Iran's nuclear enrichment program and other activities that could be used to arm nuclear missiles.
What to expect?

Previously undisclosed information contained in the annex, said the diplomats, will include:

- Intelligence from unnamed member states that a bus-sized steel container, located at the Iranian military base of Parchin is likely being used for nuclear-related high explosives testing of the kind needed to release an atomic blast. The agency has satellite imagery of the container.

- Expanded evidence that Iranian engineers worked on computer models of nuclear payloads for missiles.

Significantly, said the diplomats, these alleged experiments took place after 2003 - the year that Iran was believed to have stopped secret work on nuclear weapons, according to a 2007 U.S. intelligence assessment. But diplomats have told the AP that Tehran continued arms-related experiments in a less concentrated way after that date, a view reflected by recent IAEA reports that have detailed suspicions that such work may be continuing up to the present.

The annex will also say that more than 10 nations have supplied intelligence suggesting Iran is secretly developing components of a nuclear arms program - among them an implosion-type warhead that it wants to mount on a ballistic missile.

It says that two foreign sources - apparently countries or nongovernment groups within countries - have helped Iran develop a weapons design, without naming them. And it details how Iran bought dual use - peaceful or military - nuclear technology from the black market network of renegade Pakistani scientist A. Q. Khan, as well as alleged preparations for a nuclear weapons test.

The upcoming report is meant to ratchet up pressure on the Islamic republic to stop four years of stonewalling of IAEA experts seeking to follow up intelligence of such secret weapons-related experiments.

Iran denies such activities, asserting that they are based on intelligence fabricated by Washington. It also denies that its uranium enrichment program - under U.N. Security Council sanctions because it could manufacture fissile warhead material - is meant for anything else but making nuclear fuel.

In his previous report in September, Amano said he was increasingly concerned about a stream of intelligence suggesting that Iran continues to work secretly on developing a nuclear payload for a missile and other components of a nuclear weapons program.

He said many member states are providing evidence for that assessment, describing the information the agency is receiving as credible, extensive and comprehensive.

That report warned of the possible existence in Iran of past or current undisclosed nuclear related activities" linked to weapons work. In particular, said the report, the agency continues to receive new information about "activities related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile.

Acquired from many member states, the information possessed by the IAEA is extensive and comprehensive ... (and) broadly consistent and credible, said the report.

The U.S. and its Western allies on the Security Council hope the upcoming report will be strong enough to persuade the IAEA board at its mid-November meeting to report it anew to the council. It was the board that first referred Iran to the Security Council in 2006 - a move that led to a series of sanctions punishing Tehran for its nuclear defiance.

If that fails, they would like a board resolution setting a deadline of only a few months for Iran to start cooperating with the agencys probe - or face the prospect of renewed Security Council referral at the next board meeting in March.

One of the diplomats said that Iran was given a copy of the annex earlier this week, giving a chance for comment that would be included when the report is shared with board members. Iran initially refused to accept a copy of the report, he said, reflecting its rejection of the allegations.

A call requesting comment left on the cell phone of Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Irans chief delegate to the IAEA, was not immediately returned.
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Margot · Nov 7, 2011

No link????

is there a problem with your source?

alan131210 · Nov 7, 2011

Margot said: ↑

No link????

is there a problem with your source?
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http://www.peyamner.com/details.aspx?l=4&id=255033

xsited1 · Nov 7, 2011

alan131210 said: ↑

http://www.peyamner.com/details.aspx?l=4&id=255033
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There is no question in my mind that the UN will write a sternly written letter to Iran asking them to stop their nuclear ambitions.

alan131210 · Nov 7, 2011

xsited1 said: ↑

There is no question in my mind that the UN will write a sternly written letter to Iran asking them to stop their nuclear ambitions.
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Iran is a dictator and terror supporter , the regime must fall , and a new country must be established based on Federalism and with possibility of self-determination of the 5 different nations living in Iran.

Dibege · Nov 7, 2011

Iran's plan is to 'wipe out Israel from the map', Israel and the rest of world must act now before it's too late!

waltky · Oct 15, 2015

Should work out about the same time they get the delivery system right...

Deal Will Allow Iran to Eventually Acquire' a Nuke
October 14, 2015 | The nuclear deal reached with Iran threatened to upset a delicate balance of power among Shiites, Sunnis and Israel in the Middle East, and encouraged Russias military involvement in the region, former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb said during Tuesday nights Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas.

I believe that the signal that we sent to the region when the Iran nuclear deal was concluded was that we are accepting Irans greater position in this very important balance of power, among our greatest ally Israel, and the Sunnis represented by the Saudi regime, and Iran, Webb said. It was a position of weakness and I think it encouraged the acts that weve seen in the past several weeks, he added, in reference to Russian President Vladimir Putins military intervention in support of the Assad regime in Syria, a key ally of both Russia and Iran.

Webb, who is languishing in the low single digits in opinion polls, also challenged directly the Obama administrations contention that the nuclear deal will prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapons capability. He described the agreement reached between Iran, the U.S. and five other powers as one allowing Iran to move forward and eventually acquire a nuclear weapon. Moreover, he added, the deal had sent bad signals, bad body language into the region about whether we are acquiescing in Iran becoming a stronger piece of the formula in that part of the world.

Along with the Iran nuclear deal Webb identified two other strategic failings which he linked to why Russia is in Syria right now. One was the invasion of Iraq, which destabilized ethnic elements in Iraq and empowered Iran, he said. The second was the Arab Spring, which created huge vacuums in Libya and in Syria that allowed terrorist movements to move in there. Former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee challenged Webbs stance on the Iran nuclear deal, which Chafee indicated he strongly supports. Senator Webb. I respect your foreign policy chops, he said. But Russia is aligned with Iran and with Assad and the Alawite Shias in Syria. So that Iran deal did not allow Russia to come in.

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article...ate-webb-iran-nuclear-deal-upsetting-regional
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waltky · Nov 11, 2016

Iran already testin' Trump over nuclear deal...

Iran violates nuclear pact, marginally, for a second time, hours after Trump won the White House
Thursday 10th November, 2016 - A few hours after Donald Trump became the President-elect of the United States of America - an agency of the United Nations, engaged in monitoring the nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, claimed that Iran violated the pact storing a bit more heavy water than it was actually allowed.

The United Nations International Atomic Energy Agency reported that Iran had exceeded the heavy water allotment of 130 metric tons by 0.10 metric tons (100 kilograms). Heavy water is used as a coolant for nuclear reactors that can produce substantial amounts of plutonium which can be applied to making the fissile core of nuclear warheads. That is why the concerns have grown in the UN and its permanent members involved in the deal U.S., United Kingdom, Russia, France, China and the European Union. American President Barack Obamas nuclear treaty with Iran was considered a landmark achievement but Trump during his election campaign termed it as the worst deal ever negotiated and said he would police that contract so tough they (the Iranians) didnt have a chance.

However, Wednesdays report said that Iran had served notice it would resolve the issue by exporting 5 metric tons, which is over the excess amount. A diplomat who requested anonymity said that Iran had told the IAEA that the shipment would be leaving their country within the next few days. The IAEA verified the over storage after IAEA chief Yukiya Amano expressed concerns to top Iranian officials. On November 2, 2016, the director general expressed concerns related to Iran's stock of heavy water to the vice president of Iran and president of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Ali Akbar Salehi, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said. U.S. State Department spokesperson, Mark Toner also confirmed Irans intention to export the excess amount of heavy water.

He said, It's important to note that Iran made no effort to hide this, hide what it was doing from the IAEA. This is the second time that Iran has been found violating the treaty since it signed the deal in exchange of relieving sanctions placed on the country. The last time it overstocked beyond the threshold, Iran invited major criticism from the countries that signed the deal. In light of Trumps recent ascend to the White House, many are raising questions of how his government will deal with Iran. The comments made by Trump have already brought ties with Iran into stark focus.

Iranian Prime Minister Ali Hosseini Khamenei and President, Hassan Rouhani had spoken against Trump after the first Presidential debate. In addition to that, extremists in Iran have already pushed for global isolation which discouraged foreign investors. Officials in the nation have claimed that if Trump continued his hostile attitude towards Iran, it would unite the extremists which will prove costlier for both the countries. One of the officials claiming anonymity said, If Trump adopts hostile policies towards Iran, this will empower hardliners in Iran. Trump's victory will unite Iran's hardliners and their supporters. It means more political pressure at home and an aggressive regional policy, another official said.

Concerns about investments in Iran
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See also:

Top EU Official Disputes That Trump Could Upend Iran Nuclear Deal
November 11, 2016 - Asked Thursday about President-elect Donald Trump's threats to tear up the Iran nuclear deal once in office, the European Union official tasked to oversee its implementation said it was not a bilateral agreement but a multilateral one, enshrined in a U.N. Security Council resolution.

E.U. foreign policy chief Federica Mogherinis words reinforced those of Iranian President Hasan Rouhani, who said on Iranian television Wednesday that the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was not concluded with one country or government but was approved by a resolution of the U.N. Security Council, and there is no possibility that it can be changed by a single government. CNNs Christiane Amanpour asked Mogherini whether a U.S. president could unilaterally rip up the JCPOA. The Iranian deal, the nuclear deal, is not a bilateral agreement between the U.S. and Iran, Mogherini replied. Its a multilateral agreement that we have negotiated. I have a personal, direct responsibility as, still, the chair of the joint commission that supervises the implementation of the agreement, so guarantee that it is fully implemented by all sides all sides and this is enframed into a U.N. Security Council resolution, actually more than one. So it is not a bilateral or unilateral issue. It is a multilateral agreement in the framework of the United Nations.

Throughout the campaign that ended with Tuesday nights victory, Trump criticized the agreement painstakingly negotiated between Iran and the P5+1 group the U.S., Britain, France, Russia, China and Germany and touted by the Obama administration as a major foreign policy achievement. Trump called it the worst deal he had seen and said dismantling it would be a number on priority. On other occasions he suggested he would renegotiate it, or police it so determinedly that the Iranians would not have a chance. One of Trumps foreign policy advisors, Walid Phares, told British public radio Thursday that Trump would review the JCPOA and demand changes from the Iranians.

The administration maintains that the agreement cuts off all routes to a nuclear weapons capability, by placing wide-ranging restrictions on Irans nuclear activities, with strict monitoring and the ability to snap back sanctions in case of violations. Critics, including some leading some non-proliferation experts, say it leaves an unacceptably large proportion of Irans nuclear infrastructure intact, laying the groundwork for Iran to become a nuclear threshold state once sunset provisions expire, after 10-15 years. Moreover, they charge that the deal has both emboldened and enriched Iran. Heritage Foundation senior research fellow James Phillips wrote Thursday that Rouhanis claim of there being no possibility of the deal being overturned was an outright lie.

MORE
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waltky · Nov 11, 2016

Trump isn't going to rip up the Iran nuclear deal on day one as president...

Iran Deal Endangered if Trump Seeks to Renegotiate Its Terms
Nov 11, 2016 | WASHINGTON Donald Trump isn't going to rip up the Iran nuclear deal on day one as president, but his vows to renegotiate the terms and increase enforcement could imperil an agreement that has put off the threat of Tehran developing atomic weapons. Emboldened Republican lawmakers are already considering ways to test Iran's resolve to live up to the deal.

As a candidate, Trump issued a variety of statements about last year's pact. He called it "stupid," a "lopsided disgrace" and the "worst deal ever negotiated," railing against its time-limited restrictions on Iran's enrichment of uranium and other nuclear activity, and exaggerating the scale of U.S. concessions. Trump said that he doesn't want to simply tear up the agreement. Instead, he spoke of reopening the diplomacy and declared that unlike President Barack Obama's diplomats, he would have been prepared to walk away from talks. Trump's exact plans are vague, however, and a renegotiation would be difficult. Iran has little incentive to open talks over a deal it is satisfied with. And none of the other countries in the seven-nation accord has expressed interest in picking apart an understanding that took more than a decade of stop-and-go diplomacy and almost two full years of negotiation to complete.

As Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has said: If the U.S. tears up the agreement, "we will light it on fire." President Hassan Rouhani said this week no country could simply change what was agreed, pointing to a U.N. Security Council resolution that endorsed the package. The deal, which went into effect in January, forced Iran to pull back from the brink of nuclear weapons capacity in exchange for an end to many of the U.S. and European sanctions that devastated Iran's economy. It has been largely respected despite undiminished U.S.-Iranian tensions throughout the Middle East, including their support for rival sides in Syria and Yemen's civil wars.

Each side has leverage: Iran doesn't want a new onslaught of U.S.-led economic pressure and America would be alarmed by any Iranian escalation of its nuclear program. But the accord rests on fragile ground, with powerful contingencies in Washington and Tehran vehemently opposed and looking for any excuse to break it apart. In such a climate, it's unclear what Trump's demands for a renegotiation might mean. "The agreement is valid only as long as all parties uphold it," State Department spokesman Mark Toner acknowledged Wednesday in the agency's first briefing since Trump's stunning election victory over Hillary Clinton to become the 45th president.

Last summer, Walid Phares, a Trump adviser on the Middle East, said Trump wouldn't pull out of an agreement with America's "institutional signature," but rather revise elements through one-on-one negotiations with Iran or with a larger grouping of allies. Daryl Kimball, executive director of the pro-deal Arms Control Association, said that re-litigating the deal would unsettle American allies, with no clear picture of what Trump would be trying to accomplish. Trump could also send the deal to Congress, whose Republican majority has opposed it.

MORE
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See also:

With Trump, a Major US Shift in Mideast
Nov 11, 2016 | President-elect Donald Trump's positions on Middle East issues, if carried out, could bring yet more volatility to the world's most combustible region.

Besides vowing to rip up the international nuclear deal with Iran, Trump says he will ramp up the war on Islamic State militants; he could make the Palestinians more desperate by siding with Israel's hard-line right wing. He also seems set to end the Obama administration's cold shoulder toward authoritarians like Egypt's Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi. Trump has most often been vague and sometimes outright contradictory about plans in the Mideast. And his stances could change. His call for a ban on Muslims entering the U.S. worried many in the region, but he has since watered down that stance, and many opinion-makers in the Gulf at least call it simply campaign rhetoric.

U.S.-backed fighters deployed during fighting with the Islamic State group in the village of Laqtah, north of Raqqa, Syria.

Overall, Trump has shown a focus on fighting Islamic militants and favoring strongmen who do so. He's shown less concern with human rights or the complicated minutiae of the Mideast's many factions and interests. That is a simpler, black-and-white stance in the eyes of some, but it can also bring a backlash.

Islamic State, Iraq and Syria

Trump pledged repeatedly to intensify the war against the Islamic State group in Iraq and Syria, saying crushing the group is his main priority. What is less clear is how and what impact it would have on the conflicts in both countries and the complex alliances that the Obama administration has tried to balance. Trump has given little policy or vision on the wars beyond the vows to defeat IS. In Syria, the rebels may be the biggest losers.

In contrast to the Obama administration's support for the opposition equivocal as it may have been Trump said the rebels may be "worse" than President Bashar Assad and that defeating the Islamic State group is more important than removing the Syrian leader. That suggests he could drop any backing. Moreover, he says he wants more and better cooperation against IS with Russia, Assad's main ally. Trump says he will step up airstrikes, vowing to "bomb the hell" out of the militants. He has criticized the slow pace of the fight and at one point called for up to 30,000 U.S. troops to be deployed in Iraq six times the current level. He later seemed to back down, saying "few troops" would be needed.

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WillReadmore · Nov 11, 2016

alan131210 said: ↑

it seems UN might after all declare war on Iran
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When Trump gave his speech to AIPAC, stating that he understood the Iran problem they actually laughed out loud at him.

This is a complex issue, and the idea that he has the tools to simply destroy that deal is scary as hell.

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U.N. claims that Iran made computer models of a nuclear warhead

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