The Protest Vote

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Phil, Feb 25, 2012.

  1. Phil

    Phil Well-Known Member

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    Mitt Romney will be the Republican presidential nominee in 2012.
    This is not a prediction, projection or prophecy, and certainly not a wish. It is the conclusion most Republican voters arrived at several months ago when they realized the few men who might defeat him were not going to enter the race.
    What percentage of Republicans really want Newt Gingrich to be the next president?
    About 10%.
    What percentage of Republicans really want Rick Santorum?
    About 10%.
    Ron Paul has been gathering support for about 25 years and may have about 15% actively championing his election.
    Michele Bachmann, Jon Huntsman and Herman Cain never reached 10%.
    Rick Perry, as the obvious choice in the south, could have won up to 17 states in the primaries if he hadn't stumbled. In a three-way race that would be enough to guarantee that no one could win without his delegates.
    With him out of the way, no one can really beat Mitt Romney throughout the primary season.
    There is however a protest vote that appears when a winner seems inevitable and it consists of people who will be perfectly content to vote for Romney in November, but want him to be less like Mitt Romney by then.
    The last time the protest vote was a factor was in 1992. Not many people wanted Pat Buchanan to be president, but they wanted George H. W. Bush to be less like Bush, so Buchanan won the New Hampshire primary.
    Bush took it badly. He began aggressively campaigning and won the nomination easily without changing. He assumed he could defeat the upstart Bill Clinton and failed to anticipate a protest vote in the general election. That protest vote found a face in Ross Perot, a man with a small following to accompany it, and Bush lost.
    In 2000 Buchanan ran in the general election and we discovered that less than l% of the people wanted him to be president.
    Many of 1992's protesters are protesting Romney now.
    When they were polled last fall, they chose the candidate least likely to win, so Bachmann and Cain got big numbers.
    When it was time to really vote however Romney got a win and a tie and remained unchanged.
    The protesters had to choose a candidate. They picked Gingrich because of his home field advantage in South Carolina and Florida.
    There was a problem though. He started acting and talking like a frontrunner. They didn't want that, so Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado went to Santorum. Maine, more thoughtful, almost went to Ron Paul, a man who won't be called a frontrunner until he wins the nomination.
    So far, Romney has only changed for the worst, attacking Gingrich and now Santorum.
    Soon he will begin to win most states and gain the nomination, but please Mitt, be less like Mitt.
     
  2. MnBillyBoy

    MnBillyBoy New Member

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    I really wonder what the so called protest is all about.

    If you disagree with a successful business guy..vote for Obama.
    If you want a continuation of the current status FLOW..vote Obama..
    If you like high gas prices..dont change.
    If you like blaming every other failure on someone else..Obama is your guy.
    If you like a immigration problem and unsecured border..vote for Obama..
    If you like Chevy volts and no jobs..Democrats are your ticket..
    A vote for Obama is a continuation..a vote for Romney is the PROTEST VOTE..


    It wasn't Romney that gave you this current garbage,,It was Obama.

    To protest means to rally against what IS..not what might be.
    Success is not worth protesting..failure is..GET OVER IT.
     
    CoolWalker and (deleted member) like this.
  3. South Pole Resident

    South Pole Resident New Member

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    Romney the savior of our country! LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
     
  4. MnBillyBoy

    MnBillyBoy New Member

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    No..WE are the savior of our country..
    Electing Romney would show OUR leadership abilities.

    How well did Obama work out ?
     
  5. hoytmonger

    hoytmonger New Member

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    The same as Romney would... they're both greasy snake oil salesmen.
     
  6. Phil

    Phil Well-Known Member

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    I think the protest is mostly his personality and flip-flops, rather than the substance. The last non-incumbent to have a poorly-contested ride to the nomination was Al Gore. He remained as stiff as a board, enough to drive 3% of the voters to Ralph Nader and lose the general election.
    Romney represents the liberal side of the Republican party (no more than 40% of Republicans.) His vote totals therefore will remain in the 40% range in each state until it looks like one of the other three might win, then voters will panic and give him big victories in the last few states.
    The problem is that they like him nice, not nasty, and the nasty side he's displaying lately will not help him.
     
  7. South Pole Resident

    South Pole Resident New Member

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    Winner +rep!
     
  8. MnBillyBoy

    MnBillyBoy New Member

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    Except one had a history of balanced budgets and the other doesn't.

    One never accepted a penny for government work and the other does.

    One is active within his church and the other isn't.

    I look at the facts..and you drink the koolaide.
     
  9. Cigar

    Cigar Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Was anyone here alive during the Year 2008? :crossbones:
     
  10. MnBillyBoy

    MnBillyBoy New Member

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    Yep ..gas was under $ 2 bucks..unemployment under 8 % and our debt was 4 trillion less.My house was worth a lot more.
    Afghanistan was not a mess.
    Iran was not near a nuclear bomb..
    No border agents were being killed with our guns..

    The world was a safer place.
    and the REV Wright and Santorum didn't exist to most Americans.

    Thanks for the reminder....oh and the IRAQ surge worked !
     
  11. CoolWalker

    CoolWalker New Member

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    All Romney needs to win is to have Obama keep being Obama.
     
  12. Phil

    Phil Well-Known Member

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    Now that Romney has swept all states voting in April it is clear I was right. Do you think some state might yet give Ron Paul a merely symbolic victory?
     
  13. MnBillyBoy

    MnBillyBoy New Member

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    Texas.. Paul must win his home state as that would certainly show he has broad range of support by the people he represents and who KNOW him best.

    After Paul is gone..

    What will Paul bots do...?

    They better start immigrating to New Mexico.
     
  14. CoolWalker

    CoolWalker New Member

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    Obama, The Late Night Talk Show God...LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
     
  15. South Pole Resident

    South Pole Resident New Member

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    Obama is a (*)(*)(*)(*)(*)(*) bag, and should be a one term president, but you party first guys are making sure he gets a second term by voting for mittens.
     
  16. Taxcutter

    Taxcutter New Member

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    The Gopher zaps Cigar with his bazooka.
     
  17. Roelath

    Roelath Well-Known Member

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    I find it hilarious that you and others such as yourself call us "Bots" as if we're programs running on the Internet typing replies or creating posts. Why don't you start looking in the mirror and understand you're the Zombie in this case when it comes to voting for Red or (R) simply because of how the Media Portrays them to be different... you keep shoveling the bull(*)(*)(*)(*) in your mouth willingly. There is no inherent difference between Romney & Obama on their approach towards how to use Government at all or what they will do once they're in Office. You're being played if you believe for a moment that voting for a man who gets the same sponsors as his opponent is going to be different at all in Office... hell just look at his "record" you seem to bring up about all the Golden things he is required to do in his State such as Balance a Budget. He has done nothing promising at all to make it appear he gives a (*)(*)(*)(*) and his speeches are long winded with no real spirit into them... He is totally fake.
     

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